Trading Signals: NVS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jan. 26, 2016

Trading Signals: NVS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Novartis)
NVS latest price $73.0700 (1.25%) ($72.1700 - $73.1700) on Tue. Jan. 26, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.17% (three month average)
RSI   37
Latest Price   $73.0700(1.25%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NVS advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NVS declines -1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NVS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLV(61%)    IVE(54%)    IWD(54%)    SPY(54%)    VT(54%)
Factors Impacting NVS price   NVS will decline at least -0.585% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-18%)    UUP(-17%)    TLT(-11%)    IPO(-6%)    DIA(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.585% (StdDev 1.17%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $67.06(-8.22%)
Resistance Level   $73.56
5 Day Moving Average   $71.95(1.56%)
10 Day Moving Average   $71.98(1.51%)
20 Day Moving Average   $73.56(-0.67%)
To recent high   -10.5%
To recent low   3.5%
Market Cap   $167.256b

Novartis AG is a holding company, which engages in the development, manufacture, and marketing of healthcare products. It operates through the following segments: Innovative Medicines, Sandoz, and Corporate. The Innovative Medicines segment researches, develops, manufactures, distributes and sells patented pharmaceuticals, and is composed of two business units: Novartis Oncology and Novartis Pharmaceuticals. The Sandoz segment develops, manufactures and markets finished dosage form medicines as well as intermediary products including active pharmaceutical ingredients. The Corporate segment refers to group management and central services. The company was founded on February 29, 1996 and is headquartered in Basel, Switzerland.

$. NVS price fluctuates within 2.98% (three month std-dev: 1.17%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160226

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_26_2016	78.36	73.56	71.98	71.95			73.07(1.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-10	-10000	7	-62	2.89	44%	-0.06	-41.9	1.17%	0	-0.2	37	0
2	Jan_25_2016	78.41	73.72	71.88	71.65			72.17(-0.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-21	-10000	6	-100	2.62	42%	-0.15	-41.7	1.15%	0	-0.7	36	0
3	Jan_22_2016	78.53	73.93	71.87	71.41			72.71(2.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-36	-10000	-2	-139	2.53	42%	-0.15	-44.4	1.16%	0	-0.5	36	0
4	Jan_21_2016	78.65	74.05	71.99	71.49			70.61(-0.79%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-47	-10000	-6	-170	2.99	36%	-0.19	-43.3	1.09%	0	-1.4	23	0
5	Jan_20_2016	78.8	74.28	72.43	71.71			71.17(-0.61%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-52	-10000	-8	-182	2.44	34%	-0.16	-42.8	1.09%	0	-1.3	23	0

6	Jan_19_2016	78.93	74.49	72.91	72.02			71.61(0.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-45	-10000	-3	-170	2.97	34%	-0.29	-41.3	1.11%	0	-1.3	31	0
7	Jan_15_2016	79.16	74.69	73.32	72.13			70.94(-2.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-48	-10000	-6	-173	2.49	38%	-0.21	-43.5	1.11%	0	-1.9	30	0
8	Jan_14_2016	79.33	74.98	73.84	72.36			73.12(1.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-48	-10000	-6	-173	3.29	41%	-0.16	-40	1.09%	0	-1	34	0
9	Jan_13_2016	79.46	75.1	74.24	72.58			71.7(-1.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-54	-10000	-18	-160	2.53	35%	-0.16	-36.9	1.07%	0	-1.9	38	0
10	Jan_12_2016	79.59	75.28	74.86	73.28			72.71(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-42	-10000	-18	-115	1.79	37%	-0.14	-32.1	1.07%	0	-1.6	42	0

11	Jan_11_2016	79.7	75.4	75.27	73.98			72.18(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-33	-10000	-18	-77	4.01	37%	-0.19	-26.3	1.07%	0	-2.2	39	0
12	Jan_8_2016	79.85	75.57	75.72	74.71			72.11(-2.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-26	-10000	-20	-42	2.38	37%	-0.21	-13.3	1.07%	0	-2.8	37	0
13	Jan_7_2016	80.02	75.7	76.21	75.5			74.22(-1.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-14	-10000	-16	-8	2.62	39%	-0.22	1.6	1.03%	0	-1.6	39	0
14	Jan_6_2016	80.2	75.76	76.21	76.14			75.18(-1.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-5	-10000	-13	18	3.1	40%	-0.2	16	1.04%	0	-0.6	51	0
15	Jan_5_2016	80.36	75.79	76.32	76.67			76.22(0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	10	-10000	-3	47	3.02	43%	-0.2	33.6	1.03%	0	0.5	59	0

16	Jan_4_2016	80.52	75.78	76.21	76.77			75.82(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	11	-10000	-3	54	2.59	43%	-0.31	38.4	1.04%	0	0	58	0
17	Dec_31_2015	80.77	75.74	76.18	76.89			76.07(-1.71%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	13	-10000	-3	60	1.18	46%	-0.17	36.8	1.06%	0	0.3	55	0
18	Dec_30_2015	80.91	75.69	76.22	77			77.39(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	31	-10000	12	89	1.79	54%	-0.16	33.9	1.04%	0	1.8	68	0
19	Dec_29_2015	81.04	75.61	76.01	76.52			77.85(1.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	28	-10000	14	70	2.07	54%	-0.17	19.1	1.09%	0	2.6	63	0
20	Dec_28_2015	81.18	75.47	75.69	75.93			76.7(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	17	-10000	9	39	1.95	49%	-0.28	-17.2	1.07%	0	1.8	55	0

21	Dec_24_2015	81.41	75.42	75.49	75.58			76.45(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.3	7	-10000	5	14	0.99	49%	-0.18	-51.2	1.08%	0	1.6	50	0
22	Dec_23_2015	81.56	75.39	75.36	75.37			76.6(2.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	3	-10000	1	7	2.51	49%	-0.18	-79.3	1.09%	0	2	59	0
23	Dec_22_2015	81.71	75.37	75.12	75.35			75.02(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-2	-10000	-2	-1	1.57	39%	-0.22	-90	1.05%	0	-0.6	50	0
24	Dec_21_2015	81.89	75.44	75.13	75.43			74.87(-0.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	0	-10000	1	-2	1.58	39%	-0.21	-83.7	1.12%	0	-0.9	44	0
25	Dec_18_2015	82.06	75.6	75.21	75.4			74.95(-0.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	1	-10000	1	-1	2.49	37%		-55.3	1.12%	0	-0.8	49	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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