Trading Signals: NVDA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Aug. 18, 2016

Trading Signals: NVDA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Jul. 26, 2016 - Fri. Jul. 5, 2024)

(Nvidia Stock)
NVDA latest price $15.5250 (1.55%) ($15.2050 - $15.5500) on Thu. Aug. 18, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.74% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $15.5250(1.55%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NVDA advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NVDA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWF(73%)    XLK(69%)    VUG(67%)    SKYY(66%)    QQQ(63%)
Factors Impacting NVDA price   NVDA will decline at least -0.87% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    UUP(-7%)    IPO(-7%)    TLT(-6%)    SHY(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.87% (StdDev 1.74%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $15.59(-0.42%)
10 Day Moving Average   $15.17(2.34%)
20 Day Moving Average   $0(0%)
To recent high   -1.5%
To recent low   10.8%
Market Cap   $9.548b

NVIDIA Corp. engages in the design and manufacture of computer graphics processors, chipsets, and related multimedia software. It operates through the Graphics Processing Unit (GPU) and Tegra Processor segments. The GPU segment comprises of product brands, which aims specialized markets including GeForce for gamers; Quadro for designers; Tesla and DGX for AI data scientists and big data researchers; and GRID for cloud-based visual computing users. The Tegra Processor segment integrates an entire computer onto a single chip, and incorporates GPUs and multi-core CPUs to drive supercomputing for autonomous robots, drones, and cars, as well as for consoles and mobile gaming and entertainment devices. The company was founded by Jen-Hsun Huang, Chris A. Malachowsky, and Curtis R. Priem in January 1993 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, CA.

$. NVDA price fluctuates within 0% (three month std-dev: 1.74%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160918

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_18_2016	14.7		15.17	15.59	15.56	15.42	15.53(1.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	4	-70	4	2	33.17	74%	0.34	0	1.74%	0	25	72	0
2	Aug_17_2016	14.65		15.05	15.47	15.6	15.56	15.29(-2.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	7	10	8	3	59.52	74%	0.27	0	1.78%	0	25.5	73	0
3	Aug_16_2016	14.61		14.94	15.34	15.45	15.71	15.65(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	17	140	20	8	28.77	85%	0.48	0	1.68%	0	26.1	81	0
4	Aug_15_2016	14.54		14.77	15.16	15.21	15.65	15.75(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	30	210	35	14	57.33	85%	0.62	0	1.7%	0	28.6	78	0
5	Aug_12_2016	14.45		14.61	14.94	14.97	15.19	15.76(5.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	29	110	34	14	142.57	85%	0.7	0	1.74%	0	33.5	50	0

6	Aug_11_2016	14.35		14.45	14.7	14.75	14.78	14.93(2.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	15	20	18	7	68.11	76%	0.35	0	1.12%	0	49.8	50	0
7	Aug_10_2016	14.3		14.36	14.58	14.67	14.75	14.63(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	18	60	21	8	37.57	70%	0.21	0	1.06%	0	56.3	50	0
8	Aug_9_2016	14.27		14.3	14.46	14.54	14.72	14.72(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	26	100	30	12	37.23	70%	0.28	0	1.07%	0	58.9	50	0
9	Aug_8_2016	14.23		14.24	14.32	14.35	14.59	14.69(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	23	120	27	11	30.51	70%	0.35	0	1.12%	0	66.8	50	0
10	Aug_5_2016	14.18		14.24	14.22	14.21	14.36	14.55(1.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	16	70	19	8	37.16	70%	0.35	0	1.18%	0	85.6	50	0

11	Aug_4_2016	14.13		14.24	14.16	14.14	14.11	14.31(1.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	8	-20	9	4	27.27	61%	0.21	0	1.13%	0	130.1	50	0
12	Aug_3_2016	14.1		14.24	14.16	14.12	14.05	14.05(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-6	-30	-7	-3	29.98	42%	-0.07	0	0.97%	0	156.1	50	0
13	Aug_2_2016	14.11		14.24	14.11	14.12	14.17	14.01(-1.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-4	20	-5	-2	28.27	42%	-0.21	0	1.04%	0	140.1	50	0
14	Aug_1_2016	14.14		14.24	14.14	14.14	14.19	14.18(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	423	20	498	199	30.11	62%	0.14	0	1.02%	0	157.6	50	0
15	Jul_29_2016	14.12		14.24	11.3	14.11	14.1	14.28(1.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	29.8	534	740	628	251	40.96	62%	0.36	0	1.08%	0	142.8	50	0

16	Jul_28_2016	14.07		14.24	8.44	14.11	14.1	14.05(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	93.5	1391	-10000	1636	654	22.19	0%	-0.14	0	0.61%	0	234.2	50	0
17	Jul_27_2016	14.09		14.24	5.63	14.11	14.1	14.02(-1.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	119.9	0	-10000	0	0	44.67	0%	-0.49	0	0%	0	200.3	50	0
18	Jul_26_2016	14.16		14.24	2.83	14.11	14.1	14.16(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	0	-10000	0	0	51.45	0%		0	0%	0	0	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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