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     Fri. Jul. 13, 2012

Trading Signals: NVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Novavax, Inc.)

NVAX latest price $41.4000 (3.5%) ($40.0000 - $41.8000) on Fri. Jul. 13, 2012.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  3.1% (three month average)
RSI   98
Latest Price   $41.4000(3.5%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Daily Trend  NVAX advances 1.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  NVAX advances 17.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support NVAX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  EEM(12%)    IWM(12%)    FXI(11%)    EWI(10%)    EWJ(10%)  
Factors Impacting NVAX price  NVAX will decline at least -1.55% in a week (0% probabilities).
  TLT(-3%)    LQD(-2%)    XLU(-1%)    TIP(-1%)    SHY(0%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -1.55% (StdDev 3.1%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   2%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $39.96(3.6%)
10 Day Moving Average  $37.49(10.43%)
20 Day Moving Average  $32.51(27.35%)
To recent high  0%
To recent low  78.4%
Market Cap  $2.534b
 
 
 
Novavax, Inc. is operates as a clinical-stage biotechnology company, which focuses on the discovery, development and commercialization of vaccines to prevent infectious diseases. It produces vaccine candidates to respond to both known and emerging disease threats by using the proprietary recombinant nanoparticle vaccine technology. The firm's vaccine candidates include ResVax and NanoFlu. It also develops immune stimulating saponin-based adjuvants through its wholly owned Swedish subsidiary, Novavax AB. The company was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in Gaithersburg, MD.

JUL 7, 2020 Shares of NVAX surged more than 40% on the news ts has received $1.6 to develop and to deliver up to 100 million doses of the company’s late-stage Covid-19 vaccine candidate as part of the U.S. government’s Operation Warp Speed program.
The vaccine, which focuses on boosting the body’s immune system to effectively combat a Covid-19 infection, is currently in phase 1 and phase 2 clinical trials in Australia, with preliminary results expected at the end of this month.

$. NVAX price fluctuates within 17.72% (three month std-dev: 3.1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0   Average positive next day return: 0%(0%)   Average negative next day return: 0%(0%)
Sample size 0   Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%)   Average negative next three day return: %(0%)
Sample size 0   Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%)   Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20120813

iDateema100ema20ema10 ema5 Slow Hourly
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1Jul_13_201226.9432.5137.4939.96  41.4(3.5%)UTHoldLong650.3   95   -10000   11   347   0.06    63%0.5276.13.1%01.5980
2Jul_12_201226.831.6836.3239.28  40(-0.5%)TPCloseLong-100.1   99   -10000   14   353   0.07    63%0.4976.13.21%01.5980
3Jul_11_201226.6730.8935.338.4  40.2(2.55%)UTHoldLong650.3   106   -10000   20   365   0.06    65%0.4972.73.22%01.7990
4Jul_10_201226.5430.1134.2137.2  39.2(0.51%)UTHoldLong650.4   103   -10000   17   360   0.09    65%0.4971.43.25%01.8980
5Jul_9_201226.4129.3633.0736.2  39(2.63%)UTHoldLong650.6   111   -10000   28   360   0.1    63%0.4271.33.27%02.1990
 
6Jul_6_201226.328.6531.8534.64  38(6.74%)UTHoldLong650.8   105   -10000   31   328   0.11    63%0.38703.32%02.3990
7Jul_5_201226.227.9730.6332.92  35.6(4.09%)UTHoldLong650.8   88   -10000   23   283   0.06    61%0.2366.33.25%02.2920
8Jul_3_201226.1427.4329.6231.72  34.2(0%)UTHoldLong500.8   78   -10000   19   256   0.04    59%0.2766.93.21%02.3920
9Jul_2_201226.0726.9328.7230.76  34.2(9.62%)UTHoldLong651.3   78   -10000   27   230   0.11    59%0.2764.73.23%02.8840
10Jun_29_20122626.4127.7829.48  31.2(6.12%)UTHoldLong650.9   63   -10000   19   196   0.06    56%0.1262.43.02%02.4810
 
11Jun_28_201225.9726.0627.1128.64  29.4(-0.68%)UDOpenLong750.5   54   -10000   17   163   0.02    54%059.52.93%02710
12Jun_27_201225.9725.8426.6827.96  29.6(0.68%)UTOpenLong751.1   49   -10000   20   136   0.04    54%0.0457.12.94%02.6730
13Jun_26_201225.9625.5726.1527.16  29.4(5.76%)UTOpenLong751.9   39   -10000   21   94   0.06    54%0572.95%03.2690
14Jun_25_201225.9625.3625.6926.36  27.8(2.96%)UTOpenLong751.7   26   -10000   14   62   0.04    51%-0.0862.42.87%02.9680
15Jun_22_201225.9825.2325.3825.84  27(3.85%)UTOpenLong751.9   20   -10000   13   42   0.19    50%-0.1277.72.85%02.9670
 
16Jun_21_201226.0125.1225.225.36  26(1.56%)UTOpenLong751.4   9   -10000   4   23   0.02    48%-0.1582.12.81%02610
17Jun_20_201226.0525.0325.1125.2  25.6(0.79%)UTOpenLong750.9   9   -10000   7   15   0.02    46%-0.1961.92.81%01.3510
18Jun_19_201226.124.9125.0924.96  25.4(0.79%)UTOpenLong750.8   3   -10000   1   9   0.02    46%-0.1918.82.85%00.9560
19Jun_18_201226.1524.8525.0224.92  25.2(2.44%)N/AN/A00.5   2   -10000   2   0   0.02    46%-0.1592.85%00.6480
20Jun_15_201226.1924.7624.9424.84  24.6(-2.38%)DTOpenShort-75-0.4   -7   -10000   -5   -14   0.04    46%-0.08-13.82.83%0-0.2460
 
21Jun_14_201226.2124.7524.9524.84  25.2(3.28%)DPOpenShort-750.3   -2   -10000   0   -8   0.01    46%-0.11-20.42.82%00.7520
22Jun_13_201226.2424.7624.9625  24.4(-3.17%)DTOpenShort-75-0.9   -6   -10000   -7   -2   0.01    44%-0.11-29.42.79%0-0.5540
23Jun_12_201226.2724.7624.9925.24  25.2(1.61%)UTOpenLong75-0.1   9   -10000   3   26   0.01    50%-0.15-36.22.76%00.6650
24Jun_11_201226.3124.825.0225.12  24.8(-2.36%)UDOpenLong75-0.5   9   -10000   2   29   0.02    50%-0.04-63.82.92%00550
25Jun_8_201226.3224.8525.0825.04  25.4(0.79%)UTOpenLong750.5   14   -10000   4   44   0.01    52%-72.22.92%00.7640
iDateema100ema20ema10 ema5 Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
ClosePatternTradePSMA5
BBV
 WTF lsma10
Trend
ema5
Trend
ema10
Trend
Volume
millions
Quarterly
Strength
100
Daily
Trend
Daily
Trend
Force
Daily
StdDev
Hourly
BBV
BBVRSIVIXCD
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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