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     Tue. Jul. 31, 2007

Trading Signals: NVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Novavax, Inc.)

NVAX latest price $59.4000 (8.39%) ($54.8000 - $60.0000) on Tue. Jul. 31, 2007.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  2.87% (three month average)
RSI   38
Latest Price   $59.4000(8.39%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Daily Trend  NVAX advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  NVAX declines -3.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support NVAX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  IWM(23%)    EEM(21%)    SPY(21%)    QQQ(20%)    VWO(20%)  
Factors Impacting NVAX price  NVAX will decline at least -1.435% in a week (0% probabilities).
  TLT(-10%)    TIP(-4%)    SHY(-4%)    LQD(-1%)    GLD(1%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -1.435% (StdDev 2.87%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   7.2%
  
 

  


1 - 5 Day Possible Target  $51.75(-12.88%)
Resistance Level  $60.01
5 Day Moving Average  $57.48(3.34%)
10 Day Moving Average  $58.53(1.49%)
20 Day Moving Average  $60.01(-1.02%)
To recent high  -10.8%
To recent low  8.4%
Market Cap  $3.636b
 
 
 
Novavax, Inc. is operates as a clinical-stage biotechnology company, which focuses on the discovery, development and commercialization of vaccines to prevent infectious diseases. It produces vaccine candidates to respond to both known and emerging disease threats by using the proprietary recombinant nanoparticle vaccine technology. The firm's vaccine candidates include ResVax and NanoFlu. It also develops immune stimulating saponin-based adjuvants through its wholly owned Swedish subsidiary, Novavax AB. The company was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in Gaithersburg, MD.

JUL 7, 2020 Shares of NVAX surged more than 40% on the news ts has received $1.6 to develop and to deliver up to 100 million doses of the company’s late-stage Covid-19 vaccine candidate as part of the U.S. government’s Operation Warp Speed program.
The vaccine, which focuses on boosting the body’s immune system to effectively combat a Covid-19 infection, is currently in phase 1 and phase 2 clinical trials in Australia, with preliminary results expected at the end of this month.

$. NVAX price fluctuates within 3.3% (three month std-dev: 2.87%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0   Average positive next day return: 0%(0%)   Average negative next day return: 0%(0%)
Sample size 0   Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%)   Average negative next three day return: %(0%)
Sample size 0   Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%)   Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20070831

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1Jul_31_200759.7460.0158.5357.48  59.4(8.39%)DPOpenShort-651   -17   -10000   2   -74   0.03    68%-0.03-17.92.87%0-0.3380
2Jul_30_200759.7660.0358.6957.28  54.8(-3.86%)DTHoldShort-65-1.3   -33   -10000   -13   -93   0.03    52%-0.12-21.82.7%0-2.6130
3Jul_27_200759.8360.2359.4158.28  57(-1.38%)DTHoldShort-65-0.8   -24   -10000   -8   -73   0.02    57%-0.1-18.82.77%0-2160
4Jul_26_200759.8960.3159.8258.92  57.8(-1.03%)DTOpenShort-75-0.7   -19   -10000   -5   -60   0.03    57%0.05-17.12.77%0-1.6340
5Jul_25_200759.8660.3860.2959.36  58.4(0%)DTHoldShort-50-0.6   -14   -10000   -4   -45   0.02    57%-0.02-17.72.78%0-1.3430
 
6Jul_24_200759.8760.3760.7159.72  58.4(-2.34%)DTOpenShort-75-0.9   -14   -10000   -7   -35   0.01    57%0.05-23.12.82%0-1.3390
7Jul_23_200759.8460.4661.1260.32  59.8(-0.66%)DTOpenShort-75-0.4   -7   -10000   -5   -14   0.01    57%-0.05-16.32.81%0-0.4540
8Jul_20_200759.8760.5461.3860.72  60.2(0.33%)UDOpenLong65-0.3   1   -10000   -2   8   0.02    57%-0.07-15.92.84%0-0.2640
9Jul_19_200759.9160.5861.4860.88  60(-0.33%)UDOpenLong65-0.6   1   -10000   -5   19   0.01    65%-0.12-14.62.88%0-0.4630
10Jul_18_200759.9860.6461.5361.36  60.2(-1.95%)UDOpenLong65-0.8   4   -10000   -5   31   0.01    65%-0.13-3.73.12%0-0.3600
 
11Jul_17_200760.0660.7361.6461.84  61.4(-0.65%)UDOpenLong65-0.3   11   -10000   -2   51   0.01    65%-0.2311.23.14%00.4690
12Jul_16_200760.260.7161.4862.04  61.8(1.31%)UDOpenLong65-0.2   13   -10000   -1   56   0.02    65%-0.2523.33.14%00.7570
13Jul_13_200760.3560.7861.1362.04  61(-2.24%)UDOpenLong75-0.7   13   -10000   0   50   0.01    70%-0.2633.63.14%00.1480
14Jul_12_200760.5160.860.8662.16  62.4(-0.32%)UDOpenLong750.1   14   -10000   4   42   0.02    70%-0.2834.83.29%01540
15Jul_11_200760.6860.6960.4861.72  62.6(0.32%)UTOpenLong750.6   9   -10000   3   27   0.01    70%-0.2820.83.31%01.2540
 
16Jul_10_200760.8560.566061.4  62.4(0%)UTHoldLong500.6   8   -10000   6   12   0.02    70%0.035.53.32%01.2490
17Jul_9_200760.8360.3659.7360.84  62.4(2.3%)UTOpenLong751   7   -10000   9   1   0.04    63%-0.23-21.43.32%01.3530
18Jul_6_200760.9760.3659.5859.96  61(1.33%)DPOpenShort-650.7   -1   -10000   6   -21   0.04    63%-0.26-46.73.43%00.5390
19Jul_5_200761.1360.2459.5559.36  60.2(-1.31%)DPOpenShort-650.6   -6   -10000   3   -33   0.02    63%-0.57-49.23.45%0-0460
20Jul_3_200761.4860.3659.6259.04  61(2.35%)DPOpenShort-651.2   -5   -10000   6   -36   0.02    63%-0.34-37.63.46%00.4520
 
21Jul_2_200761.6960.4759.6858.4  59.6(2.76%)DPOpenShort-750.6   -12   -10000   -1   -45   0.02    71%-0.36-32.43.45%0-0.5500
22Jun_29_200761.9160.6959.8358.48  58(0%)DTHoldShort-50-0.3   -13   -10000   -6   -34   0.02    71%-0.42-19.84.06%0-1.4520
23Jun_28_200762.1760.9460.3859.16  58(-1.02%)DTOpenShort-75-0.6   -8   -10000   -5   -17   0.02    71%-0.381.64.07%0-1.6450
24Jun_27_200762.4160.9860.7659.76  58.6(1.38%)DPOpenShort-75-0.6   -5   -10000   -4   -8   0.02    71%-0.388.34.08%0-1.3440
25Jun_26_200762.6561.0160.9760.28  57.8(-3.67%)DTOpenShort-75-1.3   -7   -10000   -7   -8   0.04    71%13.94.09%0-1.7370
iDateema100ema20ema10 ema5 Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
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ClosePatternTradePSMA5
BBV
 WTF lsma10
Trend
ema5
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ema10
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Volume
millions
Quarterly
Strength
100
Daily
Trend
Daily
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Force
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BBVRSIVIXCD
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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