Trading Signals: NVDA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Nov. 19, 2021

Trading Signals: NVDA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Jul. 26, 2016 - Thu. Jun. 13, 2024)

(Nvidia Stock)
NVDA latest price $329.8700 (4.17%) ($329.8700 - $329.8700) on Fri. Nov. 19, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.83% (three month average)
RSI   81
Latest Price   $329.8700(4.17%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NVDA advances 1.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NVDA advances 5.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Rotation from value to growth for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NVDA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWF(80%)    FIVG(79%)    DRIV(74%)    IDRV(68%)    SKYY(67%)
Factors Impacting NVDA price   NVDA will decline at least -1.415% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-24%)    UUP(-13%)    VXX(-8%)    TBT(-5%)    GLD(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.415% (StdDev 2.83%)
Hourly BBV 1.1 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $308.27(7.01%)
10 Day Moving Average   $306.16(7.74%)
20 Day Moving Average   $285.2(15.66%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   67.1%
Market Cap   $202.87b

NVIDIA Corp. engages in the design and manufacture of computer graphics processors, chipsets, and related multimedia software. It operates through the Graphics Processing Unit (GPU) and Tegra Processor segments. The GPU segment comprises of product brands, which aims specialized markets including GeForce for gamers; Quadro for designers; Tesla and DGX for AI data scientists and big data researchers; and GRID for cloud-based visual computing users. The Tegra Processor segment integrates an entire computer onto a single chip, and incorporates GPUs and multi-core CPUs to drive supercomputing for autonomous robots, drones, and cars, as well as for consoles and mobile gaming and entertainment devices. The company was founded by Jen-Hsun Huang, Chris A. Malachowsky, and Curtis R. Priem in January 1993 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, CA.

$. NVDA price fluctuates within 10.32% (three month std-dev: 2.83%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 11 Average positive next day return: 4.83%(27%) Average negative next day return: -3.62%(73%) Sample size 11 Average positive next three day return: 6.63%(36%) Average negative next three day return: -3.93%(64%) Sample size 11 Average positive next weekly return: 9.67%(27%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.71%(73%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20211219

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_19_2021	223.92	285.2	306.16	308.27	310	323.26	329.87(4.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	384	320	419	277	50.34	79%	0.58	75.9	2.83%	1.1	1.5	81	1.1
2	Nov_18_2021	222.62	280.09	302.71	303.07	302.56	304.72	316.65(8.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	184	40	181	193	75.39	77%	0.54	72.7	2.83%	1.2	1.2	80	1.7
3	Nov_17_2021	221.43	275.66	300.7	300.54	299.37	296.75	292.79(-3.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-46	-70	-100	115	35.3	72%	0.43	70.8	2.7%	-2.3	0.6	78	2.1
4	Nov_16_2021	220.48	272.23	298.47	301.02	302.17	300.4	301.93(0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	32	-30	-16	174	26.2	75%	0.47	71.2	2.69%	0.1	0.9	85	2.1
5	Nov_15_2021	219.44	268.34	294.97	301.93	300.79	301.99	300.11(-1.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	2	20	-58	180	36.42	75%	0.51	74.7	2.7%	-0.5	1	80	2.2

6	Nov_12_2021	218.32	264.48	291.08	303.51	302.39	303.95	303.88(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	123	30	73	272	38.45	75%	0.52	78.9	2.69%	1	1.2	86	1.1
7	Nov_11_2021	217.18	260.21	286.43	302.23	303.42	299.58	304.01(3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	68	-80	0	271	30.61	75%	0.54	81.1	2.69%	0.2	1.4	87	0.5
8	Nov_10_2021	216.02	255.81	281.08	300.97	301.58	300.83	295.15(-3.7%)	CR	OpenShort	-55	-0.2	-21	-10	-112	252	60	74%	0.5	82.8	2.69%	-1.6	1.2	86	0.5
9	Nov_9_2021	214.94	251.5	276.18	295.16	302.22	307.26	306.5(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	271	190	230	395	62.73	78%	0.58	78.6	2.65%	-0.2	1.7	94	0.9
10	Nov_8_2021	213.69	246.41	270.26	286.67	292.11	302.33	308.01(3.54%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	288	300	253	394	47.12	78%	0.58	75.2	2.65%	0.7	2.1	93	1

11	Nov_5_2021	212.45	241.19	262.5	276.73	280.75	297.18	297.47(-0.08%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	0.8	425	450	423	429	84.87	77%	0.53	74.3	2.63%	0.6	2.1	92	1
12	Nov_4_2021	211.32	236.56	255.38	268.37	271.16	281.9	297.72(11.89%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	468	310	483	424	112.06	77%	0.58	73.4	2.63%	1.7	2.6	93	1.3
13	Nov_3_2021	210.1	231.99	248.05	258.67	260.65	264.32	266.08(0.76%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	193	120	159	293	22.1	73%	0.43	74.9	2.23%	1.2	1.7	90	1.3
14	Nov_2_2021	209.2	228.91	243.55	254.35	256.44	260.43	264.07(2.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	182	130	149	281	28.91	73%	0.41	73.1	2.23%	1.4	1.9	91	1.3
15	Nov_1_2021	208.34	225.88	239.36	251.25	251.92	256.99	258.31(1.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	189	150	155	290	24.26	72%	0.39	72	2.22%	1	1.8	91	1.2

16	Oct_29_2021	207.53	222.78	235.68	245.87	249.49	252.45	255.68(2.6%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	248	130	228	306	25.73	72%	0.41	63.4	2.23%	1.5	2	90	1.2
17	Oct_28_2021	206.69	220.23	231.89	240.19	243.42	246.86	249.2(1.92%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	133	140	99	234	20.28	71%	0.37	55.2	2.21%	0.7	2	87	1.2
18	Oct_27_2021	205.92	218.04	228.59	235.74	237.94	246.53	244.5(-1.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	240	280	231	268	23.04	71%	0.35	47.7	2.21%	0.4	2	80	1.1
19	Oct_26_2021	205.21	216.01	225.04	231	233.17	239.98	248.56(7.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.5	341	230	357	294	44.68	71%	0.36	39.5	2.2%	1.3	2.8	87	1.2
20	Oct_25_2021	204.47	213.79	220.73	225.84	226.23	229.34	231.4(1.81%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	129	100	114	175	20.24	67%	0.28	33.7	2.03%	1.6	2	83	1.4

21	Oct_22_2021	203.9	212.95	218.29	224.02	224.06	226.36	227.29(0.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	123	70	106	175	21.73	67%	0.29	29.7	2.03%	0.8	1.8	85	1.5
22	Oct_21_2021	203.32	212.49	216.37	222.29	222.82	223.11	226.96(2.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	88	20	67	151	18.64	70%	0.3	24.4	2.03%	1.9	1.9	67	1.8
23	Oct_20_2021	202.71	211.98	214.71	220.29	221.12	221.77	220.79(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	34	30	6	116	13.22	68%	0.29	16.2	2.06%	-1.4	1.2	63	1.7
24	Oct_19_2021	202.12	211.52	213.23	217.95	220.16	222.53	222.75(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	121	110	114	143	14.8	70%	0.1	0.9	2.06%	1	1.7	66	1.9
25	Oct_18_2021	201.91	210.84	211.44	214.74	216.76	220.48	222.31(1.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	131	150	133	124	16.49	70%		-20.9	2.1%	1.6	1.8	64	2.1
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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