Trading Signals: NVDA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jun. 23, 2017

Trading Signals: NVDA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Jul. 26, 2016 - Thu. Jun. 20, 2024)

(Nvidia Stock)
NVDA latest price $38.4575 (-2.87%) ($38.3050 - $39.8300) on Fri. Jun. 23, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.23% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $38.4575(-2.87%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NVDA advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NVDA advances 2.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NVDA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWF(77%)    XLK(72%)    VUG(71%)    SKYY(69%)    BOTZ(67%)
Factors Impacting NVDA price   NVDA will decline at least -1.615% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-13%)    UUP(-8%)    TLT(-7%)    SHY(-5%)    IPO(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.615% (StdDev 3.23%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $39.3(-2.14%)
10 Day Moving Average   $38.62(-0.42%)
20 Day Moving Average   $37.78(1.79%)
To recent high   -3.8%
To recent low   61.1%
Market Cap   $23.651b

NVIDIA Corp. engages in the design and manufacture of computer graphics processors, chipsets, and related multimedia software. It operates through the Graphics Processing Unit (GPU) and Tegra Processor segments. The GPU segment comprises of product brands, which aims specialized markets including GeForce for gamers; Quadro for designers; Tesla and DGX for AI data scientists and big data researchers; and GRID for cloud-based visual computing users. The Tegra Processor segment integrates an entire computer onto a single chip, and incorporates GPUs and multi-core CPUs to drive supercomputing for autonomous robots, drones, and cars, as well as for consoles and mobile gaming and entertainment devices. The company was founded by Jen-Hsun Huang, Chris A. Malachowsky, and Curtis R. Priem in January 1993 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, CA.

$. NVDA price fluctuates within 3.57% (three month std-dev: 3.23%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 4.2%(75%) Average negative next day return: -0.53%(25%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 3.93%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -1.97%(50%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 4.83%(63%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.41%(38%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170723

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_23_2017	29.39	37.78	38.62	39.3	39.51	39.41	38.46(-2.87%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	9	-0	-2	40	108.86	66%	0.34	92.2	3.23%	0	0.5	59	0
2	Jun_22_2017	29.29	37.59	38.53	39.19	39.46	39.65	39.59(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	19	50	9	49	46.91	66%	0.38	85.7	3.21%	0	1.3	69	0
3	Jun_21_2017	29.18	37.35	38.54	38.89	39.04	39.62	39.87(1.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	29	120	17	63	68.27	63%	0.45	86.5	3.21%	0	1.6	69	0
4	Jun_20_2017	29.05	37.07	38.27	38.51	38.52	39.26	39.27(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	31	140	21	60	109.54	65%	0.41	79.8	3.24%	0	1.4	68	0
5	Jun_19_2017	28.93	36.84	38.03	38.22	38.06	38.46	39.33(3.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	28	60	19	55	77.82	65%	0.42	79.9	3.26%	0	1.6	67	0

6	Jun_16_2017	28.81	36.57	37.79	37.85	37.82	37.77	37.91(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	17	-10	6	48	92.5	63%	0.35	80.6	3.24%	0	0.9	66	0
7	Jun_15_2017	28.71	36.35	37.61	37.75	37.52	37.66	38.09(0.43%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	2	10	-13	45	96.38	63%	0.42	78.9	3.24%	0	1.1	71	0
8	Jun_14_2017	28.59	36.05	37.42	38.13	37.93	37.88	37.93(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	24	-20	7	73	118.46	63%	0.39	81.6	3.24%	0	1	70	0
9	Jun_13_2017	28.48	35.87	37.24	38	38.23	37.37	37.85(0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	16	-140	-4	75	167.25	63%	0.42	104.6	3.24%	0	1.1	71	0
10	Jun_12_2017	28.36	35.65	37.08	37.8	38.05	37.98	37.49(0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	6	10	-16	73	169.75	63%	0.42	124.2	3.25%	0	1	66	0

11	Jun_9_2017	28.24	35.38	36.89	37.7	38.09	39.09	37.4(-6.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	44	210	26	97	369.29	63%	0.39	133.7	3.25%	0	1.1	69	0
12	Jun_8_2017	28.13	35.1	36.62	37.4	37.4	38.13	39.99(7.26%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	55	140	38	105	116.17	69%	0.54	139.1	3.12%	0	2.4	88	0
13	Jun_7_2017	27.98	34.61	36.06	36.62	36.65	37.08	37.28(1.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	33	80	14	90	61.26	65%	0.43	146.8	3.02%	0	1.4	87	0
14	Jun_6_2017	27.86	34.07	35.76	36.39	36.36	36.68	36.84(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	30	60	12	84	75.87	65%	0.32	105.9	3.02%	0	1.1	63	0
15	Jun_5_2017	27.77	33.53	35.54	36.26	36.18	36.21	37(3.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	29	-0	9	88	81.74	65%	0.43	87.8	3.02%	0	1.1	67	0

16	Jun_2_2017	27.65	33	35.24	35.95	36.12	36.05	35.91(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	27	0	6	90	48.75	60%	0.36	78.5	3.01%	0	0.9	70	0
17	Jun_1_2017	27.55	32.52	34.99	35.68	35.89	36.16	36.09(0.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	29	70	8	92	50.33	60%	0.36	71.2	3.05%	0	1	72	0
18	May_31_2017	27.45	32.03	34.59	35.39	35.55	36.19	36.09(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	39	140	19	98	88.73	63%	0.37	67	3.07%	0	1.1	76	0
19	May_30_2017	27.35	31.53	34.38	35.03	35.21	35.63	36.22(2.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	50	100	21	137	98.97	60%	0.4	62.9	3.07%	0	1.2	85	0
20	May_26_2017	27.24	31.04	34.1	34.73	34.81	34.9	35.46(2.59%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	50	30	9	171	77.91	61%	0.37	62.4	3.09%	0	1.2	85	0

21	May_25_2017	27.14	30.57	33.76	34.44	34.67	34.79	34.57(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	56	40	7	202	60.82	61%	0.33	62.8	3.1%	0	1.1	82	0
22	May_24_2017	27.05	30.16	33.47	34.18	34.54	34.72	34.64(1.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	73	70	18	238	81.74	61%	0.33	63.5	3.12%	0	1.2	82	0
23	May_23_2017	26.96	29.72	33.06	33.64	33.99	34.55	34.26(-1.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	68	150	7	249	68.12	54%	0.3	62.7	3.12%	0	1.3	81	0
24	May_22_2017	26.88	29.31	32.26	33.63	33.55	34.37	34.73(2.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	77	160	20	248	83.66	54%	0.3	67	3.35%	0	1.5	84	0
25	May_19_2017	26.8	28.84	31.39	33.4	33.4	33.42	34(2.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	77	0	20	247	101.84	56%		70.7	3.34%	0	1.6	77	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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