Trading Signals: NVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jul. 31, 2009

Trading Signals: NVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Novavax, Inc.)
NVAX latest price $86.8000 (-3.98%) ($86.6000 - $93.8000) on Fri. Jul. 31, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   12.12% (three month average)
RSI   87
Latest Price   $86.8000(-3.98%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NVAX advances 4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NVAX advances 27% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NVAX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(18%)    EEM(17%)    VWO(16%)    EWI(15%)    FXI(15%)
Factors Impacting NVAX price   NVAX will decline at least -6.06% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-8%)    TIP(-4%)    SHY(-2%)    LQD(-2%)    IGOV(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -6.06% (StdDev 12.12%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -6.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $88.4(-1.81%)
10 Day Moving Average   $77.31(12.28%)
20 Day Moving Average   $66.31(30.9%)
To recent high   -8.6%
To recent low   169.6%
Market Cap   $5.313b

Novavax, Inc. is operates as a clinical-stage biotechnology company, which focuses on the discovery, development and commercialization of vaccines to prevent infectious diseases. It produces vaccine candidates to respond to both known and emerging disease threats by using the proprietary recombinant nanoparticle vaccine technology. The firm's vaccine candidates include ResVax and NanoFlu. It also develops immune stimulating saponin-based adjuvants through its wholly owned Swedish subsidiary, Novavax AB. The company was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in Gaithersburg, MD.

JUL 7, 2020 Shares of NVAX surged more than 40% on the news ts has received $1.6 to develop and to deliver up to 100 million doses of the company’s late-stage Covid-19 vaccine candidate as part of the U.S. government’s Operation Warp Speed program.
The vaccine, which focuses on boosting the body’s immune system to effectively combat a Covid-19 infection, is currently in phase 1 and phase 2 clinical trials in Australia, with preliminary results expected at the end of this month.

$. NVAX price fluctuates within 21.51% (three month std-dev: 12.12%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_31_2009	41.05	66.31	77.31	88.4			86.8(-3.98%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	40	-10000	7	137	0.23	76%	1.81	68.7	12.12%	0	1.4	87	0
2	Jul_30_2009	40.32	64.77	74.71	85.04			90.4(-4.84%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	0.4	40	-10000	10	131	0.58	76%	2	67.9	12.56%	0	1.9	93	0
3	Jul_29_2009	39.53	63.04	71.43	79.88			95(11.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	39	-10000	13	117	1.35	76%	2.12	66	12.69%	0	2.6	97	0
4	Jul_28_2009	38.71	61.36	67.25	73.92			85.2(0.73%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	32	-10000	10	97	0.6	79%	1.98	73.2	12.72%	0	2.5	96	0
5	Jul_27_2009	37.96	59.52	64.05	69.64			84.58(20.83%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.9	28	-10000	11	80	1.11	85%	2.02	70.7	13.05%	0	3.1	88	0

6	Jul_24_2009	37.21	57.78	60.85	64.8			70(8.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	14	-10000	4	45	0.62	87%	1.64	72.9	16.13%	0	2.1	72	0
7	Jul_23_2009	36.61	56.76	58.99	62.88			64.6(-0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	9	-10000	2	30	0.2	87%	1.44	67.4	18.52%	0	1.5	61	0
8	Jul_22_2009	36.09	55.96	57.74	61.56			65.2(2.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	9	-10000	4	24	0.29	87%	1.46	63.4	18.54%	0	1.8	61	0
9	Jul_21_2009	35.57	55.09	56.22	59.44			63.8(5.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	5	-10000	4	9	0.3	87%	1.45	50.3	18.55%	0	1.8	44	0
10	Jul_20_2009	35.06	54.33	55.04	57.52			60.4(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.6	2	-10000	2	3	0.09	87%	1.3	36	18.55%	0	1.3	65	0

11	Jul_17_2009	34.61	53.91	54.5	56.28			60.4(4.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	3	-10000	3	1	0.18	87%	1.23	24	18.58%	0	1.5	62	0
12	Jul_16_2009	34.19	53.49	54.12	54.52			58(6.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	1	-10000	2	-1	0.16	87%	1.27	4	18.58%	0	1.1	62	0
13	Jul_15_2009	33.76	52.93	54.05	53.36			54.6(0.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	2	-10000	2	0	0.13	87%	1.02	-18	18.57%	0	0.4	61	0
14	Jul_14_2009	33.42	52.75	55.03	52.48			54.2(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	2	-10000	1	6	0.06	87%	1	-26.3	18.59%	0	0.3	62	0
15	Jul_13_2009	33.09	52.74	54.67	52.16			54.2(5.04%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	1	-10000	-1	5	0.09	87%	0.91	-29.3	18.62%	0	0.4	60	0

16	Jul_10_2009	32.79	52.89	54.49	52.48			51.6(-1.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	0	-10000	-2	6	0.08	87%	0.8	-20.7	18.62%	0	-0.3	53	0
17	Jul_9_2009	32.53	53.32	54.43	53.68			52.2(3.98%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	1	-10000	-2	9	0.21	87%	0.68	-16.4	18.77%	0	-0.2	53	0
18	Jul_8_2009	32.31	53.69	54.17	54.88			50.2(-4.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-1	-10000	-6	13	0.09	87%	0.65	11.7	18.77%	0	-0.7	59	0
19	Jul_7_2009	32.1	53.88	54.06	57.96			52.6(-5.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1.1	7	-10000	1	26	0.12	87%	0.66	46.1	18.74%	0	-0.3	55	0
20	Jul_6_2009	31.89	53.99	53.76	57.44			55.8(-3.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	6	-10000	1	21	0.12	87%	0.92	60.7	18.73%	0	0.4	54	0

21	Jul_2_2009	31.6	53.8	53.42	56.68			57.6(-1.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	7	-10000	3	17	0.27	84%	0.86	65.7	18.58%	0	0.7	51	0
22	Jul_1_2009	31.33	54.1	52.88	55.2			58.2(-11.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	5	-10000	4	7	0.48	84%	0.9	69.9	18.7%	0	0.6	49	0
23	Jun_30_2009	31.05	53.12	51.71	53.32			65.6(31.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.7	5	-10000	8	-5	1.66	84%	1.07	54.9	18.6%	0	1.8	55	0
24	Jun_29_2009	30.72	51.75	50.1	49.8			50(-3.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-6	-10000	0	-22	0.05	83%	0.52	39.6	18.31%	0	-0.2	48	0
25	Jun_26_2009	30.56	51.23	50.48	49.6			52(3.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-6	-10000	-0	-23	0.1	84%		35.9	18.32%	0	0.1	48	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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