Trading Signals: NVS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Mar. 27, 2013

Trading Signals: NVS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Novartis)
NVS latest price $62.2800 (-0.8%) ($61.7400 - $62.3500) on Wed. Mar. 27, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.93% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $62.2800(-0.8%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NVS declines -0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NVS advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NVS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(55%)    EWG(52%)    XLP(50%)    EWP(49%)    EWI(48%)
Factors Impacting NVS price   NVS will decline at least -0.465% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-12%)    SHY(1%)    TIP(2%)    IGOV(2%)    GLD(5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.465% (StdDev 0.93%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $62.45(-0.27%)
10 Day Moving Average   $62.18(0.16%)
20 Day Moving Average   $61.5(1.27%)
To recent high   -1.2%
To recent low   12%
Market Cap   $142.558b

Novartis AG is a holding company, which engages in the development, manufacture, and marketing of healthcare products. It operates through the following segments: Innovative Medicines, Sandoz, and Corporate. The Innovative Medicines segment researches, develops, manufactures, distributes and sells patented pharmaceuticals, and is composed of two business units: Novartis Oncology and Novartis Pharmaceuticals. The Sandoz segment develops, manufactures and markets finished dosage form medicines as well as intermediary products including active pharmaceutical ingredients. The Corporate segment refers to group management and central services. The company was founded on February 29, 1996 and is headquartered in Basel, Switzerland.

$. NVS price fluctuates within 1.54% (three month std-dev: 0.93%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130427

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_27_2013	57.93	61.5	62.18	62.45			62.28(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	15	-10000	-6	76	2.53	64%	0.16	58.4	0.93%	0	0.8	61	0
2	Mar_26_2013	57.84	61.36	62.03	62.61			62.78(1.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	27	-10000	5	93	2.04	64%	0.17	48	0.92%	0	1.4	65	0
3	Mar_25_2013	57.74	61.18	61.89	62.48			62.11(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	28	-10000	6	93	1.59	63%	0.14	36.3	0.91%	0	0.9	59	0
4	Mar_22_2013	57.66	61.12	61.79	62.32			62.63(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	26	-10000	6	86	1.57	63%	0.17	32.5	0.91%	0	1.6	64	0
5	Mar_21_2013	57.56	61.04	61.59	62.15			62.46(-0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	30	-10000	11	85	1.56	61%	0.16	32	0.91%	0	1.6	67	0

6	Mar_20_2013	57.47	60.95	61.42	61.85			63.06(1.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	33	-10000	17	79	2.41	63%	0.1	24.5	0.91%	0	2.5	74	0
7	Mar_19_2013	57.41	60.87	61.18	61.37			62.16(1.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	19	-10000	5	59	2.33	61%	0.09	17.8	0.9%	0	1.8	73	0
8	Mar_18_2013	57.36	60.87	61.05	61.23			61.27(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	20	-10000	2	72	2.2	58%	0.14	21.4	0.88%	0	0.7	73	0
9	Mar_15_2013	57.28	60.82	61.01	61.18			61.79(1.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	24	-10000	8	71	2.63	58%	0.14	25	0.87%	0	1.4	53	0
10	Mar_14_2013	57.2	60.76	60.85	60.96			60.96(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	13	-10000	1	47	2.62	56%	0.12	21	0.87%	0	0.3	48	0

11	Mar_13_2013	57.13	60.76	60.76	60.93			60.65(-1.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	9	-10000	-0	37	1.38	56%	0.12	18.1	0.86%	0	-0.1	49	0
12	Mar_12_2013	57.06	60.74	60.66	60.94			61.48(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	8	-10000	4	18	1.64	59%	0.11	19	0.84%	0	1.2	46	0
13	Mar_11_2013	57	60.68	60.66	60.84			61(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-4	-10000	1	-17	1.4	61%	0.09	16.7	0.84%	0	0.5	44	0
14	Mar_8_2013	56.95	60.65	60.42	60.82			60.72(-0.12%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-2	-10000	4	-18	1.38	61%	0.09	17.6	0.84%	0	0.1	46	0
15	Mar_7_2013	56.9	60.62	60.45	60.73			60.79(0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	1	-10000	7	-19	0.97	61%	0.09	14.4	0.85%	0	0.3	51	0

16	Mar_6_2013	56.85	60.63	60.44	60.56			60.73(-0.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-0	-10000	9	-28	1.1	61%	0.09	12.5	0.85%	0	0.2	51	0
17	Mar_5_2013	56.8	60.62	60.52	60.32			60.95(0.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	4	-10000	15	-30	1.32	61%	0.11	5.8	0.85%	0	0.5	53	0
18	Mar_4_2013	56.74	60.58	60.57	59.93			60.92(1.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.5	-14	-10000	-2	-50	2.13	61%	0.12	-8.5	0.85%	0	0.5	55	0
19	Mar_1_2013	56.67	60.54	60.59	59.97			60.26(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-16	-10000	-7	-43	1.51	59%	0.11	0	0.84%	0	-0.4	50	0
20	Feb_28_2013	56.61	60.53	60.64	60.15			59.95(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-12	-10000	-7	-26	2.2	64%	0.11	10.3	0.84%	0	-0.9	51	0

21	Feb_27_2013	56.55	60.55	60.71	60.32			59.52(0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-19	-10000	-17	-23	1.19	64%	0.09	22.6	0.84%	0	-1.6	40	0
22	Feb_26_2013	56.5	60.58	60.84	60.76			59.02(-3.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.9	-14	-10000	-20	6	2.27	62%	0.07	61.4	0.84%	0	-2.6	41	0
23	Feb_25_2013	56.46	60.63	61	61.27			61.1(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	14	-10000	-1	58	6.08	74%	0.11	114.9	0.71%	0	0.9	60	0
24	Feb_22_2013	56.4	60.54	60.93	61.28			61.18(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	19	-10000	4	64	1.33	77%	0.11	109.1	0.74%	0	1.1	62	0
25	Feb_21_2013	56.34	60.46	60.83	61.19			60.76(-1.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	15	-10000	1	58	1.88	77%		118.8	0.75%	0	0.5	61	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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