Trading Signals: NVDA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Nov. 21, 2016

Trading Signals: NVDA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Jul. 26, 2016 - Fri. Jun. 28, 2024)

(Nvidia Stock)
NVDA latest price $23.2450 (-0.41%) ($23.1000 - $23.5875) on Mon. Nov. 21, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.15% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $23.2450(-0.41%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NVDA advances 2.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NVDA advances 15.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NVDA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWF(75%)    XLK(70%)    VUG(69%)    SKYY(67%)    BOTZ(65%)
Factors Impacting NVDA price   NVDA will decline at least -2.075% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    UUP(-8%)    TLT(-7%)    SHY(-5%)    IPO(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.075% (StdDev 4.15%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $22.83(1.82%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21.06(10.38%)
20 Day Moving Average   $19.35(20.13%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   56.2%
Market Cap   $14.296b

NVIDIA Corp. engages in the design and manufacture of computer graphics processors, chipsets, and related multimedia software. It operates through the Graphics Processing Unit (GPU) and Tegra Processor segments. The GPU segment comprises of product brands, which aims specialized markets including GeForce for gamers; Quadro for designers; Tesla and DGX for AI data scientists and big data researchers; and GRID for cloud-based visual computing users. The Tegra Processor segment integrates an entire computer onto a single chip, and incorporates GPUs and multi-core CPUs to drive supercomputing for autonomous robots, drones, and cars, as well as for consoles and mobile gaming and entertainment devices. The company was founded by Jen-Hsun Huang, Chris A. Malachowsky, and Curtis R. Priem in January 1993 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, CA.

$. NVDA price fluctuates within 12.4% (three month std-dev: 4.15%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 3.82%(75%) Average negative next day return: 0%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 10.69%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 20.85%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161221

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_21_2016	16.56	19.35	21.06	22.83	23.03	23.3	23.25(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	70	110	15	233	43.64	78%	0.49	70.1	4.15%	0	1.6	78	0
2	Nov_18_2016	16.48	19.06	20.52	22.36	22.53	23.19	23.34(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	66	230	14	221	57.61	78%	0.49	71.5	4.15%	0	1.9	74	0
3	Nov_17_2016	16.4	18.72	19.88	22.09	22.08	22.75	23.1(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	89	210	43	225	83.3	76%	0.55	76.5	4.15%	0	2.1	74	0
4	Nov_16_2016	16.31	18.39	19.25	20.86	21.53	21.87	22.91(6.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	72	210	41	165	98.8	76%	0.49	67.1	4.17%	0	2.5	74	0
5	Nov_15_2016	16.23	18.06	18.65	19.78	20.28	21.42	21.55(3.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	49	470	29	108	62.61	74%	0.43	59	4.11%	0	2.3	68	0

6	Nov_14_2016	16.16	17.8	18.2	19.03	19.29	21.2	20.91(-4.92%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.4	55	730	48	77	134.88	74%	0.37	51.9	4.1%	0	2.4	66	0
7	Nov_11_2016	16.1	17.57	17.86	18.41	18.38	19.13	21.99(29.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	3.2	55	280	56	53	217.53	81%	0.44	44	4.09%	0	3.9	74	0
8	Nov_10_2016	16.03	17.27	17.38	17.39	17.55	17.39	16.94(-3.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-10	-40	-5	-25	86.93	69%	0.12	36.2	1.88%	0	-0.6	54	0
9	Nov_9_2016	16.01	17.25	17.45	17.4	17.44	17.62	17.49(-1.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-0	80	3	-10	45.65	74%	0.13	31.7	1.83%	0	0.4	59	0
10	Nov_8_2016	15.99	17.21	17.5	17.34	17.35	17.72	17.79(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	20	150	22	15	42.99	74%	0.13	24.6	1.81%	0	1	67	0

11	Nov_7_2016	15.97	17.14	17.51	17.34	17.23	17.26	17.82(5.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	11	10	8	21	48.76	74%	0.19	15.6	1.82%	0	1.2	66	0
12	Nov_4_2016	15.94	17.09	17.49	17.23	17.21	16.98	16.89(-0.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-6	-100	-20	35	32.88	73%	0.06	13.2	1.71%	0	-0.4	62	0
13	Nov_3_2016	15.93	17.09	17.5	17.37	17.43	17.2	16.99(-1.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	1	-80	-19	61	30.97	73%	0.06	17.7	1.71%	0	-0.2	61	0
14	Nov_2_2016	15.92	17.08	17.51	17.51	17.6	17.44	17.19(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	8	-50	-20	90	29.58	71%	0.13	24.8	1.7%	0	0.2	67	0
15	Nov_1_2016	15.9	17.07	17.47	17.68	17.74	17.65	17.26(-2.97%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	18	-30	-14	115	47.32	71%	0.13	37.4	1.71%	0	0.4	61	0

16	Oct_31_2016	15.88	17.06	17.41	17.82	17.85	17.76	17.79(0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	36	-30	-1	146	25.24	76%	0.19	49.2	1.67%	0	1.4	71	0
17	Oct_28_2016	15.85	17.02	17.28	17.8	17.86	17.84	17.64(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	43	0	9	144	29.09	77%	0.19	60.9	1.67%	0	1.2	63	0
18	Oct_27_2016	15.82	16.99	17.17	17.65	17.76	17.94	17.67(-2.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	45	90	17	128	38.87	75%	0.13	63.6	1.67%	0	1.4	65	0
19	Oct_26_2016	15.8	16.95	17.04	17.5	17.49	17.89	18.04(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	53	160	34	111	33.38	78%	0.25	64.2	1.65%	0	2.4	68	0
20	Oct_25_2016	15.76	16.87	16.89	17.22	17.21	17.58	17.97(1.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	47	150	39	71	39.75	78%	0.19	61	1.67%	0	2.8	61	0

21	Oct_24_2016	15.73	16.8	16.73	16.95	16.9	17.1	17.68(4.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	28	70	29	25	33.98	78%	0.19	62.2	1.67%	0	2.7	58	0
22	Oct_21_2016	15.7	16.72	16.63	16.7	16.73	16.84	16.89(-0.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	4	50	12	-20	27.95	76%	0.13	50.9	1.59%	0	0.6	42	0
23	Oct_20_2016	15.68	16.69	16.61	16.62	16.63	16.7	16.93(1.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	0	30	13	-38	31.21	76%	0.13	50	1.6%	0	0.8	42	0
24	Oct_19_2016	15.66	16.66	16.59	16.62	16.56	16.61	16.62(-0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-12	30	3	-58	19.91	74%	0.13	46.7	1.6%	0	-0.1	44	0
25	Oct_18_2016	15.64	16.64	16.63	16.5	16.48	16.57	16.65(1.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-10	30	4	-51	26.94	74%		55.2	1.62%	0	0	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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