Trading Signals: NVS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ NVS: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Oct. 13, 2005

Trading Signals: NVS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Novartis)
NVS latest price $45.5200 (-0.39%) ($44.8600 - $45.6700) on Thu. Oct. 13, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.78% (three month average)
RSI   75
Latest Price   $45.5200(-0.39%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Weekly Trend   NVS advances 1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NVS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWG(56%)    SPY(55%)    EWI(52%)    EWP(51%)    XLP(51%)
Factors Impacting NVS price   NVS will decline at least -0.39% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-17%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(-2%)    REMX(-0%)    GLD(10%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.39% (StdDev 0.78%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $45.75(-0.5%)
10 Day Moving Average   $45.5(0.04%)
20 Day Moving Average   $44.76(1.7%)
To recent high   -1%
To recent low   9.1%
Market Cap   $104.194b

Novartis AG is a holding company, which engages in the development, manufacture, and marketing of healthcare products. It operates through the following segments: Innovative Medicines, Sandoz, and Corporate. The Innovative Medicines segment researches, develops, manufactures, distributes and sells patented pharmaceuticals, and is composed of two business units: Novartis Oncology and Novartis Pharmaceuticals. The Sandoz segment develops, manufactures and markets finished dosage form medicines as well as intermediary products including active pharmaceutical ingredients. The Corporate segment refers to group management and central services. The company was founded on February 29, 1996 and is headquartered in Basel, Switzerland.

$. NVS price fluctuates within 1.97% (three month std-dev: 0.78%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20051113

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_13_2005	43.43	44.76	45.5	45.75			45.52(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	31	-10000	1	122	2.27	61%	0.05	60.9	0.78%	0	0.9	75	0
2	Oct_12_2005	43.41	44.67	45.42	45.74			45.7(0.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0	40	-10000	6	141	1.97	61%	0.07	63.1	0.79%	0	1.2	81	0
3	Oct_11_2005	43.38	44.57	45.3	45.64			45.65(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	43	-10000	7	149	1.86	61%	0.05	61.5	0.79%	0	1.2	78	0
4	Oct_10_2005	43.36	44.46	45.16	45.51			45.99(0.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	44	-10000	7	153	1.2	61%	0.09	59.3	0.78%	0	1.8	85	0
5	Oct_7_2005	43.32	44.34	44.99	45.38			45.9(0.97%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	47	-10000	9	159	1.95	61%	0.07	63.2	0.79%	0	2.1	86	0

6	Oct_6_2005	43.29	44.23	44.79	45.22			45.46(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	46	-10000	10	152	1.55	59%	0.07	65.4	0.78%	0	1.8	69	0
7	Oct_5_2005	43.26	44.12	44.6	45.05			45.22(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	40	-10000	8	135	1.1	59%	0.05	67.8	0.79%	0	1.7	70	0
8	Oct_4_2005	43.24	44.04	44.45	44.9			44.99(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	37	-10000	9	121	1.15	59%	0.05	77.3	0.79%	0	1.6	66	0
9	Oct_3_2005	43.22	43.96	44.3	44.74			45.35(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	37	-10000	12	112	1.09	61%	0.07	84	0.78%	0	2.5	74	0
10	Sep_30_2005	43.19	43.86	44.08	44.53			45.09(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	31	-10000	13	86	2.07	61%	0.05	100	0.78%	0	2.7	67	0

11	Sep_29_2005	43.17	43.78	43.95	44.3			44.62(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	26	-10000	13	66	1.5	59%	0.05	122	0.77%	0	2.3	60	0
12	Sep_28_2005	43.15	43.7	43.85	44.08			44.44(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	18	-10000	9	46	2.54	59%	0.02	121.1	0.78%	0	2.2	63	0
13	Sep_27_2005	43.14	43.59	43.77	43.92			44.21(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	14	-10000	8	32	1.74	59%	0	83	0.78%	0	1.5	57	0
14	Sep_26_2005	43.14	43.51	43.69	43.78			44.28(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	14	-10000	12	18	0.89	59%	0.02	59.2	0.79%	0	1.7	59	0
15	Sep_23_2005	43.13	43.41	43.63	43.57			43.95(0.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	0	-10000	1	-2	0.89	56%	0	31.3	0.79%	0	1.1	58	0

16	Sep_22_2005	43.13	43.34	43.63	43.55			43.54(-0.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-1	-10000	-1	1	1.63	55%	-0.02	24.3	0.79%	0	0.4	51	0
17	Sep_21_2005	43.14	43.3	43.63	43.57			43.63(0.32%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	1	-10000	-2	9	1.49	58%	0	13.3	0.79%	0	0.6	60	0
18	Sep_20_2005	43.14	43.26	43.63	43.6			43.49(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	8	-10000	0	33	1.13	55%	0	5.7	0.82%	0	0.4	68	0
19	Sep_19_2005	43.14	43.26	43.61	43.59			43.24(-1.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	8	-10000	-5	46	0.78	55%	0.02	1.7	0.83%	0	-0	63	0
20	Sep_16_2005	43.13	43.25	43.64	43.59			43.84(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	20	-10000	0	79	0.58	58%	0.02	-1.7	0.81%	0	1.1	75	0

21	Sep_15_2005	43.12	43.22	43.6	43.68			43.66(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	25	-10000	2	93	2.18	58%	0.05	-11.9	0.82%	0	0.9	62	0
22	Sep_14_2005	43.1	43.23	43.55	43.64			43.77(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	26	-10000	1	99	2.06	58%	0.02	-15.4	0.82%	0	1	65	0
23	Sep_13_2005	43.09	43.22	43.41	43.62			43.43(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	22	-10000	-1	92	1.1	58%	0.02	-21.7	0.81%	0	0.4	60	0
24	Sep_12_2005	43.08	43.24	43.32	43.64			43.7(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	24	-10000	3	86	0.7	58%	0.02	-22	0.81%	0	0.9	53	0
25	Sep_9_2005	43.07	43.26	43.18	43.59			43.84(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	-10000	4	62	0.83	55%		-17.2	0.83%	0	1	54	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.