Trading Signals: NVDA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jan. 31, 2018

Trading Signals: NVDA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Jul. 26, 2016 - Wed. May. 29, 2024)

(Nvidia Stock)
NVDA latest price $61.4500 (1.27%) ($61.1125 - $62.3175) on Wed. Jan. 31, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.09% (three month average)
RSI   75
Latest Price   $61.4500(1.27%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NVDA advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NVDA advances 4.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NVDA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(79%)    IWF(78%)    IVW(76%)    SMH(72%)    VUG(72%)
Factors Impacting NVDA price   NVDA will decline at least -1.045% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-15%)    UUP(-13%)    TLT(-7%)    SHY(-6%)    GDXJ(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.045% (StdDev 2.09%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $60.75(1.15%)
10 Day Moving Average   $59.55(3.19%)
20 Day Moving Average   $57.4(7.06%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   32%
Market Cap   $37.792b

NVIDIA Corp. engages in the design and manufacture of computer graphics processors, chipsets, and related multimedia software. It operates through the Graphics Processing Unit (GPU) and Tegra Processor segments. The GPU segment comprises of product brands, which aims specialized markets including GeForce for gamers; Quadro for designers; Tesla and DGX for AI data scientists and big data researchers; and GRID for cloud-based visual computing users. The Tegra Processor segment integrates an entire computer onto a single chip, and incorporates GPUs and multi-core CPUs to drive supercomputing for autonomous robots, drones, and cars, as well as for consoles and mobile gaming and entertainment devices. The company was founded by Jen-Hsun Huang, Chris A. Malachowsky, and Curtis R. Priem in January 1993 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, CA.

$. NVDA price fluctuates within 4.58% (three month std-dev: 2.09%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 1.8%(20%) Average negative next day return: -0.93%(80%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 2.32%(60%) Average negative next three day return: -1.07%(40%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 2.2%(60%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.31%(40%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180303

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_31_2018	50.54	57.4	59.55	60.75	60.85	61.06	61.45(1.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	49	30	21	134	47.86	66%	0.4	113.5	2.09%	0	1.5	75	-1.6
2	Jan_30_2018	50.34	56.83	59.03	60.25	60.3	60.84	60.68(-1.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	40	70	12	123	57.08	66%	0.38	100.2	2.09%	0	1.3	74	-1.9
3	Jan_29_2018	50.15	56.24	58.48	60.06	59.99	60.65	61.71(1.45%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	62	70	39	131	45.51	66%	0.42	101.2	2.08%	0	1.9	80	-2.1
4	Jan_26_2018	49.94	55.62	57.87	59.4	59.54	59.76	60.83(2.95%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	51	30	29	118	51.64	68%	0.4	87.7	2.11%	0	1.7	83	136.8
5	Jan_25_2018	49.74	55.04	57.37	58.74	58.98	59.34	59.09(0.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	42	50	18	112	40.99	63%	0.36	81.2	2.08%	0	1.3	81	137.4

6	Jan_24_2018	49.56	54.56	57.04	58.15	58.45	59.33	58.95(-1.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	58	120	38	117	58	63%	0.36	73.2	2.11%	0	1.3	82	-1.4
7	Jan_23_2018	49.38	54.06	56.69	57.59	57.65	58.61	59.73(2.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	75	120	54	137	47.52	63%	0.22	69.6	2.11%	0	1.7	92	0.1
8	Jan_22_2018	49.27	53.51	56.24	56.65	56.68	57.57	58.42(1.56%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	65	110	39	142	55.09	61%	0.33	69.7	2.09%	0	1.6	92	0.9
9	Jan_19_2018	49.11	53.04	55.78	56.12	56.09	56.69	57.53(2.53%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	61	70	32	149	60.94	61%	0.33	69.5	2.09%	0	1.5	83	1
10	Jan_18_2018	48.95	52.61	55.37	55.82	55.73	55.79	56.11(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	45	0	8	157	40.86	60%	0.33	70.2	2.07%	0	1.1	82	-INF

11	Jan_17_2018	48.79	52.27	55.08	55.78	55.74	55.49	56.18(2.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	44	-30	-0	177	53.84	60%	0.31	72.2	2.07%	0	1.3	82	INF
12	Jan_16_2018	48.64	51.86	54.48	55.64	55.65	55.66	55.03(-1.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	39	0	-9	183	70.23	58%	0.45	72.8	2.05%	0	1.1	81	INF
13	Jan_12_2018	48.42	51.44	53.87	55.73	55.62	55.98	55.75(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	63	40	17	199	35.99	58%	0.31	72.5	2.05%	0	1.4	84	INF
14	Jan_11_2018	48.27	50.98	53.25	55.36	55.51	55.63	56.02(0.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	71	20	28	199	40.6	58%	0.31	67.8	2.05%	0	1.7	84	INF
15	Jan_10_2018	48.12	50.55	52.58	54.83	54.87	55.26	55.92(0.78%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	55	50	12	182	58.27	58%	0.33	66.4	2.05%	0	1.8	84	INF

16	Jan_9_2018	47.96	50.17	51.91	54.27	54.54	55.39	55.49(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	87	120	55	184	49.7	58%	0.33	70.3	2.06%	0	2	78	INF
17	Jan_8_2018	47.8	49.77	51.23	53.14	53.71	54.49	55.5(3.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	91	130	68	160	88.12	58%	0.34	62.7	2.07%	0	2.4	82	INF
18	Jan_5_2018	47.64	49.37	50.54	51.72	52.2	53.68	53.85(0.85%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	70	230	52	123	58.01	55%	0.29	50.1	2.04%	0	2.3	83	INF
19	Jan_4_2018	47.5	49.02	50.05	50.82	51.05	52.94	53.4(0.53%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.5	96	270	86	124	58.33	55%	0.25	38.9	2.04%	0	2.6	82	INF
20	Jan_3_2018	47.38	48.68	49.58	49.99	49.99	50.72	53.12(6.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	71	100	63	96	91.47	55%	0.25	12.6	2.04%	0	3.2	72	INF

21	Jan_2_2018	47.26	48.35	49.17	49.24	49.3	49.16	49.84(3.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	17	-20	4	57	35.56	48%	0.34	-34.1	1.88%	0	1.5	56	INF
22	Dec_29_2017	47.1	48.31	48.98	49.04	49.16	49.25	48.38(-1.98%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	8	20	-6	48	28	44%	0.17	-60.3	1.85%	0	0.1	54	INF
23	Dec_28_2017	47.02	48.39	48.84	49.16	49.05	49.45	49.35(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	22	50	12	53	24.02	46%	0.13	-68	1.84%	0	0.9	58	INF
24	Dec_27_2017	46.96	48.37	48.57	49.13	48.96	49.07	49.29(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	23	10	14	49	32.95	46%	0.15	-89.7	1.84%	0	0.9	62	INF
25	Dec_26_2017	46.89	48.51	48.41	49.08	48.91	48.64	49.36(1.11%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	6	-50	-7	44	35.51	46%		-72.7	1.85%	0	0.6	64	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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