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     Thu. Apr. 30, 2009

Trading Signals: NVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Novavax, Inc.)

NVAX latest price $48.8000 (-14.08%) ($48.0000 - $60.0000) on Thu. Apr. 30, 2009.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  17.04% (three month average)
RSI   82
Latest Price   $48.8000(-14.08%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Daily Trend  NVAX advances 15.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  NVAX advances 105.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support NVAX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  IWM(17%)    EEM(15%)    EWI(15%)    QQQ(15%)    SPY(15%)  
Factors Impacting NVAX price  NVAX will decline at least -8.52% in a week (0% probabilities).
  TLT(-9%)    TIP(-3%)    SHY(-2%)    LQD(-2%)    IGOV(2%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -8.52% (StdDev 17.04%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   -15.6%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $49.72(-1.85%)
10 Day Moving Average  $34.41(41.82%)
20 Day Moving Average  $25.54(91.07%)
To recent high  -23.3%
To recent low  335.7%
Market Cap  $2.987b
 
 
 
Novavax, Inc. is operates as a clinical-stage biotechnology company, which focuses on the discovery, development and commercialization of vaccines to prevent infectious diseases. It produces vaccine candidates to respond to both known and emerging disease threats by using the proprietary recombinant nanoparticle vaccine technology. The firm's vaccine candidates include ResVax and NanoFlu. It also develops immune stimulating saponin-based adjuvants through its wholly owned Swedish subsidiary, Novavax AB. The company was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in Gaithersburg, MD.

JUL 7, 2020 Shares of NVAX surged more than 40% on the news ts has received $1.6 to develop and to deliver up to 100 million doses of the company’s late-stage Covid-19 vaccine candidate as part of the U.S. government’s Operation Warp Speed program.
The vaccine, which focuses on boosting the body’s immune system to effectively combat a Covid-19 infection, is currently in phase 1 and phase 2 clinical trials in Australia, with preliminary results expected at the end of this month.

$. NVAX price fluctuates within 60.92% (three month std-dev: 17.04%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0   Average positive next day return: 0%(0%)   Average negative next day return: 0%(0%)
Sample size 0   Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%)   Average negative next three day return: %(0%)
Sample size 0   Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%)   Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20090530

iDateema100ema20ema10 ema5 Slow Hourly
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ema5
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ema10
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1Apr_30_200927.9825.5434.4149.72  48.8(-14.08%)UDOpenLong75-0.1   108   -10000   18   379   0.59    69%0.118117.04%01.5820
2Apr_29_200927.9523.9331.2443.2  56.8(-10.69%)UDOpenLong750.9   100   -10000   27   317   0.98    68%0.465.416.93%02.3870
3Apr_28_200927.8421.9327.0435.24  63.6(24.71%)UTHoldLong652.3   92   -10000   42   240   1.56    68%0.7251.116.89%03.4910
4Apr_27_200927.6419.421.8626  51(79.58%)UTHoldLong653.2   66   -10000   43   135   2.66    66%0.333616.65%04.1880
5Apr_24_200927.5517.6118.0719.2  28.4(75.31%)UTHoldLong653.3   27   -10000   18   53   0.08    58%-0.3329.913.23%03.9770
 
6Apr_23_200927.6417.116.7417.12  16.2(-4.71%)UDOpenLong65-0.7   3   -10000   -3   20   0.01    46%-0.8333.39.27%0-0.7520
7Apr_22_200927.8717.1116.7517.36  17(-2.3%)UDOpenLong75-0.3   5   -10000   1   18   0.01    46%-0.7138.29.26%0-0.1420
8Apr_21_200928.0717.0116.617.28  17.4(2.35%)UTOpenLong750.1   5   -10000   6   1   0.01    46%-0.6430.89.28%00.3380
9Apr_20_200928.2516.9516.4616.84  17(-5.56%)DPOpenShort-650.1   -2   -10000   2   -15   0.01    46%-0.9523.49.31%00510
10Apr_17_200928.5216.8116.4116.68  18(3.45%)DPOpenShort-650.8   -3   -10000   5   -25   0.01    46%-0.38169.29%00.7480
 
11Apr_16_200928.6316.6616.2116.32  17.4(4.82%)DPOpenShort-650.7   -9   -10000   3   -45   0.01    46%-0.99.69.35%00.5430
12Apr_15_200928.8916.616.3116.08  16.6(9.21%)DPOpenShort-650.3   -9   -10000   3   -43   0    46%-0.76149.34%00550
13Apr_14_200929.1116.5816.6515.84  15.2(-6.17%)DTOpenShort-75-0.4   -10   -10000   -2   -32   0.02    46%-0.7513.99.25%0-0.8560
14Apr_13_200929.3316.6116.8816  16.2(0%)DPOpenShort-650.1   -7   -10000   -1   -25   0.01    46%-0.7428.69.24%0-0.3540
15Apr_9_200929.5516.5617.1316  16.2(0%)DPOpenShort-650.1   -2   -10000   0   -7   0.01    46%-0.6140.79.16%0-0.2600
 
16Apr_8_200929.7316.517.4816.08  16.2(5.19%)N/AN/A00.1   -4   -10000   -7   7   0    46%-0.7348.39.19%0-0.2580
17Apr_7_200929.9516.3817.5116.6  15.4(-3.75%)N/AN/A0-0.7   -5   -10000   -12   16   0.01    46%-0.8956.99.18%0-0.5510
18Apr_6_200930.2216.3517.517.6  16(-3.61%)UDOpenLong65-0.8   8   -10000   -3   39   0.01    46%-0.82699.17%0-0.2540
19Apr_3_200930.4716.1617.5317.88  16.6(2.47%)UDOpenLong65-0.6   8   -10000   -5   48   0.02    46%-0.9159.69.1%00.2560
20Apr_2_200930.7515.9117.3218.32  16.2(-13.83%)UDOpenLong65-0.8   8   -10000   -8   55   0.02    46%-0.7150.69.16%00.1570
 
21Apr_1_200930.9715.6817.2119.04  18.8(-7.84%)UDOpenLong75-0.1   25   -10000   6   82   0.01    49%-0.7143.69.06%01.2630
22Mar_31_200931.1915.4116.9618.52  20.4(17.24%)UTOpenLong750.8   32   -10000   14   87   0.01    49%-0.835.39.09%02710
23Mar_30_200931.4415.0416.4917.4  17.4(-7.45%)UDOpenLong750   19   -10000   4   65   0.01    45%-0.917.88.8%01.1610
24Mar_27_200931.7314.8916.317.12  18.8(-5.05%)UDOpenLong750.8   31   -10000   14   82   0.01    45%-0.78-12.18.7%01.9730
25Mar_26_200931.9814.7415.916.16  19.8(22.22%)UTHoldLong651.7   30   -10000   15   76   0.02    45%-39.48.76%02.4760
iDateema100ema20ema10 ema5 Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
ClosePatternTradePSMA5
BBV
 WTF lsma10
Trend
ema5
Trend
ema10
Trend
Volume
millions
Quarterly
Strength
100
Daily
Trend
Daily
Trend
Force
Daily
StdDev
Hourly
BBV
BBVRSIVIXCD
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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