Trading Signals: NVDA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Oct. 4, 2016

Trading Signals: NVDA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Jul. 26, 2016 - Wed. Jul. 3, 2024)

(Nvidia Stock)
NVDA latest price $17.0750 (-0.22%) ($16.9475 - $17.4250) on Tue. Oct. 4, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.69% (three month average)
RSI   87
Latest Price   $17.0750(-0.22%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NVDA advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NVDA advances 4.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NVDA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWF(73%)    XLK(69%)    VUG(67%)    SKYY(66%)    BOTZ(63%)
Factors Impacting NVDA price   NVDA will decline at least -0.845% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    UUP(-7%)    TLT(-7%)    SHY(-5%)    GDXJ(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.845% (StdDev 1.69%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $16.97(0.62%)
10 Day Moving Average   $16.65(2.55%)
20 Day Moving Average   $16.08(6.19%)
To recent high   -0.3%
To recent low   21.9%
Market Cap   $10.501b

NVIDIA Corp. engages in the design and manufacture of computer graphics processors, chipsets, and related multimedia software. It operates through the Graphics Processing Unit (GPU) and Tegra Processor segments. The GPU segment comprises of product brands, which aims specialized markets including GeForce for gamers; Quadro for designers; Tesla and DGX for AI data scientists and big data researchers; and GRID for cloud-based visual computing users. The Tegra Processor segment integrates an entire computer onto a single chip, and incorporates GPUs and multi-core CPUs to drive supercomputing for autonomous robots, drones, and cars, as well as for consoles and mobile gaming and entertainment devices. The company was founded by Jen-Hsun Huang, Chris A. Malachowsky, and Curtis R. Priem in January 1993 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, CA.

$. NVDA price fluctuates within 4.23% (three month std-dev: 1.69%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 21 Average positive next day return: 0.61%(33%) Average negative next day return: -1.16%(67%) Sample size 21 Average positive next three day return: 1.14%(43%) Average negative next three day return: -1.89%(57%) Sample size 21 Average positive next weekly return: 1.84%(38%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.87%(62%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161104

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_4_2016	15.44	16.08	16.65	16.97	17.03	17.16	17.08(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	46	60	10	152	28.16	74%	0.19	55.6	1.69%	0	1.5	87	0
2	Oct_3_2016	15.41	16.01	16.52	16.88	16.9	17.11	17.11(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	60	90	24	166	24.26	74%	0.26	56.1	1.71%	0	1.7	89	0
3	Sep_30_2016	15.37	15.93	16.4	16.68	16.69	16.89	17.13(1.66%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	57	90	23	159	42.99	74%	0.26	52.2	1.72%	0	2	81	0
4	Sep_29_2016	15.33	15.85	16.26	16.5	16.44	16.68	16.85(0.93%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	51	90	16	154	33.67	74%	0.2	53.7	1.73%	0	1.9	82	0
5	Sep_28_2016	15.3	15.78	16.14	16.38	16.32	16.48	16.7(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	47	60	16	141	31.98	74%	0.2	51.1	1.75%	0	1.9	62	0

6	Sep_27_2016	15.27	15.71	15.98	16.29	16.22	16.19	16.64(3.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	42	-30	15	123	40.28	74%	0.2	47.2	1.77%	0	2.1	63	0
7	Sep_26_2016	15.24	15.65	15.82	16.11	16.15	16.15	16.09(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	21	10	-0	84	23	72%	0.13	40.6	1.73%	0	1.1	54	0
8	Sep_23_2016	15.22	15.62	15.73	16.08	16.12	16.26	16.24(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	28	70	12	77	27.61	72%	0.2	39.1	1.74%	0	1.6	58	0
9	Sep_22_2016	15.19	15.57	15.6	15.97	16.05	16.15	16.26(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	24	60	16	48	30.87	72%	0.13	32.4	1.76%	0	2	55	0
10	Sep_21_2016	15.17	15.53	15.53	15.86	15.9	15.97	16.22(2.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	26	40	20	42	33.62	72%	0.2	28.2	1.78%	0	2.2	61	0

11	Sep_20_2016	15.14	15.5	15.53	15.63	15.75	15.95	15.77(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	19	110	19	17	33.11	69%	0.07	11.6	1.76%	0	1	55	0
12	Sep_19_2016	15.13	15.49	15.45	15.47	15.52	15.84	15.92(1.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	18	150	22	4	41.71	69%	0.2	-6.9	1.77%	0	1.6	55	0
13	Sep_16_2016	15.1	15.47	15.45	15.33	15.3	15.54	15.71(0.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	16	100	25	-10	90.24	69%	0.07	-26.2	1.79%	0	0.9	53	0
14	Sep_15_2016	15.09	15.46	15.41	15.33	15.09	15.21	15.67(3.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	2	-4	40	5	-30	51.54	69%	0.13	-34.6	1.81%	0	0.8	55	0
15	Sep_14_2016	15.07	15.44	15.37	15.16	15.04	15.06	15.1(0.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-15	-10	-6	-40	31.94	65%	0	-24.1	1.74%	0	-1.4	45	0

16	Sep_13_2016	15.07	15.47	15.41	15.25	15.17	14.97	14.97(-1.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-21	-110	-15	-39	47.18	65%	0	2.6	1.76%	0	-2.1	38	0
17	Sep_12_2016	15.07	15.51	15.47	15.41	15.31	15.01	15.19(2.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-21	-160	-20	-24	59.83	65%	0	45.1	1.76%	0	-1.5	43	0
18	Sep_9_2016	15.07	15.54	15.5	15.5	15.52	15.37	14.88(-4.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-3	-21	-60	-22	-16	69.78	62%	-0.07	86.7	1.76%	0	-3.1	39	0
19	Sep_8_2016	15.08	15.55	15.56	15.68	15.52	15.6	15.66(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	6	-30	3	16	31.58	78%	0.13	131.8	1.52%	0	0.5	54	0
20	Sep_7_2016	15.06	15.5	15.54	15.62	15.65	15.67	15.55(-1.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	5	10	3	11	39.8	78%	0.13	98.3	1.54%	0	0.2	58	0

21	Sep_6_2016	15.04	15.46	15.56	15.59	15.59	15.7	15.78(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	10	50	9	12	30.68	78%	0.13	92.5	1.53%	0	1	52	0
22	Sep_2_2016	15.02	15.41	15.54	15.53	15.53	15.63	15.63(-0.98%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	5	50	7	0	32.31	78%	0.2	80.6	1.55%	0	0.6	47	0
23	Sep_1_2016	14.99	15.36	15.53	15.51	15.49	15.48	15.79(2.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	5	-10	9	-6	42.85	78%	0.13	72	1.56%	0	1	49	0
24	Aug_31_2016	14.97	15.29	15.53	15.43	15.49	15.42	15.34(-0.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-6	-10	-5	-10	38.85	74%	0.13	63.3	1.51%	0	0.1	62	0
25	Aug_30_2016	14.95	15.23	15.5	15.46	15.46	15.5	15.41(-0.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-2	20	-6	9	28.55	74%		59	1.53%	0	0.3	68	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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