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     Tue. Sep. 1, 2009

Trading Signals: NVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Novavax, Inc.)

NVAX latest price $133.0000 (10.1%) ($132.2000 - $155.8000) on Tue. Sep. 1, 2009.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  11.7% (three month average)
RSI   73
Latest Price   $133.0000(10.1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Daily Trend  NVAX advances 5.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  NVAX advances 13.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support NVAX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  IWM(18%)    EEM(17%)    VWO(16%)    EWI(15%)    FXI(15%)  
Factors Impacting NVAX price  NVAX will decline at least -5.85% in a week (0% probabilities).
  TLT(-8%)    TIP(-3%)    SHY(-2%)    LQD(-2%)    GLD(2%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -5.85% (StdDev 11.7%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   -11%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $120.52(10.36%)
10 Day Moving Average  $110.14(20.76%)
20 Day Moving Average  $103.81(28.12%)
To recent high  0%
To recent low  255.6%
Market Cap  $8.141b
 
 
 
Novavax, Inc. is operates as a clinical-stage biotechnology company, which focuses on the discovery, development and commercialization of vaccines to prevent infectious diseases. It produces vaccine candidates to respond to both known and emerging disease threats by using the proprietary recombinant nanoparticle vaccine technology. The firm's vaccine candidates include ResVax and NanoFlu. It also develops immune stimulating saponin-based adjuvants through its wholly owned Swedish subsidiary, Novavax AB. The company was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in Gaithersburg, MD.

JUL 7, 2020 Shares of NVAX surged more than 40% on the news ts has received $1.6 to develop and to deliver up to 100 million doses of the company’s late-stage Covid-19 vaccine candidate as part of the U.S. government’s Operation Warp Speed program.
The vaccine, which focuses on boosting the body’s immune system to effectively combat a Covid-19 infection, is currently in phase 1 and phase 2 clinical trials in Australia, with preliminary results expected at the end of this month.

$. NVAX price fluctuates within 10.49% (three month std-dev: 11.7%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0   Average positive next day return: 0%(0%)   Average negative next day return: 0%(0%)
Sample size 0   Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%)   Average negative next three day return: %(0%)
Sample size 0   Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%)   Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20091001

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1Sep_1_200959.86103.81110.14120.52  133(10.1%)UTOpenLong751.1   25   -10000   9   73   2.5    88%2.0176.611.7%02.7730
2Aug_31_200958.68101.67106.35114.32  120.8(2.55%)UTOpenLong750.7   18   -10000   5   55   0.84    88%1.0977.211.66%02.2700
3Aug_28_200958.05100.1103.22111  117.8(4.25%)UTOpenLong750.8   16   -10000   7   43   1.12    88%1.8276.111.69%02.2650
4Aug_27_200957.0198.52100.96106.48  113(-4.24%)UDOpenLong750.9   12   -10000   6   29   0.46    88%1.7779.311.69%02630
5Aug_26_200956.0297.3499.33102.8  118(15.69%)UTOpenLong752.4   11   -10000   8   19   1.16    88%1.8993.211.67%03.3660
 
6Aug_25_200954.9896.0897.0398.28  102(-2.11%)N/AN/A00.8   2   -10000   2   0   0.54    86%1.63125.211.56%01.2480
7Aug_24_200954.195.2696.3597.2  104.2(9.45%)N/AN/A01.4   4   -10000   5   -0   0.79    86%1.69134.511.63%01.7630
8Aug_21_200953.294.2995.6894.32  95.2(0.63%)DPOpenShort-750.1   -2   -10000   -0   -7   0.12    86%1.53105.311.61%00.1580
9Aug_20_200952.493.1595.9494.56  94.6(-0.84%)DTOpenShort-750   -1   -10000   -1   -1   0.1    86%1.5187.111.64%00.2620
10Aug_19_200951.6291.7896.3795.24  95.4(-1.24%)UDOpenLong650   1   -10000   -1   5   0.16    86%1.498111.65%00.3580
 
11Aug_18_200950.8690.3997.0995.56  96.6(7.57%)UTOpenLong750.1   3   -10000   0   10   0.45    86%1.627911.64%00.5530
12Aug_17_200950.0588.8596.7595.4  89.8(-6.85%)UDOpenLong65-0.4   1   -10000   -3   13   0.19    86%1.467611.67%00.1580
13Aug_14_200949.3387.5196.9797.16  96.4(-1.63%)UDOpenLong65-0.1   5   -10000   -1   23   0.17    86%1.6377.911.63%00.6650
14Aug_13_200948.5485.896.1297.48  98(1.03%)UTHoldLong650   9   -10000   -0   34   0.1    86%1.7478.511.62%00.8780
15Aug_12_200947.7183.8695.3997.68  97(1.25%)UDOpenLong65-0   11   -10000   -2   49   0.17    86%1.7978.211.72%00.8800
 
16Aug_11_200946.8781.8195.1798.92  95.8(-2.84%)UDOpenLong75-0.2   20   -10000   1   75   0.19    86%1.768111.74%00.8790
17Aug_10_200946.0679.7894.298.28  98.6(0.61%)UTHoldLong650   25   -10000   3   90   0.16    86%1.9379.511.76%01.1820
18Aug_7_200945.1977.5892.8396.68  98(-1.01%)UDOpenLong750.1   29   -10000   4   104   0.21    86%1.927611.76%01.2830
19Aug_6_200944.3475.2690.1994.44  99(-4.07%)UDOpenLong750.3   29   -10000   3   107   0.36    86%1.9370.711.78%01.4840
20Aug_5_200943.572.8986.8992.72  103.2(11.45%)UTHoldLong650.6   30   -10000   3   111   0.83    88%2.0967.511.82%01.8880
 
21Aug_4_200942.6170.1883.0991.08  92.6(2.21%)UTHoldLong650.1   32   -10000   3   119   0.2    88%1.8664.311.96%01.4880
22Aug_3_200941.8368.1380.2789.6  90.6(4.38%)UTHoldLong650.1   33   -10000   2   127   0.21    88%1.966.112.03%01.5880
23Jul_31_200941.0566.3177.3188.4  86.8(-3.98%)UDOpenLong75-0.1   40   -10000   7   137   0.23    76%1.8168.712.12%01.4870
24Jul_30_200940.3264.7774.7185.04  90.4(-4.84%)TPCloseLong-100.4   40   -10000   10   131   0.58    76%267.912.56%01.9930
25Jul_29_200939.5363.0471.4379.88  95(11.5%)UTHoldLong651.3   39   -10000   13   117   1.35    76%6612.69%02.6970
iDateema100ema20ema10 ema5 Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
ClosePatternTradePSMA5
BBV
 WTF lsma10
Trend
ema5
Trend
ema10
Trend
Volume
millions
Quarterly
Strength
100
Daily
Trend
Daily
Trend
Force
Daily
StdDev
Hourly
BBV
BBVRSIVIXCD
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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