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     Tue. Aug. 18, 2020

Trading Signals: NVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Tue. Jan. 26, 2021)

(Novavax, Inc.)

NVAX latest price $146.2250 (-5.95%) ($138.4200 - $154.4900) on Tue. Aug. 18, 2020.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Trend Pattern  Downtrend Consolidation Downtrend Pop
Trend Narrative  Correction
Average Daily Price Swing  $13.47 (8.97% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing  7.66% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force  -0.5% (StdDev 7.66%)
Daily Moving Force  1%
Rebound Strength  None(0%)
Trend   -0.4%
Trend Strength  2.4%
RSI   54
Momentum  1.2
Latest Price  $146.2250(-5.95%)
Forecasted Low Price  143.08(-2.15%)
Forecasted High Price  154.12(5.4%)
Direction of Next Movement  Higher(7.3%)
% Change Needed to Confirm Rebound  4.5% ((152.76))
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal  9%
Hourly Trend   0.3% [$149.63(0.48), $144.46(4.71)]
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Complacency  6
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  NVAX declines -0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  NVAX declines -3.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Growth stock rally for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support NVAX advance at 2.9% a week (36% probability)
  XBI(43%)    IBB(37%)    ARKG(34%)    IPO(31%)    ARKK(30%)  
Factors Impacting NVAX price  NVAX will advance at least 0.9% in a week (9% probabilities).
  TBT(-11%)    VIXM(-9%)    EDOC(-9%)    VXX(-8%)    IYT(-8%)  
Explanation   The decline is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  Not Available
 
Valuation to SPY   -0.5
 
Relative Volatility   -1.9 (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  3.3% (StdDev 7.66%)
Hourly BBV   0.6 ()
Intraday Trend   0%
  
 

  


Next Day Open Price  $146.72(0.34%)
Inflection Point  Yes
5 Day Moving Average  $141.16(3.59%)
10 Day Moving Average  $153.82(-4.94%)
20 Day Moving Average  $150.2(-2.65%)
To recent high  -18.1%
To recent low  230.5%
Market Cap  $8.951b
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
Earning Release Date  Mon. Mar. 1, 2021
Analyst One Year Target Price  $227.60 ($105.00 - $290.00)
  5 analysts (last updated on Wed. Aug. 5, 2020)
% to Average Target Price  55.65%
% to Low Target Price  -28.19%
% to High Target Price  98.32%
 
 


Novavax, Inc. is operates as a clinical-stage biotechnology company, which focuses on the discovery, development and commercialization of vaccines to prevent infectious diseases. It produces vaccine candidates to respond to both known and emerging disease threats by using the proprietary recombinant nanoparticle vaccine technology. The firm's vaccine candidates include ResVax and NanoFlu. It also develops immune stimulating saponin-based adjuvants through its wholly owned Swedish subsidiary, Novavax AB. The company was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in Gaithersburg, MD.

JUL 7, 2020 Shares of NVAX surged more than 40% on the news ts has received $1.6 to develop and to deliver up to 100 million doses of the company’s late-stage Covid-19 vaccine candidate as part of the U.S. government’s Operation Warp Speed program.
The vaccine, which focuses on boosting the body’s immune system to effectively combat a Covid-19 infection, is currently in phase 1 and phase 2 clinical trials in Australia, with preliminary results expected at the end of this month.


$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. NVAX price fluctuates within 8.97% (three month std-dev: 7.66%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. NVAX price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20200918

iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
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CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
TrendTrend
Strength
RSIMomentumTrend
Pattern
Next
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CRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
1Aug_18_2020150.2 (0.2%)153.82 (-0.6%)141.16 (-0.5%) 144.46 149.63(0%)146.23(-5.95%)138.42-154.49-0.2(-0.3)0.6 1%-0.5%0%-0.4%2.4%541.2 Downtrend Consolidation Downtrend Pop Range(3.5%)6-0.51.6Correction 138.63(-5.2%)137.05-144.927.4   -18.1%-230.5% 
2Aug_17_2020150 (0.4%)154.98 (-0.6%)141.81 (-3.1%) 139.75 149.15(0%)155.48(6.17%)145-155.750.4(0.4)0.8 2.7%0.2%0%-0.24%3.3%551.1 Uptrend Reversal  Range(2.9%)60.21.8Correction 152.04(-2.21%)149.82-154.775.66   -12.9%-251.4% 
3Aug_14_2020149.17 (1%)155.01 (-0%)146.41 (-3.1%) 139.78 139.29(0%)146.45(9.98%)137.62-151-0.2(-0.2)-0.7 0.8%0.1%0%0.24%3.9%571.1 Growing Uptrend  Range(0.9%)6-0.11.8Correction 142.28(-2.85%)141.07-147.1213.66   -18%-283.1% 
4Aug_13_2020148.93 (1.4%)154.92 (0.4%)151.15 (-4.4%) 147.91 130.34(0%)133.16(6.97%)125.77-140.7-1(-1.1)-1.5 -6.7%-0.7%0%0.72%4%551.2 Downtrend Reversal  Lower(-7.4%)6-0.81.7Uptrend Consolidation 137.01(2.89%)137.84-134.510.73   -25.4%-248.3% 
5Aug_12_2020148.53 (2%)156.62 (1%)158.05 (-5.8%) 157.43 140.27(0%)124.48(-16.72%)112.51-148.5-1.4(-1.4)-1.7 -12.2%-1.1%0%1.3%5.4%481.3 Downtrend Reversal  Lower(-4.9%)7-1.31.5Uptrend Consolidation 130.79(5.07%)132.13-126.817.67   -30.3%-225.6% 
 
6Aug_11_2020148.19 (2.6%)159.21 (1.8%)167.81 (-0.9%) 167.68 165.47(0%)149.48(-16.25%)143.25-1700(0.1)-2 -3.9%0.3%10%2.02%7.4%541.1 Confirmed Correction  Higher(14.5%)80.21.3After Top 154.65(3.46%)149.48-158.8815.11   -16.3%-509.9% 
7Aug_10_2020146.4 (2.6%)159.32 (2.2%)169.34 (2.8%) 173.24 174.58(0%)178.49(4.9%)172.86-181.71.4(1.6)2.1 2.9%2.5%0%2.28%8.8%701.2 Growing Uptrend  Range(5.4%)91.61.6Uptrend 184.09(3.14%)171.86-189.347.43   0%-628.2% 
8Aug_7_2020142.71 (2.8%)155.37 (1.8%)164.8 (3.4%) 167.63 169.89(0%)170.15(1.5%)166.26-178.561.2(1.3)1.9 0.8%2.4%0%2.12%8.9%691.3 Growing Uptrend  Range(3.2%)81.41.6Growing Uptrend 176.96(4%)164.58-180.056.5   -1.8%-838.5% 
9Aug_6_2020139 (2.8%)151.74 (1.4%)159.41 (2.7%) 163.33 171.89(0%)167.63(-3.28%)160.26-178.481.2(1.3)1.3 3.5%2.1%0%1.76%9.2%661.4 Growing Uptrend  Higher(7.2%)71.41.6Uptrend 172.22(2.74%)161.8-176.77.85   -3.3%-876.6% 
10Aug_5_2020135.48 (2.8%)148.85 (1.4%)155.21 (3.7%) 157.27 165.36(0%)173.32(10.33%)165.11-189.41.6(1.7)1.9 5.3%2.2%0%1.76%9.9%781.4 Growing Uptrend  Higher(7.5%)71.81.6Uptrend 177.62(2.48%)165.01-183.0217.78   0%-909.7% 
 
11Aug_4_2020131.7 (2.8%)145.91 (1.4%)149.62 (1.2%) 149.81 154.76(0%)157.09(0.81%)150.28-157.31.2(1.2)1.7 2.4%1.4%0%1.78%10.8%781.4 Growing Uptrend  Range(3.8%)71.31.5Uptrend 161.41(2.75%)151.61-165.618.24   0%-815.2% 
12Aug_3_2020129.05 (2.8%)144.18 (1.8%)147.89 (2.3%) 147.76 149.18(0%)155.83(8.84%)144.69-159.971.1(1.2)2.1 2.3%1.8%0%2.08%11.7%791.5 Growing Uptrend  Range(4.1%)71.31.6Uptrend 161.49(3.63%)149.84-166.476.72   0%-807.8% 
13Jul_31_2020125.32 (2.8%)142.35 (2%)144.64 (1.3%) 145.76 144.85(0%)143.18(-2.34%)142-148.780.8(0.8)0.5 0.1%0.8%0%2.26%13.6%781.5 Growing Uptrend  Range(2.1%)70.91.7Uptrend 148.95(4.03%)139.5-1534.23   -3.6%-734.1% 
14Jul_30_2020122.36 (2.8%)142.09 (2.6%)142.73 (1%) 144.21 146.34(0%)146.61(0.84%)139.57-148.881(1.1)2.2 0.8%2%0%2.68%16.1%841.6 Growing Uptrend  Range(2.8%)81.21.7Uptrend 154.56(5.42%)141.13-160.315.4   -1.2%-754.1% 
15Jul_29_2020119.09 (3%)139.63 (3%)141.33 (-0.2%) 140.97 146.68(0%)145.39(-2.07%)143.53-154.71(1.1)0.9 1.9%2.4%0%2.98%17.2%811.8 Growing Uptrend  Range(5.3%)81.21.9Uptrend 153.79(5.78%)139.59-159.895.63   -2.1%-747% 
 
