Trading Signals: NVS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Dec. 20, 2017

Trading Signals: NVS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Novartis)
NVS latest price $73.4300 (-1.98%) ($73.2800 - $74.1300) on Wed. Dec. 20, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.88% (three month average)
RSI   34
Latest Price   $73.4300(-1.98%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NVS declines -0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NVS declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NVS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLV(62%)    SPLV(60%)    IVE(56%)    IWD(56%)    SPY(56%)
Factors Impacting NVS price   NVS will decline at least -0.44% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-17%)    VIXM(-14%)    TLT(-12%)    DIA(-6%)    XHB(-3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.44% (StdDev 0.88%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.9%

Resistance Level   $74.71
5 Day Moving Average   $74.65(-1.63%)
10 Day Moving Average   $74.45(-1.37%)
20 Day Moving Average   $74.71(-1.71%)
To recent high   -4.2%
To recent low   2.9%
Market Cap   $168.08b

Novartis AG is a holding company, which engages in the development, manufacture, and marketing of healthcare products. It operates through the following segments: Innovative Medicines, Sandoz, and Corporate. The Innovative Medicines segment researches, develops, manufactures, distributes and sells patented pharmaceuticals, and is composed of two business units: Novartis Oncology and Novartis Pharmaceuticals. The Sandoz segment develops, manufactures and markets finished dosage form medicines as well as intermediary products including active pharmaceutical ingredients. The Corporate segment refers to group management and central services. The company was founded on February 29, 1996 and is headquartered in Basel, Switzerland.

$. NVS price fluctuates within 0.99% (three month std-dev: 0.88%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180120

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_20_2017	74.59	74.71	74.45	74.65			73.43(-1.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-10	-10000	-9	-12	1.55	44%	-0.03	27.3	0.88%	0	-1.7	34	0
2	Dec_19_2017	74.61	74.77	74.49	74.94			74.91(-0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-1	-10000	2	-9	1.25	47%	-0.01	48.4	0.84%	0	0.2	46	0
3	Dec_18_2017	74.62	74.71	74.41	74.89			75.22(0.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	0	-10000	7	-21	1.24	47%	0.01	46.9	0.85%	0	0.7	47	0
4	Dec_15_2017	74.61	74.66	74.37	74.67			75.03(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-4	-10000	5	-32	1.45	47%	0	47.9	0.85%	0	0.5	52	0
5	Dec_14_2017	74.61	74.58	74.45	74.51			74.68(-0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-1	-10000	9	-32	1.01	47%	-0.01	42.7	0.85%	0	0.1	46	0

6	Dec_13_2017	74.62	74.51	74.55	74.23			74.85(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-3	-10000	9	-37	0.99	47%	0.01	28.3	0.85%	0	0.4	51	0
7	Dec_12_2017	74.61	74.44	74.59	73.96			74.68(0.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-9	-10000	4	-48	1.11	47%	0	22.2	0.85%	0	0.3	52	0
8	Dec_11_2017	74.61	74.37	74.66	73.85			74.09(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-15	-10000	-6	-43	1.27	47%	-0.01	14.8	0.85%	0	-0.3	56	0
9	Dec_8_2017	74.62	74.32	74.73	74.05			74.23(1.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-17	-10000	-12	-32	1.19	47%	-0.01	14.5	0.85%	0	-0.1	51	0
10	Dec_7_2017	74.63	74.26	74.83	74.42			73.28(-0.35%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.1	-12	-10000	-16	2	0.78	48%	-0.03	22.8	0.83%	0	-1	52	0

11	Dec_6_2017	74.65	74.27	74.99	74.93			73.54(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.4	3	-10000	-11	45	1.42	48%	-0.03	38.2	0.86%	0	-0.7	56	0
12	Dec_5_2017	74.67	74.25	75.11	75.28			74.13(-1.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	13	-10000	-8	76	1.15	48%	0.01	46.4	0.85%	0	-0.1	57	0
13	Dec_4_2017	74.66	74.23	75.08	75.55			75.05(-1.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	27	-10000	2	102	1.13	50%	0.01	61.4	0.84%	0	0.8	64	0
14	Dec_1_2017	74.65	74.18	75.01	75.49			76.08(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	34	-10000	6	116	1.33	53%	0.04	71.9	0.83%	0	1.8	74	0
15	Nov_30_2017	74.62	74.03	74.75	75.32			75.86(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	34	-10000	8	112	1.05	55%	0.04	82.7	0.85%	0	1.9	72	0

16	Nov_29_2017	74.59	73.89	74.47	75.08			75.29(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	28	-10000	5	97	1.14	55%	0.03	91.3	0.86%	0	1.6	65	0
17	Nov_28_2017	74.57	73.77	74.28	74.93			75.48(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	34	-10000	12	98	1.48	55%	0.04	89.8	0.86%	0	2.1	69	0
18	Nov_27_2017	74.54	73.6	74.04	74.55			74.73(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	-10000	3	71	0.95	53%	0.03	59.8	0.85%	0	1.5	55	0
19	Nov_24_2017	74.52	73.44	73.85	74.45			75.22(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	24	-10000	12	61	0.83	53%	0.05	27.2	0.85%	0	2.1	57	0
20	Nov_22_2017	74.48	73.26	73.61	74.09			74.69(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	19	-10000	11	41	1.74	53%	0	-9.5	0.84%	0	1.7	60	0

21	Nov_21_2017	74.48	73.12	73.47	73.76			74.52(1.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	11	-10000	7	23	2.2	53%	0.01	-45.4	0.84%	0	1.8	59	0
22	Nov_20_2017	74.47	73.06	73.29	73.53			73.58(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	4	-10000	3	8	4.53	50%	0	-57.7	0.83%	0	0.5	55	0
23	Nov_17_2017	74.47	73.16	73.31	73.44			74.25(1.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	12	-10000	9	20	1.75	49%	0	-54.7	0.82%	0	1	67	0
24	Nov_16_2017	74.47	73.21	73.27	73.16			73.4(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	9	-10000	3	25	1.38	46%	-0.03	-55.6	0.83%	0	0.2	69	0
25	Nov_15_2017	74.49	73.34	73.24	73.07			73.03(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	7	-10000	-2	33	0.95	46%		-52.7	0.83%	0	-0.2	65	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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