Trading Signals: NVDA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Mar. 14, 2017

Trading Signals: NVDA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Jul. 26, 2016 - Tue. Jun. 25, 2024)

(Nvidia Stock)
NVDA latest price $25.4450 (-0.07%) ($25.1175 - $25.6875) on Tue. Mar. 14, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.69% (three month average)
RSI   33
Latest Price   $25.4450(-0.07%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NVDA advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NVDA declines -1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NVDA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWF(76%)    XLK(71%)    VUG(70%)    SKYY(68%)    BOTZ(66%)
Factors Impacting NVDA price   NVDA will decline at least -1.345% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    UUP(-8%)    TLT(-7%)    SHY(-5%)    IPO(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.345% (StdDev 2.69%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

Resistance Level   $25.68
5 Day Moving Average   $24.99(1.82%)
10 Day Moving Average   $24.92(2.11%)
20 Day Moving Average   $25.68(-0.92%)
To recent high   -14.6%
To recent low   5.5%
Market Cap   $15.649b

NVIDIA Corp. engages in the design and manufacture of computer graphics processors, chipsets, and related multimedia software. It operates through the Graphics Processing Unit (GPU) and Tegra Processor segments. The GPU segment comprises of product brands, which aims specialized markets including GeForce for gamers; Quadro for designers; Tesla and DGX for AI data scientists and big data researchers; and GRID for cloud-based visual computing users. The Tegra Processor segment integrates an entire computer onto a single chip, and incorporates GPUs and multi-core CPUs to drive supercomputing for autonomous robots, drones, and cars, as well as for consoles and mobile gaming and entertainment devices. The company was founded by Jen-Hsun Huang, Chris A. Malachowsky, and Curtis R. Priem in January 1993 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, CA.

$. NVDA price fluctuates within 4.28% (three month std-dev: 2.69%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 3.23%(67%) Average negative next day return: -2.01%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 1.94%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 3.23%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.1%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170414

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_14_2017	24.47	25.68	24.92	24.99	25.02	25.33	25.45(-0.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	1	90	12	-32	52.2	44%	0.33	-79.9	2.69%	0	-0.2	33	0
2	Mar_13_2017	24.39	25.75	24.9	24.84	24.89	25.01	25.46(2.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-4	40	13	-56	77.41	44%	0.37	-90.2	2.79%	0	-0.3	33	0
3	Mar_10_2017	24.3	25.89	24.94	24.63	24.73	24.7	24.78(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-19	0	1	-78	49.97	44%	0.33	-86.7	2.77%	0	-0.9	37	0
4	Mar_9_2017	24.22	26.09	25	24.6	24.58	24.76	24.64(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-23	50	-0	-90	47.81	44%	0.33	-78.8	2.8%	0	-1	36	0
5	Mar_8_2017	24.14	26.34	25.05	24.62	24.56	24.75	24.64(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-27	50	-1	-106	63.87	44%	0.33	-68.7	2.81%	0	-1.1	34	0

6	Mar_7_2017	24.06	26.59	25.34	24.83	24.62	24.41	24.69(1.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-29	-90	-6	-96	60.34	44%	0.38	-55.6	2.82%	0	-1.2	35	0
7	Mar_6_2017	23.97	26.82	25.63	24.97	24.92	24.37	24.42(-0.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-40	-160	-22	-93	88.36	44%	0.33	-48.6	2.82%	0	-1.4	34	0
8	Mar_3_2017	23.89	27.03	25.87	25.31	25.3	24.84	24.61(-0.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-37	-130	-19	-89	86.55	44%	0.38	-43.6	2.84%	0	-1.5	29	0
9	Mar_2_2017	23.8	27.25	26.1	25.46	25.63	25.47	24.75(-3.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-28	-20	-6	-93	75.43	44%	0.34	-39.5	2.86%	0	-1.6	27	0
10	Mar_1_2017	23.72	27.44	26.36	25.53	25.63	25.76	25.7(1.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-37	60	-12	-111	50.48	43%	0.42	-36.7	2.82%	0	-1.2	27	0

11	Feb_28_2017	23.62	27.54	26.51	25.93	25.53	25.8	25.37(-2.81%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-34	30	-9	-110	62.54	43%	0.38	-29.5	2.86%	0	-1.6	24	0
12	Feb_27_2017	23.53	27.66	26.69	26.41	26.02	25.29	26.1(2.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-32	-240	-7	-107	71.54	43%	0.43	-17.8	2.83%	0	-1.2	31	0
13	Feb_24_2017	23.43	27.76	26.91	26.55	26.42	25.26	25.37(0.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-59	-320	-39	-118	102.99	39%	0.39	-8.5	2.81%	0	-1.9	32	0
14	Feb_23_2017	23.34	27.87	27.28	26.84	26.89	26.75	25.12(-9.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-47	-30	-29	-101	159.29	39%	0.34	2.3	2.83%	0	-2.5	29	0
15	Feb_22_2017	23.26	27.99	27.74	27.27	27.2	27.59	27.69(-0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-5	90	15	-66	43.38	50%	0.48	21.1	2.56%	0	-0.3	44	0

16	Feb_21_2017	23.15	27.95	27.93	27.17	27.06	27.03	27.77(3.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-7	-20	9	-56	55.2	50%	0.74	25.1	2.56%	0	-0.2	56	0
17	Feb_17_2017	22.98	27.89	28.07	27.03	26.98	26.81	26.81(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-30	-50	-19	-63	56.37	44%	0.44	21	2.5%	0	-1	48	0
18	Feb_16_2017	22.88	27.86	28.26	27.35	27.26	27.1	26.81(-1.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-27	-50	-21	-45	64.72	54%	0.48	29.6	2.5%	0	-0.9	44	0
19	Feb_15_2017	22.77	27.85	28.48	27.81	27.8	27.15	27.25(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-22	-160	-24	-14	37.3	54%	0.49	39.4	2.6%	0	-0.5	52	0
20	Feb_14_2017	22.66	27.79	28.62	28.29	28.34	27.41	27.2(0.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-28	-220	-41	12	85.06	47%	0.49	44.2	2.63%	0	-0.5	55	0

21	Feb_13_2017	22.55	27.71	28.66	28.81	28.96	28.46	27.1(-4.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-14	-110	-32	42	118.07	47%	0.49	49.9	2.71%	0	-0.5	56	0
22	Feb_10_2017	22.44	27.66	28.73	29.25	29.47	29.27	28.41(-2.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	11	-20	-2	50	165.11	71%	0.58	58.2	4.54%	0	0.5	69	0
23	Feb_9_2017	22.31	27.54	28.7	29.29	29.4	29.46	29.1(-1.88%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	15	30	-1	62	84.26	71%	0.59	59.8	4.55%	0	1.1	77	0
24	Feb_8_2017	22.18	27.39	28.54	29.24	29.24	29.67	29.65(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	25	100	9	71	44.96	71%	0.68	61.4	4.55%	0	1.6	78	0
25	Feb_7_2017	22.03	27.23	28.27	29.01	28.99	29.35	29.78(1.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	31	80	16	75	74.62	73%		65.7	4.55%	0	2	81	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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