16Jul_28_2020116.01 (3.2%)136.41 (3.4%)141.6 (1.1%) 139.44 142.08(0%)148.46(6.38%)136.5-1511.2(1.4)1.4 2.8%2.8%0%3.36%17.6%801.8 Growing Uptrend  Range(5.6%)81.51.8Uptrend 159.05(7.13%)140.79-166.865.86   0%-764.9% 
17Jul_27_2020112.73 (3.4%)132.66 (3.6%)140.05 (0.2%) 138.8 135.26(0%)139.56(4.45%)131.83-141.281(1.1)0.4 -0.7%2.6%0%3.52%17.7%721.8 Uptrend Consolidation  Range(1.9%)81.21.8Uptrend 150.05(7.52%)133.73-157.054.99   -4.9%-713% 
18Jul_24_2020109.64 (3.8%)129.31 (4.2%)139.82 (-1%) 139.58 136.79(0%)133.61(-4.3%)126.55-136.090.9(1)-0.9 -2.5%2.7%0%4.08%17.9%811.9 Confirmed Correction  Range(2.4%)91.21.5Uptrend 146.26(9.47%)128.55-153.844.81   -9%-678.4% 
19Jul_23_2020107.11 (4.2%)125.66 (5%)141.19 (2.8%) 140.97 142.34(0%)139.61(-4.88%)134.04-151.21.2(1.4)1.5 0.7%3.2%0%4.74%17.3%811.9 Growing Uptrend  Higher(6.3%)91.51.4Uptrend 155.8(11.6%)132.7-165.715.9   -4.9%-713.3% 
20Jul_22_2020103.96 (4.4%)121.43 (5.2%)137.36 (5.5%) 140.27 142.37(0%)146.78(4.33%)133.19-147.51.7(1.9)4.7 3.4%4%0%4.94%16.8%841.9 Growing Uptrend  Higher(7.4%)91.91.7Uptrend 164.04(11.76%)136.24-175.966.12   0%-755.1% 
 
21Jul_21_2020100.02 (4.4%)116.49 (4.8%)130.24 (5%) 133.92 139.6(0%)140.69(1.66%)134.55-148.951.7(1.9)6.4 3.2%3.4%0%4.7%16.5%801.9 Growing Uptrend  Higher(6.6%)91.91.7Uptrend 155.84(10.77%)130.79-166.598.86   0%-719.6% 
22Jul_20_202096.21 (4.4%)112.67 (4.8%)124.08 (5.8%) 126.32 138.18(0%)138.39(-1.5%)124.1-151.21.8(2.1)1.9 6.5%4.8%0%4.62%17.1%791.8 Growing Uptrend  Higher(12.1%)91.82.1Relative Overbought 145.14(4.88%)107.4-176.0212.86   -1.5%-706.2% 
23Jul_17_202092.43 (4.2%)106.77 (4.2%)117.25 (8.5%) 118.8 128.25(0%)140.5(16.67%)127.8-144.542.3(2.5)2.3 9.1%5.3%-8.1%4.2%15.5%821.7 Overbought  Lower(-11.3%)822Growing Uptrend 156.35(11.28%)127.53-163.5615.1   0%-718.5% 
24Jul_16_202088.26 (4%)100.72 (3.2%)108.02 (4.7%) 110.32 114.47(0%)120.43(8.32%)109.1-122.681.7(1.9)2.7 4.7%4%0%3.36%14.1%721.6 Growing Uptrend  Higher(8.7%)71.21.8Growing Uptrend 129.79(7.77%)113.1-133.966.75   0%-601.6% 
25Jul_15_202084.98 (3.8%)96.61 (2.6%)103.19 (2.5%) 104.58 109.36(0%)111.18(1.15%)105.8-114.941.5(1.6)2.6 3%3.1%0%3.02%13.7%721.6 Growing Uptrend  Higher(6.1%)70.81.8Uptrend 117.38(5.58%)104.87-122.755.24   0%-547.7% 
iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
TrendTrend
Strength
RSIMomentumTrend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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