Trading Signals: NVS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. May. 11, 2017

Trading Signals: NVS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Novartis)
NVS latest price $69.6000 (-0.14%) ($69.1900 - $69.7200) on Thu. May. 11, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.84% (three month average)
RSI   93
Latest Price   $69.6000(-0.14%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NVS advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NVS advances 1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NVS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLV(61%)    SPLV(58%)    IVE(55%)    IWD(55%)    SPY(55%)
Factors Impacting NVS price   NVS will decline at least -0.42% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-17%)    VIXM(-14%)    TLT(-10%)    DIA(-6%)    XHB(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.42% (StdDev 0.84%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $69.28(0.46%)
10 Day Moving Average   $68.92(0.99%)
20 Day Moving Average   $67.43(3.22%)
To recent high   -0.1%
To recent low   8.2%
Market Cap   $159.313b

Novartis AG is a holding company, which engages in the development, manufacture, and marketing of healthcare products. It operates through the following segments: Innovative Medicines, Sandoz, and Corporate. The Innovative Medicines segment researches, develops, manufactures, distributes and sells patented pharmaceuticals, and is composed of two business units: Novartis Oncology and Novartis Pharmaceuticals. The Sandoz segment develops, manufactures and markets finished dosage form medicines as well as intermediary products including active pharmaceutical ingredients. The Corporate segment refers to group management and central services. The company was founded on February 29, 1996 and is headquartered in Basel, Switzerland.

$. NVS price fluctuates within 2.8% (three month std-dev: 0.84%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170611

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_11_2017	65.92	67.43	68.92	69.28			69.6(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	36	-10000	5	130	2.02	52%	0.09	55.7	0.84%	0	1.1	93	0
2	May_10_2017	65.86	67.21	68.77	69.12			69.7(0.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	44	-10000	8	152	1.77	52%	0.11	55.6	0.85%	0	1.3	91	0
3	May_9_2017	65.79	66.99	68.56	68.9			69.42(0.78%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	46	-10000	4	172	4.04	52%	0.09	52.8	0.85%	0	1.4	92	0
4	May_8_2017	65.73	66.77	68.35	68.8			68.88(0.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	54	-10000	5	200	2.31	52%	0.09	51.4	0.85%	0	1.2	88	0
5	May_5_2017	65.67	66.58	68.08	68.64			68.81(0.01%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	56	-10000	5	209	1.58	52%	0.09	49.6	0.84%	0	1.3	82	0

6	May_4_2017	65.61	66.39	67.71	68.5			68.8(0.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	56	-10000	5	208	1.89	52%	0.09	46.7	0.84%	0	1.5	82	0
7	May_3_2017	65.55	66.2	67.35	68.37			68.6(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	57	-10000	8	202	2.19	52%	0.09	44.8	0.85%	0	1.6	71	0
8	May_2_2017	65.49	66.06	66.94	68.15			68.91(1.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	53	-10000	10	181	2.14	52%	0.12	44.6	0.86%	0	2	74	0
9	May_1_2017	65.41	65.89	66.49	67.85			68.08(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	53	-10000	15	167	1.4	49%	0.11	41.6	0.85%	0	1.8	73	0
10	Apr_28_2017	65.34	65.76	66.16	67.43			68.11(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	51	-10000	22	139	2	54%	0.12	35.3	0.88%	0	2.1	71	0

11	Apr_27_2017	65.26	65.64	65.81	66.78			68.13(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	40	-10000	20	98	4.24	54%	0.12	23.7	0.89%	0	2.5	71	0
12	Apr_26_2017	65.18	65.52	65.51	66.18			67.51(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	33	-10000	22	67	2.1	52%	0.11	11	0.89%	0	2.4	68	0
13	Apr_25_2017	65.11	65.44	65.28	65.54			67.41(2.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.6	21	-10000	20	24	4.04	58%	0.11	-9.3	0.89%	0	2.8	56	0
14	Apr_24_2017	65.04	65.38	65.01	64.95			65.97(1.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.7	1	-10000	8	-21	3.37	54%	0.08	-42.4	0.93%	0	1	50	0
15	Apr_21_2017	64.99	65.36	64.92	64.72			64.9(-0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-10	-10000	1	-43	2.63	51%	0.09	-62.2	0.9%	0	-0.8	41	0

16	Apr_20_2017	64.93	65.41	64.94	64.68			65.09(1.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-16	-10000	-2	-56	4.46	51%	0.06	-73.3	0.91%	0	-0.5	38	0
17	Apr_19_2017	64.89	65.43	64.95	64.75			64.31(-0.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-22	-10000	-8	-65	1.6	43%	0.06	-80.9	0.9%	0	-1.9	27	0
18	Apr_18_2017	64.85	65.51	65.13	64.97			64.48(-0.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-15	-10000	-3	-50	2.67	43%	0.05	-84.8	0.93%	0	-2	28	0
19	Apr_17_2017	64.82	65.63	65.26	65.07			64.84(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-14	-10000	-2	-51	1.49	43%	0.06	-75	0.93%	0	-1.4	29	0
20	Apr_13_2017	64.78	65.73	65.35	65.14			64.68(-1.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-15	-10000	-3	-50	2.58	43%	0.06	-67	0.93%	0	-1.8	39	0

21	Apr_12_2017	64.74	65.84	65.49	65.23			65.44(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-10	-10000	1	-41	1.49	45%	0.08	-62.5	0.93%	0	-0.7	45	0
22	Apr_11_2017	64.69	65.91	65.56	65.19			65.39(0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-14	-10000	-5	-41	1.89	41%	0.06	-55.7	0.93%	0	-0.9	48	0
23	Apr_10_2017	64.65	65.96	65.63	65.33			64.99(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-11	-10000	-5	-30	2.7	41%	0.03	-42.9	0.95%	0	-1.6	41	0
24	Apr_7_2017	64.63	66.05	65.77	65.49			65.18(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-9	-10000	-3	-26	1.33	41%	0.02	-38.4	0.95%	0	-1.5	30	0
25	Apr_6_2017	64.62	66.13	65.84	65.59			65.17(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-12	-10000	-6	-31	1.7	41%		-37.8	0.96%	0	-1.8	32	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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