Trading Signals: NVDA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jul. 1, 2021

Trading Signals: NVDA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Jul. 26, 2016 - Fri. Apr. 26, 2024)

(Nvidia Stock)
NVDA latest price $202.1200 (1.05%) ($200.1900 - $204.5600) on Thu. Jul. 1, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.28% (three month average)
RSI   82
Latest Price   $202.1200(1.05%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NVDA advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NVDA advances 5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NVDA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(80%)    IWF(79%)    FIVG(78%)    IVW(77%)    DRIV(72%)
Factors Impacting NVDA price   NVDA will decline at least -1.14% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-35%)    UUP(-17%)    VXX(-12%)    TBT(-5%)    IGOV(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.14% (StdDev 2.28%)
Hourly BBV 1.5 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $198.51(1.82%)
10 Day Moving Average   $193.84(4.27%)
20 Day Moving Average   $186.08(8.62%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   47.9%
Market Cap   $124.304b

NVIDIA Corp. engages in the design and manufacture of computer graphics processors, chipsets, and related multimedia software. It operates through the Graphics Processing Unit (GPU) and Tegra Processor segments. The GPU segment comprises of product brands, which aims specialized markets including GeForce for gamers; Quadro for designers; Tesla and DGX for AI data scientists and big data researchers; and GRID for cloud-based visual computing users. The Tegra Processor segment integrates an entire computer onto a single chip, and incorporates GPUs and multi-core CPUs to drive supercomputing for autonomous robots, drones, and cars, as well as for consoles and mobile gaming and entertainment devices. The company was founded by Jen-Hsun Huang, Chris A. Malachowsky, and Curtis R. Priem in January 1993 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, CA.

$. NVDA price fluctuates within 5.27% (three month std-dev: 2.28%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 2.13%(42%) Average negative next day return: -1.89%(58%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 3.87%(46%) Average negative next three day return: -2.96%(54%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 5.33%(48%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.6%(52%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20210801

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_1_2021	151.67	186.08	193.84	198.51	199.53	201.05	202.12(1.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	97	70	75	162	48.01	75%	0.36	93.5	2.28%	1.5	1.6	82	1.7
2	Jun_30_2021	151.12	184.45	192.25	196.5	196.87	199.62	200.03(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	91	100	68	160	32.66	77%	0.39	96.6	2.32%	1.5	1.6	83	1.5
3	Jun_29_2021	150.53	182.82	190.1	194.61	194.94	198.01	200.27(0.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	137	120	123	177	36.76	77%	0.38	95.7	2.32%	0.9	1.8	84	1.4
4	Jun_28_2021	149.96	180.94	187.85	192.33	192.73	194.12	199.85(5.01%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	110	60	95	156	49.54	77%	0.44	100.8	2.32%	1.6	2.1	81	1.7
5	Jun_25_2021	149.31	179.05	185.8	189.22	190.2	191.87	190.31(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	62	80	43	120	27.84	75%	0.37	102.1	2.27%	-1	1.3	72	2

6	Jun_24_2021	148.76	177.34	184.61	188.43	188.12	191.33	192.06(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	93	110	79	134	32.09	72%	0.39	95	2.27%	0.6	1.5	75	1.7
7	Jun_23_2021	148.18	175.6	182.84	187.33	187.15	188.54	190.57(0.9%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	123	50	115	147	33.24	72%	0.38	98.6	2.32%	1	1.5	80	1.7
8	Jun_22_2021	147.62	173.9	181.13	184.84	185.21	184.91	188.87(2.49%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	41	-10	21	99	58.01	72%	0.39	99.1	2.33%	0.6	1.5	80	1.4
9	Jun_21_2021	147.04	172.26	179.67	182.64	182.98	185.75	184.27(-1.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	42	110	23	100	67.24	71%	0.38	100.9	2.33%	-0.8	1.2	82	0.6
10	Jun_18_2021	146.49	170.59	178.83	181.83	181.87	185.51	186.39(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	157	140	153	167	96.89	66%	0.39	97.3	2.32%	0.5	1.5	86	-0.2

11	Jun_17_2021	145.92	168.6	177.7	180.2	179.52	180.2	186.57(4.76%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	90	20	70	148	80.97	66%	0.41	93.8	2.41%	1.6	1.6	89	1
12	Jun_16_2021	145.33	166.34	175.98	177.74	178.06	178.23	178.1(0.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	35	10	5	125	30.71	64%	0.3	84.6	2.35%	-0.6	1	81	0.9
13	Jun_15_2021	144.89	164.51	175	176.83	177	178.84	177.89(-1.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	65	80	37	150	24.3	64%	0.3	76.4	2.35%	-0.7	1.1	81	1
14	Jun_14_2021	144.46	162.73	173.56	176.17	175.91	177.89	180.19(1.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	100	70	76	173	32.14	64%	0.31	72.8	2.35%	1.1	1.3	86	1.4
15	Jun_11_2021	144.02	160.84	171.81	175.37	174.81	175.16	178.25(2.3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	67	0	32	171	41.63	66%	0.28	69.9	2.36%	1.5	1.3	88	1.4

16	Jun_10_2021	143.62	158.77	169.56	174.88	174.81	173.93	174.25(0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	38	-30	-6	168	28.78	66%	0.29	65	2.4%	1	1.2	89	1.2
17	Jun_9_2021	143.21	156.95	167.89	173.96	174.5	174.45	173.58(-0.57%)	UT	HoldLong	50	-0	57	10	10	197	38.17	69%	0.32	60.4	2.4%	-0.9	1.2	90	1
18	Jun_8_2021	142.76	155.39	166.22	172.8	173.13	175.07	174.57(-0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	91	80	48	219	32.38	64%	0.22	59.8	2.57%	-0.4	1.5	92	1.2
19	Jun_7_2021	142.44	153.75	164.36	170.42	170.84	174.55	176.19(0.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	142	160	110	239	57.58	64%	0.35	55.3	2.73%	0.7	1.8	91	1.4
20	Jun_4_2021	141.95	152.23	161.72	167.67	167.48	171.2	175.78(3.59%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	161	150	134	242	61.71	62%	0.33	53.4	2.73%	1.2	2.1	88	1.5

21	Jun_3_2021	141.49	150.6	158.73	163.49	163.78	167.12	169.7(1.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	134	150	107	215	58	57%	0.25	45.1	2.75%	1.1	1.9	89	1.2
22	Jun_2_2021	141.14	149.26	155.87	160.95	160.58	163.76	167.78(3.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	118	130	92	194	59.42	55%	0.24	38	2.81%	1.3	2.1	86	1.5
23	Jun_1_2021	140.8	147.96	153.1	158.69	158.48	160.44	162.65(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	98	80	74	168	47.28	54%	0.25	29.3	2.83%	1.3	1.9	72	1.1
24	May_28_2021	140.45	147.16	150.99	157.38	157.16	157.4	162.45(4.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	66	10	39	146	64.45	54%	0.21	23.9	2.83%	1.9	2.2	72	1.5
25	May_27_2021	140.15	146.43	148.93	154.88	156.05	156.52	154.88(-1.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	40	40	16	113	58.15	51%		13.4	2.79%	-1.8	1.4	57	1.9
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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