Trading Signals: NVS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jun. 25, 2020

Trading Signals: NVS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Novartis)
NVS latest price $89.6000 (0.9%) ($88.3050 - $89.6400) on Thu. Jun. 25, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.57% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $89.6000(0.9%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Weekly Trend   NVS advances 2.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NVS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPLV(51%)    XLV(46%)    DIA(44%)    IWD(43%)    IVE(42%)
Factors Impacting NVS price   NVS will decline at least -0.785% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-26%)    UUP(-25%)    VXX(-9%)    TBT(-3%)    IGOV(1%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.785% (StdDev 1.57%)
Hourly BBV -0.2 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

Inflection Point   Yes
5 Day Moving Average   $90.12(-0.58%)
10 Day Moving Average   $88.71(1%)
20 Day Moving Average   $87.57(2.32%)
To recent high   -1.6%
To recent low   16.5%
Market Cap   $205.093b

Novartis AG is a holding company, which engages in the development, manufacture, and marketing of healthcare products. It operates through the following segments: Innovative Medicines, Sandoz, and Corporate. The Innovative Medicines segment researches, develops, manufactures, distributes and sells patented pharmaceuticals, and is composed of two business units: Novartis Oncology and Novartis Pharmaceuticals. The Sandoz segment develops, manufactures and markets finished dosage form medicines as well as intermediary products including active pharmaceutical ingredients. The Corporate segment refers to group management and central services. The company was founded on February 29, 1996 and is headquartered in Basel, Switzerland.

$. NVS price fluctuates within 2.38% (three month std-dev: 1.57%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 20 Average positive next day return: 0.65%(45%) Average negative next day return: -1.5%(55%) Sample size 20 Average positive next three day return: 1.51%(45%) Average negative next three day return: -3.5%(55%) Sample size 20 Average positive next weekly return: 4.47%(40%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.89%(60%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20200725

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_25_2020	86.03	87.57	88.71	90.12	89.88	89.09	89.6(0.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-11	-70	-37	68	1.36	78%	-0.08	62.6	1.57%	-0.2	1	61	-0.3
2	Jun_24_2020	86.1	87.4	88.22	90.13	90.35	89.98	88.8(-1.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-3	-20	-26	67	1.27	81%	-0.08	63.5	1.66%	-1.6	0.7	62	-0.7
3	Jun_23_2020	86.17	87.19	88.13	90.27	90.54	90.67	90.46(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	35	20	15	96	1.15	86%	-0.05	63.5	1.7%	-0.1	1.5	65	-0
4	Jun_22_2020	86.21	86.91	87.89	89.53	90.15	90.72	90.62(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	53	70	38	96	2.21	86%	-0.03	57.3	1.73%	0.2	1.8	62	-0.2
5	Jun_19_2020	86.24	86.62	87.38	88.43	89.29	90.4	91.1(1.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	66	120	63	76	2.38	75%	-0.06	48.6	1.82%	1.7	2.4	62	-0.8

6	Jun_18_2020	86.29	86.29	86.83	87.08	87.84	89.59	89.66(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	68	170	75	48	2.23	75%	-0.08	36.6	1.81%	0.6	2.1	56	-0.7
7	Jun_17_2020	86.36	86.09	86.36	86.03	86.46	88.18	89.49(3.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.5	63	150	76	22	4.72	79%	-0.07	23.1	1.85%	1.3	2.5	59	-0.9
8	Jun_16_2020	86.42	85.86	85.95	85.73	85.48	86.09	86.76(1.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	20	40	26	0	2.5	63%	-0.08	21.1	1.91%	1.1	0.8	59	-1
9	Jun_15_2020	86.49	85.76	85.9	86.07	85.79	84.74	85.16(0.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-13	-100	-15	-5	1.81	63%	-0.1	22.6	2.17%	0.2	-0.5	52	-1.3
10	Jun_12_2020	86.58	85.76	86.05	86.17	86.61	84.87	84.35(-0.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-41	-130	-50	-13	1.85	57%	-0.13	20.9	2.35%	-1.1	-1.2	50	-1.4

11	Jun_11_2020	86.69	85.72	86.37	86.48	87.01	86.85	84.4(-4.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.7	-21	10	-30	5	1.76	54%	-0.13	25.5	2.66%	-2.3	-1.1	50	-2.6
12	Jun_10_2020	86.8	85.77	86.58	86.62	87.1	88.34	88(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.2	34	120	34	34	1.72	61%	-0.08	29.7	2.64%	0.4	1.9	58	0.9
13	Jun_9_2020	86.87	85.62	86.23	86.16	86.4	87.17	88.43(3.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	34	70	36	26	2.11	56%	0.02	22.6	2.69%	1.3	2.7	63	1
14	Jun_8_2020	86.85	85.5	85.88	85.77	85.7	85.86	85.67(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	3	10	2	7	1.98	54%	-0.13	28.2	2.74%	0.4	0.2	55	1.6
15	Jun_5_2020	86.96	85.47	85.81	85.97	85.78	85.62	85.89(0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	1	-20	-3	11	1.53	52%	-0.1	42.7	2.74%	0.2	0.5	61	2

16	Jun_4_2020	87.05	85.41	85.73	86.28	85.93	85.54	85.12(-0.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-6	-40	-13	14	1.8	56%	-0.11	52.9	2.75%	-2	-0.3	58	1.6
17	Jun_3_2020	87.15	85.42	85.82	86.51	86.31	85.93	85.7(-0.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-0	-40	-7	21	1.68	53%	-0.1	58.7	2.81%	-1.1	0.3	53	1.7
18	Jun_2_2020	87.24	85.38	85.78	86.26	86.53	86.33	86.46(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	7	-10	2	21	1.67	55%	-0.09	34.3	2.85%	-0.5	1.2	57	1.3
19	Jun_1_2020	87.32	85.25	85.62	85.98	86.01	86.68	86.68(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	8	60	5	15	1.09	55%	-0.08	-1.9	2.88%	-0.5	1.6	49	1
20	May_29_2020	87.39	85.09	85.35	85.62	85.68	86.73	87.43(1.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	31	90	34	20	2.56	55%	-0.09	-39.8	2.9%	1	2.5	60	1.3

21	May_28_2020	87.47	84.94	85	85.14	85.13	85.34	86.28(2.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	13	20	16	5	2.58	53%	-0.09	-87.5	2.92%	1.2	1.8	58	0.9
22	May_27_2020	87.55	84.9	84.87	85.07	84.75	84.64	84.45(-0.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-9	-20	-10	-7	1.83	53%	-0.11	-111.9	2.92%	-0.9	-0.6	46	1.5
23	May_26_2020	87.65	85.07	84.95	85.23	85.17	84.92	85.05(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	1	-20	1	1	1.85	53%	-0.2	-79.8	2.93%	0.4	-0	52	1.3
24	May_22_2020	87.83	85.27	85.08	85.19	85.16	84.86	84.91(-0.09%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.2	-6	-30	-9	2	1.36	47%	-0.11	-51.1	3.02%	-0.6	-0.2	56	1.2
25	May_21_2020	87.93	85.46	85.09	85.01	85.24	85.43	84.99(-1.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	5	20	4	8	1.88	47%		-52.6	3.04%	-1	-0.3	59	1.1
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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