Trading Signals: NVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Oct. 19, 2012

Trading Signals: NVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Novavax, Inc.)
NVAX latest price $44.2000 (-5.96%) ($43.2000 - $46.8000) on Fri. Oct. 19, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.19% (three month average)
RSI   36
Latest Price   $44.2000(-5.96%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NVAX advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NVAX declines -2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NVAX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(12%)    IWM(12%)    FXI(11%)    EWI(10%)    EWJ(10%)
Factors Impacting NVAX price   NVAX will decline at least -2.095% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-3%)    LQD(-2%)    XLU(-1%)    TIP(-1%)    SHY(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.095% (StdDev 4.19%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -5.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $44.8(-1.34%)
10 Day Moving Average   $44.17(0.07%)
20 Day Moving Average   $44.19(0.02%)
To recent high   -7.5%
To recent low   28.5%
Market Cap   $2.706b

Novavax, Inc. is operates as a clinical-stage biotechnology company, which focuses on the discovery, development and commercialization of vaccines to prevent infectious diseases. It produces vaccine candidates to respond to both known and emerging disease threats by using the proprietary recombinant nanoparticle vaccine technology. The firm's vaccine candidates include ResVax and NanoFlu. It also develops immune stimulating saponin-based adjuvants through its wholly owned Swedish subsidiary, Novavax AB. The company was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in Gaithersburg, MD.

JUL 7, 2020 Shares of NVAX surged more than 40% on the news ts has received $1.6 to develop and to deliver up to 100 million doses of the company’s late-stage Covid-19 vaccine candidate as part of the U.S. government’s Operation Warp Speed program.
The vaccine, which focuses on boosting the body’s immune system to effectively combat a Covid-19 infection, is currently in phase 1 and phase 2 clinical trials in Australia, with preliminary results expected at the end of this month.

$. NVAX price fluctuates within 5.27% (three month std-dev: 4.19%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20121119

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_19_2012	37.9	44.19	44.17	44.8			44.2(-5.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-7	-10000	0	-29	0.05	58%	0.5	58.1	4.19%	0	0	36	0
2	Oct_18_2012	37.71	44	44.27	44.76			47(4.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	2	-10000	9	-21	0.09	63%	0.59	58.7	4.12%	0	1.2	63	0
3	Oct_17_2012	37.49	43.64	44.23	43.92			44.8(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-3	-10000	4	-23	0.02	62%	0.54	51.6	4.08%	0	0.5	63	0
4	Oct_16_2012	37.29	43.38	44.43	43.56			44.8(3.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	-0	-10000	3	-10	0.02	62%	0.19	49.1	4.1%	0	0.5	67	0
5	Oct_15_2012	37.22	43.12	44.63	43.32			43.2(-1.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-0	-10000	-1	2	0.01	62%	0.51	45.9	4.08%	0	0	62	0

6	Oct_12_2012	37.03	42.88	45.07	43.44			44(2.8%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	4	-10000	-3	24	0.02	64%	0.52	43.5	4.09%	0	0.4	63	0
7	Oct_11_2012	36.84	42.59	45.03	43.72			42.8(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	2	-10000	-10	37	0.01	64%	0.52	41.7	4.08%	0	0.1	64	0
8	Oct_10_2012	36.65	42.36	44.97	44.6			43(-1.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	9	-10000	-9	62	0.02	64%	0.55	45.4	4.09%	0	0.2	66	0
9	Oct_9_2012	36.45	42.11	44.78	45.44			43.6(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	16	-10000	-7	86	0.02	64%	0.55	49.4	4.08%	0	0.4	70	0
10	Oct_8_2012	36.25	41.85	44.55	46.12			43.8(-3.52%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	21	-10000	-8	107	0.02	64%	0.58	51.6	4.09%	0	0.6	69	0

11	Oct_5_2012	36.04	41.59	44.31	46.92			45.4(-3.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	39	-10000	5	142	0.04	68%	0.59	56.6	4.14%	0	1.1	80	0
12	Oct_4_2012	35.83	41.3	43.8	46.48			47.2(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	46	-10000	12	149	0.07	68%	0.65	54.7	4.13%	0	1.8	88	0
13	Oct_3_2012	35.6	40.9	43.05	45.36			47.2(0.43%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	46	-10000	15	137	0.03	68%	0.62	46.6	4.16%	0	2.1	88	0
14	Oct_2_2012	35.38	40.49	42.24	44			47(-1.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	40	-10000	14	118	0.11	72%	0.63	36.1	4.16%	0	2.4	88	0
15	Oct_1_2012	35.16	40.14	41.44	42.76			47.8(10.65%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.2	35	-10000	15	96	0.17	72%	0.63	28.4	4.3%	0	3.4	87	0

16	Sep_28_2012	34.94	39.74	40.4	41.4			43.2(3.85%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	23	-10000	8	68	0.08	70%	0.49	20.8	4.17%	0	2.4	76	0
17	Sep_27_2012	34.77	39.56	39.85	40.76			41.6(2.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	15	-10000	4	48	0.05	70%	0.46	13.3	4.15%	0	1.7	59	0
18	Sep_26_2012	34.61	39.53	39.47	40.4			40.4(-0.98%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	11	-10000	3	34	0.02	72%	0.35	11.6	4.14%	0	0.7	53	0
19	Sep_25_2012	34.49	39.55	39.19	40.16			40.8(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	8	-10000	3	23	0.05	73%	0.35	12	4.19%	0	1	57	0
20	Sep_24_2012	34.37	39.5	38.92	39.88			41(2.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	9	-10000	8	11	0.03	73%	0.41	5.6	4.2%	0	1.3	48	0

21	Sep_21_2012	34.23	39.44	38.66	39.24			40(0.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	1	-10000	5	-11	0.05	74%	0.38	-13.5	4.21%	0	0.5	41	0
22	Sep_20_2012	34.1	39.4	38.61	38.8			39.8(1.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-2	-10000	5	-21	0.04	74%	0.38	-31.5	4.21%	0	0.4	47	0
23	Sep_19_2012	33.97	39.39	38.59	38.4			39.2(-0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-6	-10000	4	-35	0.04	74%	0.38	-42.2	4.21%	0	-0.2	34	0
24	Sep_18_2012	33.84	39.41	38.61	38.08			39.4(4.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-10	-10000	3	-47	0.05	74%	0.39	-50.2	4.2%	0	-0	40	0
25	Sep_17_2012	33.71	39.43	38.72	37.84			37.8(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-15	-10000	-2	-52	0.02	73%		-54	4.19%	0	-1.4	38	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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