Trading Signals: NVDA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Dec. 21, 2016

Trading Signals: NVDA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Jul. 26, 2016 - Thu. Jun. 27, 2024)

(Nvidia Stock)
NVDA latest price $26.4575 (0.63%) ($25.9275 - $26.4875) on Wed. Dec. 21, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.24% (three month average)
RSI   80
Latest Price   $26.4575(0.63%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NVDA advances 1.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NVDA advances 6.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NVDA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWF(75%)    XLK(70%)    VUG(69%)    SKYY(67%)    BOTZ(65%)
Factors Impacting NVDA price   NVDA will decline at least -2.12% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    UUP(-7%)    TLT(-7%)    SHY(-6%)    IPO(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.12% (StdDev 4.24%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $25.59(3.39%)
10 Day Moving Average   $24.44(8.25%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23.78(11.26%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   64.5%
Market Cap   $16.271b

NVIDIA Corp. engages in the design and manufacture of computer graphics processors, chipsets, and related multimedia software. It operates through the Graphics Processing Unit (GPU) and Tegra Processor segments. The GPU segment comprises of product brands, which aims specialized markets including GeForce for gamers; Quadro for designers; Tesla and DGX for AI data scientists and big data researchers; and GRID for cloud-based visual computing users. The Tegra Processor segment integrates an entire computer onto a single chip, and incorporates GPUs and multi-core CPUs to drive supercomputing for autonomous robots, drones, and cars, as well as for consoles and mobile gaming and entertainment devices. The company was founded by Jen-Hsun Huang, Chris A. Malachowsky, and Curtis R. Priem in January 1993 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, CA.

$. NVDA price fluctuates within 5.21% (three month std-dev: 4.24%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 34 Average positive next day return: 2.2%(38%) Average negative next day return: -1.69%(62%) Sample size 34 Average positive next three day return: 3.04%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -2.68%(50%) Sample size 34 Average positive next weekly return: 4.21%(53%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.5%(47%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170121

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_21_2016	18.23	23.78	24.44	25.59	25.67	26.29	26.46(0.63%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	38	180	19	96	57.61	77%	0.72	54.1	4.24%	0	2.2	80	0
2	Dec_20_2016	18.1	23.62	24.15	25.12	25.21	25.71	26.29(3.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	42	150	26	89	84.81	77%	0.67	58.7	4.25%	0	2.5	67	0
3	Dec_19_2016	17.98	23.45	23.84	24.42	24.55	25.05	25.41(1.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	31	160	20	64	74.47	77%	0.62	62	4.24%	0	2.3	62	0
4	Dec_16_2016	17.87	23.34	23.58	23.82	23.94	24.71	25.1(1.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	26	240	21	42	108.95	77%	0.68	58.4	4.24%	0	2.4	58	0
5	Dec_15_2016	17.75	23.23	23.28	23.39	23.29	24.06	24.68(2.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	18	220	18	19	74.65	78%	0.57	96.6	4.24%	0	2.3	56	0

6	Dec_14_2016	17.65	23.13	23	23.13	22.96	23.16	24.11(5.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.9	6	40	9	-2	98.4	78%	0.57	151.1	4.25%	0	1.9	54	0
7	Dec_13_2016	17.55	23.01	22.87	23.06	22.97	22.52	22.79(1.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-8	-150	-6	-13	38.78	76%	0.34	165.1	4.21%	0	-0.4	45	0
8	Dec_12_2016	17.49	22.92	22.92	23.17	23.15	22.75	22.4(-2.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-12	-120	-12	-12	60.13	77%	0.29	158.5	4.21%	0	-0.7	43	0
9	Dec_9_2016	17.44	22.91	23.04	23.28	23.37	23.42	22.96(-1.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	2	30	3	-1	38.23	72%	0.35	195.1	4.2%	0	0.1	46	0
10	Dec_8_2016	17.38	22.64	23.09	23.11	23.25	23.55	23.37(-1.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	9	110	12	-1	38.15	72%	0.35	94.9	4.25%	0	0.5	53	0

11	Dec_7_2016	17.32	22.37	23.1	22.82	22.79	23.32	23.77(1.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	5	160	9	-9	48.08	72%	0.41	73.9	4.24%	0	0.8	60	0
12	Dec_6_2016	17.25	22.09	23.05	22.68	22.5	22.95	23.35(1.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	5	120	8	-4	49.88	72%	0.35	66.3	4.24%	0	0.6	70	0
13	Dec_5_2016	17.19	21.82	23.03	22.67	22.51	22.25	22.97(3.88%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	1	-100	-1	5	60.23	72%	0.41	62	4.24%	0	0.5	73	0
14	Dec_2_2016	17.12	21.54	23.07	22.78	22.68	22.04	22.11(0.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-11	-210	-18	10	47.83	72%	0.29	57.4	4.26%	0	0.2	54	0
15	Dec_1_2016	17.07	21.3	23.18	23.07	23.11	22.77	21.91(-4.95%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	3	-100	-15	57	103.55	73%	0.35	56.5	4.26%	0	0.2	80	0

16	Nov_30_2016	17.01	21.08	23.3	23.38	23.43	23.32	23.05(-1.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	25	-30	-4	110	44.05	78%	0.35	56.3	4.18%	0	0.7	81	0
17	Nov_29_2016	16.95	20.8	23.17	23.46	23.49	23.45	23.31(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	35	-10	-1	143	44.46	78%	0.47	55.4	4.18%	0	0.9	79	0
18	Nov_28_2016	16.87	20.52	22.95	23.44	23.47	23.54	23.53(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	43	20	1	170	27.87	78%	0.42	56.2	4.17%	0	1.1	80	0
19	Nov_25_2016	16.8	20.22	22.8	23.41	23.43	23.53	23.54(0.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	56	30	4	213	19.56	78%	0.48	58.6	4.17%	0	1.2	82	0
20	Nov_23_2016	16.72	19.92	22.18	23.32	23.35	23.4	23.49(0.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	59	20	4	222	44.32	78%	0.48	62.5	4.15%	0	1.3	81	0

21	Nov_22_2016	16.64	19.64	21.61	23.2	23.26	23.34	23.41(0.72%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	66	30	10	233	33.04	78%	0.48	67.7	4.15%	0	1.5	79	0
22	Nov_21_2016	16.56	19.35	21.06	22.83	23.03	23.3	23.25(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	70	110	15	233	43.64	78%	0.49	70.1	4.15%	0	1.6	78	0
23	Nov_18_2016	16.48	19.06	20.52	22.36	22.53	23.19	23.34(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	66	230	14	221	57.61	78%	0.49	71.5	4.15%	0	1.9	74	0
24	Nov_17_2016	16.4	18.72	19.88	22.09	22.08	22.75	23.1(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	89	210	43	225	83.3	76%	0.55	76.5	4.15%	0	2.1	74	0
25	Nov_16_2016	16.31	18.39	19.25	20.86	21.53	21.87	22.91(6.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	72	210	41	165	98.8	76%		67.1	4.17%	0	2.5	74	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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