Trading Signals: NVS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Nov. 7, 2003

Trading Signals: NVS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Novartis)
NVS latest price $33.2900 (0.82%) ($32.8500 - $33.4600) on Fri. Nov. 7, 2003.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.06% (three month average)
RSI   22
Latest Price   $33.2900(0.82%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NVS declines -0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NVS declines -2.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NVS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWG(55%)    SPY(54%)    EWI(51%)    EWP(51%)    XLP(49%)
Factors Impacting NVS price   NVS will decline at least -0.53% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-15%)    SHY(-5%)    REMX(0%)    LQD(12%)    OIH(33%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.53% (StdDev 1.06%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $28.6(-14.09%)
Resistance Level   $34.29
5 Day Moving Average   $33.25(0.12%)
10 Day Moving Average   $33.62(-0.98%)
20 Day Moving Average   $34.29(-2.92%)
To recent high   -7.1%
To recent low   1.8%
Market Cap   $76.2b

Novartis AG is a holding company, which engages in the development, manufacture, and marketing of healthcare products. It operates through the following segments: Innovative Medicines, Sandoz, and Corporate. The Innovative Medicines segment researches, develops, manufactures, distributes and sells patented pharmaceuticals, and is composed of two business units: Novartis Oncology and Novartis Pharmaceuticals. The Sandoz segment develops, manufactures and markets finished dosage form medicines as well as intermediary products including active pharmaceutical ingredients. The Corporate segment refers to group management and central services. The company was founded on February 29, 1996 and is headquartered in Basel, Switzerland.

$. NVS price fluctuates within 2.6% (three month std-dev: 1.06%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20031207

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_7_2003	34.34	34.29	33.62	33.25			33.29(0.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-37	-10000	-7	-126	0.86	44%	-0.12	-49.6	1.06%	0	-1.1	22	0
2	Nov_6_2003	34.38	34.41	33.75	33.38			33.02(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-36	-10000	-7	-121	0.85	44%	-0.12	-41.9	1.05%	0	-1.6	30	0
3	Nov_5_2003	34.42	34.53	33.89	33.51			32.93(-0.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-37	-10000	-9	-121	0.88	44%	-0.12	-39.2	1.06%	0	-2	27	0
4	Nov_4_2003	34.46	34.62	34.04	33.67			33.16(-2.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-41	-10000	-14	-123	0.97	46%	-0.09	-38.9	1.05%	0	-2	29	0
5	Nov_3_2003	34.49	34.7	34.21	33.92			33.86(-0.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-34	-10000	-7	-114	0.81	49%	-0.03	-33.5	1.04%	0	-1.3	28	0

6	Oct_31_2003	34.5	34.74	34.36	34.04			33.93(0.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-33	-10000	-8	-106	1.63	44%	-0.06	-26	1.08%	0	-1.4	27	0
7	Oct_30_2003	34.52	34.78	34.46	34.18			33.65(-0.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-34	-10000	-9	-108	0.58	44%	-0.09	-14	1.09%	0	-2	25	0
8	Oct_29_2003	34.55	34.84	34.61	34.34			33.76(-1.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-29	-10000	-6	-96	0.56	44%	-0.06	0	1.09%	0	-2.1	36	0
9	Oct_28_2003	34.57	34.9	34.75	34.46			34.39(-0.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-24	-10000	-5	-82	0.51	47%	-0.03	14.8	1.07%	0	-1.1	49	0
10	Oct_27_2003	34.58	34.91	34.88	34.55			34.48(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-23	-10000	-10	-60	0.44	47%	-0.03	12.1	1.07%	0	-0.9	53	0

11	Oct_24_2003	34.59	34.9	35.01	34.74			34.63(0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-8	-10000	-3	-23	0.39	47%	-0.03	14.5	1.08%	0	-0.5	52	0
12	Oct_23_2003	34.6	34.86	35.12	34.79			34.44(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-7	-10000	-7	-5	0.88	50%	-0.03	1.9	1.08%	0	-0.8	50	0
13	Oct_22_2003	34.61	34.85	35.21	34.93			34.34(-1.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-3	-10000	-8	13	0.95	50%	-0.06	-3	1.13%	0	-0.9	47	0
14	Oct_21_2003	34.63	34.83	35.26	35.08			34.84(-1.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-1	-10000	-9	24	1.07	51%	-0.03	-6.6	1.11%	0	0	51	0
15	Oct_20_2003	34.64	34.85	35.23	35.26			35.45(1.66%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	8	-10000	-4	44	1.01	53%	0.03	-0.6	1.1%	0	1	65	0

16	Oct_17_2003	34.63	34.82	35.15	35.34			34.87(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	8	-10000	-9	59	0.47	51%	-0.06	1.2	1.08%	0	0.1	63	0
17	Oct_16_2003	34.65	34.85	35.14	35.52			35.15(0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	22	-10000	-1	92	0.97	51%	-0.03	11.4	1.09%	0	0.5	71	0
18	Oct_15_2003	34.66	34.86	35.1	35.53			35.1(-1.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	31	-10000	5	108	0.83	51%	-0.03	13.7	1.09%	0	0.4	66	0
19	Oct_14_2003	34.67	34.87	35.08	35.44			35.72(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	41	-10000	14	121	0.97	54%	0.03	9.9	1.07%	0	1.3	77	0
20	Oct_13_2003	34.66	34.85	34.94	35.18			35.85(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	32	-10000	13	88	1.25	54%	0.03	1.7	1.07%	0	1.7	55	0

21	Oct_10_2003	34.65	34.81	34.76	34.94			35.77(1.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	23	-10000	12	54	3.2	54%	0.03	-7.9	1.08%	0	1.7	56	0
22	Oct_9_2003	34.64	34.81	34.56	34.72			35.2(1.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	5	-10000	5	6	1.2	51%	0	-13.5	1.07%	0	0.8	44	0
23	Oct_8_2003	34.64	34.78	34.43	34.63			34.64(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-9	-10000	-2	-28	0.72	48%	0	-5.2	1.05%	0	-0.3	38	0
24	Oct_7_2003	34.64	34.81	34.37	34.67			34.44(-0.58%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-10	-10000	1	-44	0.44	48%	-0.03	11.6	1.05%	0	-0.7	38	0
25	Oct_6_2003	34.65	34.84	34.43	34.65			34.64(-0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-8	-10000	6	-50	0.4	48%		30.3	1.05%	0	-0.4	38	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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