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     Tue. Dec. 6, 2005

Trading Signals: NVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Novavax, Inc.)

NVAX latest price $71.2000 (-3.26%) ($70.6000 - $78.8000) on Tue. Dec. 6, 2005.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  10.3% (three month average)
RSI   52
Latest Price   $71.2000(-3.26%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Daily Trend  NVAX advances 1.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  NVAX advances 3.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support NVAX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  IWM(24%)    EEM(21%)    SPY(21%)    EWI(20%)    QQQ(20%)  
Factors Impacting NVAX price  NVAX will decline at least -5.15% in a week (0% probabilities).
  TLT(-10%)    TIP(-4%)    SHY(-4%)    REMX(-3%)    LQD(-1%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -5.15% (StdDev 10.3%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   -5.8%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $71.24(-0.06%)
10 Day Moving Average  $67.43(5.59%)
20 Day Moving Average  $66.93(6.38%)
To recent high  -35.6%
To recent low  173.8%
Market Cap  $4.358b
 
 
 
Novavax, Inc. is operates as a clinical-stage biotechnology company, which focuses on the discovery, development and commercialization of vaccines to prevent infectious diseases. It produces vaccine candidates to respond to both known and emerging disease threats by using the proprietary recombinant nanoparticle vaccine technology. The firm's vaccine candidates include ResVax and NanoFlu. It also develops immune stimulating saponin-based adjuvants through its wholly owned Swedish subsidiary, Novavax AB. The company was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in Gaithersburg, MD.

JUL 7, 2020 Shares of NVAX surged more than 40% on the news ts has received $1.6 to develop and to deliver up to 100 million doses of the company’s late-stage Covid-19 vaccine candidate as part of the U.S. government’s Operation Warp Speed program.
The vaccine, which focuses on boosting the body’s immune system to effectively combat a Covid-19 infection, is currently in phase 1 and phase 2 clinical trials in Australia, with preliminary results expected at the end of this month.

$. NVAX price fluctuates within 7.63% (three month std-dev: 10.3%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0   Average positive next day return: 0%(0%)   Average negative next day return: 0%(0%)
Sample size 0   Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%)   Average negative next three day return: %(0%)
Sample size 0   Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%)   Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20060106

iDateema100ema20ema10 ema5 Slow Hourly
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1Dec_6_200544.0366.9367.4371.24  71.2(-3.26%)UDOpenLong75-0   8   -10000   3   21   0.29    85%1.2-37.510.3%00.8520
2Dec_5_200543.5167.1766.8570.12  73.6(7.6%)UTOpenLong750.6   12   -10000   8   23   0.5    85%1.28-42.610.31%01.2680
3Dec_2_200542.9667.3165.9167.44  68.4(-7.07%)UDOpenLong750.2   6   -10000   4   11   0.25    85%1.18-47.610.37%00.2610
4Dec_1_200542.4667.7365.7866.16  73.6(6.05%)UTOpenLong751.2   9   -10000   7   13   0.31    85%1.34-51.210.36%00.9680
5Nov_30_200541.967.9565.3163.92  69.4(5.79%)N/AN/A00.8   2   -10000   2   0   0.41    73%1.23-67.810.77%00.2510
 
6Nov_29_200541.3968.965.2663.16  65.6(8.97%)DPOpenShort-750.3   -3   -10000   -0   -10   0.42    79%1.12-66.410.9%0-0.4400
7Nov_28_200540.9369.6264.6463.2  60.2(-2.9%)DTOpenShort-75-0.3   -6   -10000   -2   -19   0.21    79%1.01-65.613.83%0-1.1340
8Nov_25_200540.5270.2564.864.12  62(-0.64%)DTOpenShort-75-0.3   -8   -10000   -2   -26   0.07    81%1.55-67.413.85%0-1350
9Nov_23_200539.971.1564.6665.24  62.4(-4.88%)DTOpenShort-75-0.3   -11   -10000   -3   -33   0.17    81%1.09-48.414.13%0-0.9350
10Nov_22_200539.4772.8665.3666.84  65.6(-0.3%)DTOpenShort-75-0.1   -10   -10000   -2   -33   0.18    81%0.66-25.614.1%0-0.6360
 
11Nov_21_200539.2174.9666.4867.68  65.8(1.54%)DTHoldShort-50-0.2   -7   -10000   3   -35   0.17    81%1.16-6.614.12%0-0.7300
12Nov_18_200538.7675.8467.5666.28  64.8(-4.14%)DTHoldShort-50-0.1   -9   -10000   2   -41   0.24    81%1.02-3.514.13%0-0.9400
13Nov_17_200538.3776.4168.8565.48  67.6(-3.98%)DPOpenShort-650.2   -8   -10000   3   -40   0.44    81%1.133.214.11%0-0.7510
14Nov_16_200537.9476.3469.8263.92  70.4(0.86%)DPOpenShort-750.5   -12   -10000   0   -47   0.94    81%1.235.714.09%0-0.5460
15Nov_15_200537.4876.2270.6663.76  69.8(18.71%)DPOpenShort-750.5   -17   -10000   -4   -57   0.87    81%1.2213.614.09%0-0.5380
 
16Nov_14_200537.0375.7972.665.42  58.8(-3.29%)DTOpenShort-75-0.5   -22   -10000   -8   -62   0.4    80%0.920.913.99%0-1.3250
17Nov_11_200536.776.2774.969.18  60.8(1.67%)DPOpenShort-75-0.6   -19   -10000   -7   -53   0.29    81%0.9934.513.97%0-1.1450
18Nov_10_200536.3476.0276.2172.7  59.8(-14.08%)DTOpenShort-75-0.9   -17   -10000   -7   -45   0.57    78%0.9443.814.09%0-1.1490
19Nov_9_20053675.6578.3976.34  69.6(-10.88%)DTOpenShort-75-0.4   -10   -10000   -4   -28   0.49    78%1.1549.914.11%0-0.4590
20Nov_8_200535.5974.581.1978.38  78.1(0.64%)DPOpenShort-75-0   -6   -10000   -5   -8   0.32    77%1.4252.414.03%00.2610
 
21Nov_7_200535.0973.1684.1980.96  77.6(-1.02%)UDOpenLong65-0.2   6   -10000   -1   26   0.27    77%1.3961.614.07%00.3640
22Nov_4_200534.6171.8784.8381.6  78.4(0.51%)UTOpenLong75-0.2   11   -10000   2   39   0.33    77%1.3865.214.06%00.4600
23Nov_3_200534.1470.1784.6380.28  78(-2.26%)UDOpenLong65-0.1   11   -10000   -1   48   0.42    77%1.463.714.06%00.4660
24Nov_2_200533.6768.5483.580.68  79.8(-12.31%)UDOpenLong65-0   10   -10000   -6   59   1.35    77%1.4868.114.07%00.6690
25Nov_1_200533.1866.7482.3484.4  91(12.62%)UTHoldLong500.3   19   -10000   -6   93   2.07    77%77.913.95%01.2740
iDateema100ema20ema10 ema5 Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
ClosePatternTradePSMA5
BBV
 WTF lsma10
Trend
ema5
Trend
ema10
Trend
Volume
millions
Quarterly
Strength
100
Daily
Trend
Daily
Trend
Force
Daily
StdDev
Hourly
BBV
BBVRSIVIXCD
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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