Trading Signals: NVS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Apr. 22, 2015

Trading Signals: NVS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Novartis)
NVS latest price $91.4700 (-0.59%) ($91.2200 - $91.7800) on Wed. Apr. 22, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.16% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $91.4700(-0.59%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Weekly Trend   NVS advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NVS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLV(62%)    SPY(56%)    VT(56%)    IVE(55%)    VYM(54%)
Factors Impacting NVS price   NVS will decline at least -0.58% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-22%)    UUP(-14%)    TLT(-13%)    IGOV(0%)    TIP(1%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.58% (StdDev 1.16%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $91.16(0.34%)
10 Day Moving Average   $91.12(0.38%)
20 Day Moving Average   $89.96(1.68%)
To recent high   -0.6%
To recent low   7.5%
Market Cap   $209.373b

Novartis AG is a holding company, which engages in the development, manufacture, and marketing of healthcare products. It operates through the following segments: Innovative Medicines, Sandoz, and Corporate. The Innovative Medicines segment researches, develops, manufactures, distributes and sells patented pharmaceuticals, and is composed of two business units: Novartis Oncology and Novartis Pharmaceuticals. The Sandoz segment develops, manufactures and markets finished dosage form medicines as well as intermediary products including active pharmaceutical ingredients. The Corporate segment refers to group management and central services. The company was founded on February 29, 1996 and is headquartered in Basel, Switzerland.

$. NVS price fluctuates within 1.53% (three month std-dev: 1.16%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150522

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_22_2015	87.05	89.96	91.12	91.16			91.47(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	16	-10000	1	62	1.61	49%	0.08	32.7	1.16%	0	1.1	70	0
2	Apr_21_2015	86.98	89.89	90.95	91.12			92.01(1.78%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	21	-10000	3	75	1.74	45%	0.08	45.9	1.18%	0	1.6	78	0
3	Apr_20_2015	86.91	89.79	90.71	90.97			90.4(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	17	-10000	-0	69	1.4	42%	0.06	61.2	1.21%	0	0.5	54	0
4	Apr_17_2015	86.86	89.76	90.56	90.99			90.59(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	14	-10000	-4	69	1.41	42%	0.05	77.5	1.21%	0	0.7	59	0
5	Apr_16_2015	86.82	89.65	90.34	91.19			91.34(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	22	-10000	2	80	1.06	42%	0.08	90.1	1.22%	0	1.3	66	0

6	Apr_15_2015	86.75	89.52	90.04	91.06			91.26(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	-10000	6	78	1.27	48%	0.09	107.5	1.22%	0	1.5	61	0
7	Apr_14_2015	86.67	89.28	89.65	90.74			91.28(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	17	-10000	6	51	1.12	48%	0.09	95.9	1.31%	0	1.5	53	0
8	Apr_13_2015	86.59	89.04	89.45	90.4			90.48(-1.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	14	-10000	6	38	2.07	48%	0.07	87.5	1.31%	0	1.1	49	0
9	Apr_10_2015	86.53	88.81	89.28	90.04			91.58(0.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	15	-10000	12	25	2.52	48%	0.09	72.9	1.3%	0	1.9	55	0
10	Apr_9_2015	86.45	88.53	88.91	89.36			90.69(1.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	7	-10000	8	3	1.57	48%	0.07	55.8	1.3%	0	1.5	59	0

11	Apr_8_2015	86.39	88.25	88.69	88.88			89.69(0.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	4	-10000	9	-11	1.48	53%	0.07	37.1	1.3%	0	0.9	54	0
12	Apr_7_2015	86.33	88.02	88.7	88.88			89.58(1.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-3	-10000	0	-11	1.29	53%	0.07	19.8	1.37%	0	0.9	63	0
13	Apr_6_2015	86.27	87.88	88.77	88.38			88.64(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	2	-10000	-0	7	0.8	53%	0.1	15.1	1.36%	0	0.5	59	0
14	Apr_2_2015	86.18	87.76	88.88	88.41			88.22(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	7	-10000	1	26	1.22	53%	0.08	3.8	1.36%	0	0.3	61	0
15	Apr_1_2015	86.11	87.72	88.91	88.37			88.29(1.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	9	-10000	-1	37	1.59	53%	0.07	-7.1	1.36%	0	0.4	61	0

16	Mar_31_2015	86.05	87.68	88.96	88.46			87.19(-2.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	6	-10000	-10	53	2	53%	0.07	-14.3	1.36%	0	-0.3	61	0
17	Mar_30_2015	85.99	87.7	88.92	89.04			89.57(0.9%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	18	-10000	-3	82	1.27	57%	0.09	-13	1.32%	0	1.2	72	0
18	Mar_27_2015	85.91	87.63	88.63	89.22			88.77(0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	20	-10000	-4	90	1.28	57%	0.09	-16.8	1.31%	0	0.7	59	0
19	Mar_26_2015	85.83	87.7	88.36	89.45			88.03(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	24	-10000	-1	98	1.11	57%	0.08	-12.6	1.32%	0	0.2	59	0
20	Mar_25_2015	85.76	87.83	88.17	89.5			88.73(-1.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	24	-10000	-0	95	1.47	57%	0.08	-10.1	1.31%	0	0.5	54	0

21	Mar_24_2015	85.69	87.83	87.82	89.51			90.09(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	32	-10000	13	90	1.66	60%	0.12	-8.8	1.31%	0	1.1	60	0
22	Mar_23_2015	85.59	87.83	87.32	88.75			90.5(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	25	-10000	14	58	1.8	56%	0.11	-17.9	1.31%	0	1.3	61	0
23	Mar_20_2015	85.5	87.91	86.9	87.96			89.9(1.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	17	-10000	14	26	2.39	56%	0.11	-27.2	1.33%	0	1	53	0
24	Mar_19_2015	85.41	87.93	86.49	87.14			88.3(-0.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	2	-10000	9	-20	1.08	54%	0.08	-37.4	1.32%	0	0.2	37	0
25	Mar_18_2015	85.34	88.02	86.38	86.64			88.77(2.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-3	-10000	13	-51	2.07	57%		-43.6	1.32%	0	0.4	36	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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