Trading Signals: NVDA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Mar. 10, 2017

Trading Signals: NVDA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Jul. 26, 2016 - Mon. Jun. 17, 2024)

(Nvidia Stock)
NVDA latest price $24.7800 (0.59%) ($24.5950 - $25.0225) on Fri. Mar. 10, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.77% (three month average)
RSI   37
Latest Price   $24.7800(0.59%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NVDA advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NVDA declines -3.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NVDA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWF(76%)    XLK(71%)    VUG(70%)    SKYY(68%)    BOTZ(66%)
Factors Impacting NVDA price   NVDA will decline at least -1.385% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    UUP(-8%)    TLT(-7%)    SHY(-5%)    IPO(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.385% (StdDev 2.77%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $15.65(-36.84%)
Resistance Level   $25.89
5 Day Moving Average   $24.63(0.61%)
10 Day Moving Average   $24.94(-0.64%)
20 Day Moving Average   $25.89(-4.29%)
To recent high   -16.8%
To recent low   10.6%
Market Cap   $15.24b

NVIDIA Corp. engages in the design and manufacture of computer graphics processors, chipsets, and related multimedia software. It operates through the Graphics Processing Unit (GPU) and Tegra Processor segments. The GPU segment comprises of product brands, which aims specialized markets including GeForce for gamers; Quadro for designers; Tesla and DGX for AI data scientists and big data researchers; and GRID for cloud-based visual computing users. The Tegra Processor segment integrates an entire computer onto a single chip, and incorporates GPUs and multi-core CPUs to drive supercomputing for autonomous robots, drones, and cars, as well as for consoles and mobile gaming and entertainment devices. The company was founded by Jen-Hsun Huang, Chris A. Malachowsky, and Curtis R. Priem in January 1993 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, CA.

$. NVDA price fluctuates within 4.87% (three month std-dev: 2.77%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.63%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 2.22%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 5.14%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170410

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_10_2017	24.3	25.89	24.94	24.63	24.73	24.7	24.78(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-19	0	1	-78	49.97	44%	0.33	-86.7	2.77%	0	-0.9	37	INF
2	Mar_9_2017	24.22	26.09	25	24.6	24.58	24.76	24.64(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-23	50	-0	-90	47.81	44%	0.33	-78.8	2.8%	0	-1	36	INF
3	Mar_8_2017	24.14	26.34	25.05	24.62	24.56	24.75	24.64(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-27	50	-1	-106	63.87	44%	0.33	-68.7	2.81%	0	-1.1	34	INF
4	Mar_7_2017	24.06	26.59	25.34	24.83	24.62	24.41	24.69(1.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-29	-90	-6	-96	60.34	44%	0.38	-55.6	2.82%	0	-1.2	35	INF
5	Mar_6_2017	23.97	26.82	25.63	24.97	24.92	24.37	24.42(-0.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-40	-160	-22	-93	88.36	44%	0.33	-48.6	2.82%	0	-1.4	34	INF

6	Mar_3_2017	23.89	27.03	25.87	25.31	25.3	24.84	24.61(-0.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-37	-130	-19	-89	86.55	44%	0.38	-43.6	2.84%	0	-1.5	29	INF
7	Mar_2_2017	23.8	27.25	26.1	25.46	25.63	25.47	24.75(-3.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-28	-20	-6	-93	75.43	44%	0.34	-39.5	2.86%	0	-1.6	27	INF
8	Mar_1_2017	23.72	27.44	26.36	25.53	25.63	25.76	25.7(1.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-37	60	-12	-111	50.48	43%	0.42	-36.7	2.82%	0	-1.2	27	INF
9	Feb_28_2017	23.62	27.54	26.51	25.93	25.53	25.8	25.37(-2.81%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-34	30	-9	-110	62.54	43%	0.38	-29.5	2.86%	0	-1.6	24	INF
10	Feb_27_2017	23.53	27.66	26.69	26.41	26.02	25.29	26.1(2.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-32	-240	-7	-107	71.54	43%	0.43	-17.8	2.83%	0	-1.2	31	INF

11	Feb_24_2017	23.43	27.76	26.91	26.55	26.42	25.26	25.37(0.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-59	-320	-39	-118	102.99	39%	0.39	-8.5	2.81%	0	-1.9	32	INF
12	Feb_23_2017	23.34	27.87	27.28	26.84	26.89	26.75	25.12(-9.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-47	-30	-29	-101	159.29	39%	0.34	2.3	2.83%	0	-2.5	29	INF
13	Feb_22_2017	23.26	27.99	27.74	27.27	27.2	27.59	27.69(-0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-5	90	15	-66	43.38	50%	0.48	21.1	2.56%	0	-0.3	44	INF
14	Feb_21_2017	23.15	27.95	27.93	27.17	27.06	27.03	27.77(3.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-7	-20	9	-56	55.2	50%	0.74	25.1	2.56%	0	-0.2	56	INF
15	Feb_17_2017	22.98	27.89	28.07	27.03	26.98	26.81	26.81(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-30	-50	-19	-63	56.37	44%	0.44	21	2.5%	0	-1	48	INF

16	Feb_16_2017	22.88	27.86	28.26	27.35	27.26	27.1	26.81(-1.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-27	-50	-21	-45	64.72	54%	0.48	29.6	2.5%	0	-0.9	44	INF
17	Feb_15_2017	22.77	27.85	28.48	27.81	27.8	27.15	27.25(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-22	-160	-24	-14	37.3	54%	0.49	39.4	2.6%	0	-0.5	52	INF
18	Feb_14_2017	22.66	27.79	28.62	28.29	28.34	27.41	27.2(0.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-28	-220	-41	12	85.06	47%	0.49	44.2	2.63%	0	-0.5	55	INF
19	Feb_13_2017	22.55	27.71	28.66	28.81	28.96	28.46	27.1(-4.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-14	-110	-32	42	118.07	47%	0.49	49.9	2.71%	0	-0.5	56	INF
20	Feb_10_2017	22.44	27.66	28.73	29.25	29.47	29.27	28.41(-2.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	11	-20	-2	50	165.11	71%	0.58	58.2	4.54%	0	0.5	69	INF

21	Feb_9_2017	22.31	27.54	28.7	29.29	29.4	29.46	29.1(-1.88%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	15	30	-1	62	84.26	71%	0.59	59.8	4.55%	0	1.1	77	INF
22	Feb_8_2017	22.18	27.39	28.54	29.24	29.24	29.67	29.65(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	25	100	9	71	44.96	71%	0.68	61.4	4.55%	0	1.6	78	INF
23	Feb_7_2017	22.03	27.23	28.27	29.01	28.99	29.35	29.78(1.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	31	80	16	75	74.62	73%	0.64	65.7	4.55%	0	2	81	INF
24	Feb_6_2017	21.89	27.07	27.97	28.51	28.55	28.82	29.33(2.56%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	25	70	10	68	50.68	73%	0.64	62.8	4.58%	0	2	82	INF
25	Feb_3_2017	21.75	26.89	27.66	28.15	28.14	28.63	28.6(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	21	120	8	60	37.27	73%		50	4.58%	0	1.7	71	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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