Trading Signals: NVS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jan. 22, 2004

Trading Signals: NVS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Novartis)
NVS latest price $41.5700 (0.14%) ($41.4500 - $42.0900) on Thu. Jan. 22, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.07% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $41.5700(0.14%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Weekly Trend   NVS declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NVS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWG(55%)    SPY(54%)    EWI(52%)    EWP(51%)    XLP(49%)
Factors Impacting NVS price   NVS will decline at least -0.535% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-15%)    SHY(-5%)    TIP(-1%)    REMX(0%)    LQD(12%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.535% (StdDev 1.07%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $41.03(1.32%)
10 Day Moving Average   $41.17(0.97%)
20 Day Moving Average   $40.74(2.04%)
To recent high   -0.3%
To recent low   26.2%
Market Cap   $95.153b

Novartis AG is a holding company, which engages in the development, manufacture, and marketing of healthcare products. It operates through the following segments: Innovative Medicines, Sandoz, and Corporate. The Innovative Medicines segment researches, develops, manufactures, distributes and sells patented pharmaceuticals, and is composed of two business units: Novartis Oncology and Novartis Pharmaceuticals. The Sandoz segment develops, manufactures and markets finished dosage form medicines as well as intermediary products including active pharmaceutical ingredients. The Corporate segment refers to group management and central services. The company was founded on February 29, 1996 and is headquartered in Basel, Switzerland.

$. NVS price fluctuates within 1.77% (three month std-dev: 1.07%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_22_2004	36.69	40.74	41.17	41.03			41.57(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-2	-10000	-0	-7	2.16	72%	0.22	75.7	1.07%	0	1.2	62	0
2	Jan_21_2004	36.61	40.61	41.14	41.04			41.51(1.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	5	-10000	2	12	1.5	69%	0.25	69.2	1.09%	0	1.1	67	0
3	Jan_20_2004	36.52	40.47	41.15	40.99			40.98(1.61%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	7	-10000	-2	33	0.35	69%	0.25	60.9	1.11%	0	0.6	68	0
4	Jan_16_2004	36.43	40.38	41.19	41.03			40.33(-1.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	9	-10000	-8	60	1.22	67%	0.19	54.2	1.11%	0	-0	66	0
5	Jan_15_2004	36.36	40.3	41.23	41.21			40.76(-2.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	21	-10000	-4	94	0.81	64%	0.25	56.7	1.1%	0	0.4	72	0

6	Jan_14_2004	36.27	40.21	41.22	41.31			41.61(0.8%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	34	-10000	2	129	0.58	68%	0.25	56.6	1.09%	0	1.2	87	0
7	Jan_13_2004	36.18	40.07	41.06	41.26			41.28(0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	33	-10000	-3	139	0.29	68%	0.22	57.8	1.09%	0	1.1	87	0
8	Jan_12_2004	36.1	39.95	40.89	41.34			41.16(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	39	-10000	-2	161	0.22	68%	0.25	64.7	1.09%	0	1.1	87	0
9	Jan_9_2004	36.01	39.83	40.71	41.38			41.22(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	47	-10000	5	173	0.59	71%	0.22	70.4	1.1%	0	1.3	78	0
10	Jan_8_2004	35.93	39.71	40.52	41.26			41.3(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	48	-10000	6	175	1.32	71%	0.22	72.7	1.11%	0	1.5	82	0

11	Jan_7_2004	35.85	39.58	40.29	41.11			41.33(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	53	-10000	13	172	0.57	71%	0.22	78.3	1.11%	0	1.8	74	0
12	Jan_6_2004	35.77	39.44	40.04	40.82			41.69(0.75%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	54	-10000	20	155	0.81	71%	0.25	82.8	1.11%	0	2.4	79	0
13	Jan_5_2004	35.68	39.25	39.73	40.38			41.38(1.97%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	45	-10000	19	121	1.04	71%	0.22	89.2	1.11%	0	2.8	78	0
14	Jan_2_2004	35.6	39.08	39.48	39.95			40.58(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	33	-10000	13	91	0.78	69%	0.28	95	1.09%	0	2.4	73	0
15	Dec_31_2003	35.5	38.96	39.27	39.67			40.57(1.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	28	-10000	15	68	0.55	71%	0.2	106.8	1.09%	0	2.8	74	0

16	Dec_30_2003	35.43	38.81	39.08	39.35			39.88(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	18	-10000	10	42	0.79	69%	0.2	114.3	1.09%	0	2.2	66	0
17	Dec_29_2003	35.36	38.69	38.98	39.14			39.49(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	13	-10000	8	29	0.21	69%	0.17	103	1.08%	0	1.6	65	0
18	Dec_26_2003	35.3	38.58	38.91	38.97			39.22(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	8	-10000	2	24	0.17	69%	0.17	94.4	1.09%	0	1.2	70	0
19	Dec_24_2003	35.24	38.49	38.88	38.93			39.2(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	14	-10000	7	34	0.17	62%	0.14	97.4	1.08%	0	1.2	68	0
20	Dec_23_2003	35.19	38.36	38.83	38.79			38.98(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	7	-10000	1	26	0.46	62%	0.17	76.2	1.17%	0	0.9	62	0

21	Dec_22_2003	35.13	38.26	38.82	38.77			38.79(0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	9	-10000	-1	39	0.52	60%	0.14	77	1.17%	0	0.7	68	0
22	Dec_19_2003	35.08	38.17	38.8	38.8			38.64(-1.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	12	-10000	-2	53	0.55	60%	0.14	79.2	1.2%	0	0.6	70	0
23	Dec_18_2003	35.03	38.07	38.75	38.84			39.05(1.43%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	18	-10000	1	68	1.09	60%	0.11	84.8	1.19%	0	1.2	78	0
24	Dec_17_2003	34.99	37.92	38.66	38.82			38.5(-1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	18	-10000	-2	77	0.85	58%	0.11	89.6	1.18%	0	0.6	74	0
25	Dec_16_2003	34.95	37.82	38.64	38.87			38.89(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	28	-10000	1	107	0.37	58%		102.4	1.17%	0	1.1	89	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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