Trading Signals: NVDA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. May. 12, 2017

Trading Signals: NVDA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Jul. 26, 2016 - Tue. May. 28, 2024)

(Nvidia Stock)
NVDA latest price $31.9725 (1.1%) ($31.4450 - $32.4000) on Fri. May. 12, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.19% (three month average)
RSI   81
Latest Price   $31.9725(1.1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NVDA advances 4.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NVDA advances 6.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NVDA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(78%)    IWF(76%)    IVW(74%)    SMH(71%)    XLK(71%)
Factors Impacting NVDA price   NVDA will decline at least -1.595% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-16%)    UUP(-12%)    TLT(-7%)    SHY(-5%)    IPO(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.595% (StdDev 3.19%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

5 Day Moving Average   $29.07(9.98%)
10 Day Moving Average   $27.71(15.38%)
20 Day Moving Average   $26.67(19.88%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   33.9%
Market Cap   $19.663b

NVIDIA Corp. engages in the design and manufacture of computer graphics processors, chipsets, and related multimedia software. It operates through the Graphics Processing Unit (GPU) and Tegra Processor segments. The GPU segment comprises of product brands, which aims specialized markets including GeForce for gamers; Quadro for designers; Tesla and DGX for AI data scientists and big data researchers; and GRID for cloud-based visual computing users. The Tegra Processor segment integrates an entire computer onto a single chip, and incorporates GPUs and multi-core CPUs to drive supercomputing for autonomous robots, drones, and cars, as well as for consoles and mobile gaming and entertainment devices. The company was founded by Jen-Hsun Huang, Chris A. Malachowsky, and Curtis R. Priem in January 1993 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, CA.

$. NVDA price fluctuates within 7.72% (three month std-dev: 3.19%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 19 Average positive next day return: 4.11%(26%) Average negative next day return: -2.36%(74%) Sample size 19 Average positive next three day return: 6.37%(42%) Average negative next three day return: -4.07%(58%) Sample size 19 Average positive next weekly return: 7.08%(53%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.77%(47%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170612

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_12_2017	26.51	26.67	27.71	29.07	29.56	31.46	31.97(1.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	80	500	60	140	96.26	52%	0.23	61.4	3.19%	0	2.6	81	INF
2	May_11_2017	26.45	26.25	27.08	27.87	28.06	30.26	31.63(4.3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.2	86	570	79	106	193.98	52%	0.19	49.3	3.21%	0	3.1	81	INF
3	May_10_2017	26.4	25.86	26.51	26.74	26.76	27.65	30.32(17.83%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.9	58	240	57	60	212.91	49%	0.15	40.2	3.2%	0	3.6	79	INF
4	May_9_2017	26.36	25.55	26.03	25.88	25.91	25.85	25.74(0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	2	-10	-2	14	84.77	29%	0.04	31.5	2.26%	0	0.3	63	INF
5	May_8_2017	26.35	25.49	26.08	25.91	25.93	25.87	25.69(-1.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-0	-10	-9	26	36.52	29%	0	15.8	2.27%	0	0.3	63	INF

6	May_5_2017	26.35	25.46	26.09	26.1	25.98	25.97	25.97(0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	10	-20	-3	49	22.84	29%	0.08	10	2.27%	0	0.7	67	INF
7	May_4_2017	26.33	25.42	26.05	26.13	26.12	25.99	25.96(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	14	-40	-4	66	20.98	29%	0.08	-1.7	2.28%	0	0.7	75	INF
8	May_3_2017	26.31	25.37	25.99	26.22	26.16	26	26.06(0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	16	-50	-6	81	33.69	29%	0.11	-9.5	2.3%	0	0.9	68	INF
9	May_2_2017	26.28	25.33	25.89	26.2	26.23	26.25	25.87(-2.96%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	19	10	-4	87	63	29%	0.15	-20.8	2.3%	0	0.7	64	INF
10	May_1_2017	26.24	25.38	25.79	26.27	26.25	26.31	26.66(2.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	34	10	10	104	30.77	31%	0.11	-16.4	2.28%	0	1.6	74	INF

11	Apr_28_2017	26.21	25.39	25.6	26.08	26.15	26.22	26.08(-1.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	28	30	7	91	34.82	31%	0.11	-19.8	2.3%	0	0.8	59	INF
12	Apr_27_2017	26.18	25.44	25.39	25.95	26.03	26.19	26.41(1.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	28	50	13	74	31.97	31%	0.11	-19.4	2.32%	0	1	61	INF
13	Apr_26_2017	26.15	25.45	25.18	25.73	25.8	26.09	26.01(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	26	90	15	57	32.7	31%	0.11	-26	2.32%	0	0.6	60	INF
14	Apr_25_2017	26.12	25.48	25.03	25.52	25.54	25.87	26.19(1.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	25	90	20	41	38.84	31%	0.11	-29	2.33%	0	0.7	59	INF
15	Apr_24_2017	26.09	25.51	24.85	25.24	25.29	25.51	25.74(1.25%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.5	12	70	16	-1	37.18	31%	0.15	-36.2	2.32%	0	0.2	36	INF

16	Apr_21_2017	26.05	25.56	24.77	25.06	25.03	25.22	25.42(0.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	5	50	17	-31	34.19	31%	0.15	-38.7	2.32%	0	-0.1	32	INF
17	Apr_20_2017	26.01	25.62	24.73	24.75	24.81	25.08	25.32(1.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-6	80	15	-69	40.4	31%	0.08	-42.2	2.33%	0	-0.3	30	INF
18	Apr_19_2017	25.99	25.7	24.69	24.55	24.53	24.85	24.92(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-17	90	11	-100	38.08	31%	0.08	-41.1	2.33%	0	-0.7	33	INF
19	Apr_18_2017	25.97	25.78	24.71	24.47	24.39	24.54	24.82(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-22	30	11	-120	37.01	31%	0.04	-39.4	2.34%	0	-0.8	31	INF
20	Apr_17_2017	25.96	25.91	24.92	24.4	24.31	24.21	24.81(3.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-36	-40	-4	-130	49.73	31%	0.04	-34	2.36%	0	-0.9	30	INF

21	Apr_13_2017	25.95	26	25.14	24.45	24.41	24.24	23.87(-1.87%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-45	-50	-16	-133	50.69	24%	0.04	-28	2.32%	0	-1.9	21	INF
22	Apr_12_2017	25.94	26.11	25.48	24.71	24.69	24.41	24.33(-0.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-36	-80	-10	-114	41.41	24%	0.04	-18.5	2.31%	0	-1.7	25	INF
23	Apr_11_2017	25.93	26.19	25.73	24.85	24.84	24.57	24.53(0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-40	-80	-16	-112	61.81	24%	0.04	-11.4	2.31%	0	-1.7	24	INF
24	Apr_10_2017	25.92	26.25	25.98	24.98	25.03	24.97	24.44(-2.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-44	-10	-23	-105	75.63	24%	0.04	-4.4	2.32%	0	-2	33	INF
25	Apr_7_2017	25.91	26.32	26.25	25.51	25.22	25.11	25.08(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-35	-60	-20	-79	42.91	26%		17.8	2.34%	0	-1.4	30	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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