Trading Signals: NVS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jun. 24, 2010

Trading Signals: NVS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Novartis)
NVS latest price $42.8700 (-0.14%) ($42.7000 - $43.2100) on Thu. Jun. 24, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.32% (three month average)
RSI   86
Latest Price   $42.8700(-0.14%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NVS declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NVS advances 2.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NVS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(57%)    EWG(55%)    EWI(51%)    XLP(51%)    EWP(50%)
Factors Impacting NVS price   NVS will decline at least -0.66% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-18%)    TIP(-2%)    SHY(-1%)    GLD(6%)    IGOV(11%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.66% (StdDev 1.32%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $42.99(-0.28%)
10 Day Moving Average   $43.02(-0.35%)
20 Day Moving Average   $41.74(2.71%)
To recent high   -11.3%
To recent low   10.7%
Market Cap   $98.129b

Novartis AG is a holding company, which engages in the development, manufacture, and marketing of healthcare products. It operates through the following segments: Innovative Medicines, Sandoz, and Corporate. The Innovative Medicines segment researches, develops, manufactures, distributes and sells patented pharmaceuticals, and is composed of two business units: Novartis Oncology and Novartis Pharmaceuticals. The Sandoz segment develops, manufactures and markets finished dosage form medicines as well as intermediary products including active pharmaceutical ingredients. The Corporate segment refers to group management and central services. The company was founded on February 29, 1996 and is headquartered in Basel, Switzerland.

$. NVS price fluctuates within 3.5% (three month std-dev: 1.32%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100724

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_24_2010	45.27	41.74	43.02	42.99			42.87(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	31	-10000	-3	131	3.11	43%	-0.13	63.1	1.32%	0	0.8	86	0
2	Jun_23_2010	45.33	41.54	42.94	43.08			42.93(0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	36	-10000	-2	150	2.36	43%	-0.11	55.3	1.33%	0	0.9	66	0
3	Jun_22_2010	45.38	41.36	42.73	43.14			42.83(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	37	-10000	-3	157	3.12	43%	-0.11	51.2	1.33%	0	0.9	67	0
4	Jun_21_2010	45.43	41.2	42.48	43.24			43.23(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	47	-10000	4	174	2.61	43%	-0.11	48.2	1.33%	0	1.3	75	0
5	Jun_18_2010	45.48	41.02	42.14	43.13			43.1(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	45	-10000	3	170	2.15	43%	-0.09	42.6	1.33%	0	1.4	74	0

6	Jun_17_2010	45.52	40.84	41.8	43.04			43.32(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	50	-10000	10	169	2.17	43%	-0.11	33.1	1.33%	0	1.7	73	0
7	Jun_16_2010	45.57	40.69	41.55	42.76			43.2(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	59	-10000	18	183	2.98	43%	-0.11	22.8	1.33%	0	1.8	78	0
8	Jun_15_2010	45.62	40.55	41.28	42.25			43.34(1.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	61	-10000	24	171	3.27	43%	-0.09	6.6	1.33%	0	2.3	74	0
9	Jun_14_2010	45.66	40.44	40.91	41.59			42.67(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	50	-10000	22	135	5.17	41%	-0.11	-14.7	1.31%	0	2.1	67	0
10	Jun_11_2010	45.71	40.38	40.61	40.99			42.66(1.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	42	-10000	23	99	5.28	41%	-0.11	-32.2	1.31%	0	2.3	65	0

11	Jun_10_2010	45.76	40.35	40.32	40.38			41.95(3.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	21	-10000	8	61	5.6	39%	-0.11	-50.2	1.29%	0	1.6	64	0
12	Jun_9_2010	45.81	40.39	39.99	40.18			40.61(1.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	7	-10000	-0	27	5.3	34%	-0.15	-51.8	1.21%	0	0.2	48	0
13	Jun_8_2010	45.88	40.47	39.85	40.19			40.08(1.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	5	-10000	3	12	3.44	31%	-0.13	-52.9	1.2%	0	-0.3	45	0
14	Jun_7_2010	45.94	40.6	39.81	40.12			39.64(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-5	-10000	-1	-17	3.84	31%	-0.17	-57.2	1.19%	0	-0.7	37	0
15	Jun_4_2010	46.02	40.7	39.83	40.15			39.62(-3.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-12	-10000	-3	-37	3.18	31%	-0.17	-68.5	1.2%	0	-0.8	36	0

16	Jun_3_2010	46.1	40.85	39.82	40.22			40.95(0.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-1	-10000	20	-63	4.42	33%	-0.13	-74.2	1.14%	0	0.1	37	0
17	Jun_2_2010	46.16	40.96	39.78	39.77			40.64(2.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-22	-10000	13	-127	2.73	31%	-0.13	-82.7	1.13%	0	-0.2	32	0
18	Jun_1_2010	46.22	41.12	39.77	39.49			39.73(-0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-44	-10000	1	-180	3.35	27%	-0.15	-84.1	1.11%	0	-0.9	30	0
19	May_28_2010	46.29	41.36	39.94	39.47			39.8(-0.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-50	-10000	-1	-198	3.47	27%	-0.15	-76.7	1.12%	0	-0.9	29	0
20	May_27_2010	46.36	41.61	40.12	39.48			39.98(3.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-46	-10000	4	-194	4.51	27%	-0.13	-76	1.13%	0	-0.8	41	0

21	May_26_2010	46.42	41.87	40.36	39.38			38.71(-1.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-73	-10000	-19	-233	4.6	20%	-0.17	-76.9	1.04%	0	-1.6	28	0
22	May_25_2010	46.5	42.19	40.8	39.78			39.21(-1.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-63	-10000	-15	-207	7	21%	-0.17	-78.4	1.04%	0	-1.5	27	0
23	May_24_2010	46.58	42.49	41.14	40.09			39.63(-0.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-65	-10000	-18	-206	5.66	22%	-0.15	-79.3	1.04%	0	-1.5	26	0
24	May_21_2010	46.65	42.81	41.47	40.48			39.89(1.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-64	-10000	-18	-202	5.02	22%	-0.17	-76.7	1.03%	0	-1.5	24	0
25	May_20_2010	46.73	43.13	41.66	40.86			39.46(-3.09%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-78	-10000	-30	-222	6.25	19%		-75.8	1.03%	0	-1.9	20	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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