Trading Signals: NVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Nov. 10, 2005

Trading Signals: NVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Novavax, Inc.)
NVAX latest price $59.8000 (-14.08%) ($59.4000 - $68.4000) on Thu. Nov. 10, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   14.09% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $59.8000(-14.08%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NVAX declines -4.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NVAX declines -10% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NVAX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(23%)    EEM(21%)    SPY(21%)    QQQ(20%)    VWO(20%)
Factors Impacting NVAX price   NVAX will decline at least -7.045% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-10%)    TIP(-4%)    SHY(-4%)    REMX(-3%)    LQD(-1%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -7.045% (StdDev 14.09%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -7.7%

Resistance Level   $76.02
5 Day Moving Average   $72.7(-17.74%)
10 Day Moving Average   $76.21(-21.53%)
20 Day Moving Average   $76.02(-21.34%)
To recent high   -45.9%
To recent low   304.1%
Market Cap   $3.66b

Novavax, Inc. is operates as a clinical-stage biotechnology company, which focuses on the discovery, development and commercialization of vaccines to prevent infectious diseases. It produces vaccine candidates to respond to both known and emerging disease threats by using the proprietary recombinant nanoparticle vaccine technology. The firm's vaccine candidates include ResVax and NanoFlu. It also develops immune stimulating saponin-based adjuvants through its wholly owned Swedish subsidiary, Novavax AB. The company was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in Gaithersburg, MD.

JUL 7, 2020 Shares of NVAX surged more than 40% on the news ts has received $1.6 to develop and to deliver up to 100 million doses of the company’s late-stage Covid-19 vaccine candidate as part of the U.S. government’s Operation Warp Speed program.
The vaccine, which focuses on boosting the body’s immune system to effectively combat a Covid-19 infection, is currently in phase 1 and phase 2 clinical trials in Australia, with preliminary results expected at the end of this month.

$. NVAX price fluctuates within 19.05% (three month std-dev: 14.09%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20051210

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_10_2005	36.34	76.02	76.21	72.7			59.8(-14.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-17	-10000	-7	-45	0.57	78%	0.94	43.8	14.09%	0	-1.1	49	0
2	Nov_9_2005	36	75.65	78.39	76.34			69.6(-10.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-10	-10000	-4	-28	0.49	78%	1.15	49.9	14.11%	0	-0.4	59	0
3	Nov_8_2005	35.59	74.5	81.19	78.38			78.1(0.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-6	-10000	-5	-8	0.32	77%	1.42	52.4	14.03%	0	0.2	61	0
4	Nov_7_2005	35.09	73.16	84.19	80.96			77.6(-1.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	6	-10000	-1	26	0.27	77%	1.39	61.6	14.07%	0	0.3	64	0
5	Nov_4_2005	34.61	71.87	84.83	81.6			78.4(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	11	-10000	2	39	0.33	77%	1.38	65.2	14.06%	0	0.4	60	0

6	Nov_3_2005	34.14	70.17	84.63	80.28			78(-2.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	11	-10000	-1	48	0.42	77%	1.4	63.7	14.06%	0	0.4	66	0
7	Nov_2_2005	33.67	68.54	83.5	80.68			79.8(-12.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	10	-10000	-6	59	1.35	77%	1.48	68.1	14.07%	0	0.6	69	0
8	Nov_1_2005	33.18	66.74	82.34	84.4			91(12.62%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	19	-10000	-6	93	2.07	77%	1.9	77.9	13.95%	0	1.2	74	0
9	Oct_31_2005	32.56	63.92	79.22	88.32			80.8(12.53%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	32	-10000	-1	129	0.84	77%	1.62	89.6	13.91%	0	0.8	67	0
10	Oct_28_2005	32.04	61.68	77.79	88.76			71.8(-10.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	38	-10000	-1	153	1.29	77%	1.36	92.1	13.87%	0	0.5	65	0

11	Oct_27_2005	31.61	59.91	76.07	89.32			80(-18.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	49	-10000	5	179	1.03	77%	1.67	93.3	13.78%	0	0.9	71	0
12	Oct_26_2005	31.09	57.42	73.03	86.08			98.4(-11.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	55	-10000	12	183	1.86	80%	2.3	86.7	13.53%	0	1.9	76	0
13	Oct_25_2005	30.39	53.91	67.42	79.6			110.6(33.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.6	59	-10000	22	168	2.56	80%	2.77	81.6	13.46%	0	2.9	80	0
14	Oct_24_2005	29.57	49.73	60.91	69.2			83(11.26%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	40	-10000	8	137	1.26	78%	1.97	79.3	12.93%	0	2.2	80	0
15	Oct_21_2005	29	47.15	57.44	65.68			74.6(16.93%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	45	-10000	12	145	0.68	78%	1.68	81.7	12.91%	0	2.1	78	0

16	Oct_20_2005	28.52	44.96	54.13	61.04			63.8(-3.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	40	-10000	9	132	0.23	77%	1.35	79.6	12.79%	0	1.6	75	0
17	Oct_19_2005	28.14	43.38	52.1	57.76			66(12.63%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	45	-10000	14	136	0.92	77%	1.41	74.9	12.77%	0	2.1	80	0
18	Oct_18_2005	27.75	41.55	49.68	53.08			58.6(-10.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	35	-10000	6	122	1.44	77%	1.17	66.2	12.7%	0	1.7	77	0
19	Oct_17_2005	27.43	40.17	47.28	51.2			65.4(27.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.6	38	-10000	10	123	0.86	77%	1.44	63.8	12.61%	0	2.8	80	0
20	Oct_14_2005	27.04	38.44	44.15	48.12			51.4(8.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	33	-10000	7	112	0.38	75%	0.9	68.7	12.23%	0	1.8	71	0

21	Oct_13_2005	26.8	37.29	42.5	46.28			47.4(11.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	29	-10000	3	105	0.36	75%	0.79	64.9	12.21%	0	1.5	70	0
22	Oct_12_2005	26.59	36.45	40.8	46.28			42.6(-13.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	25	-10000	0	99	0.23	75%	0.61	68.8	12.19%	0	1	66	0
23	Oct_11_2005	26.43	35.93	39.66	45.56			49.2(-1.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	37	-10000	12	110	0.54	78%	0.88	76	12.07%	0	2.2	76	0
24	Oct_10_2005	26.2	35.12	37.84	42.56			50(18.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	31	-10000	12	87	0.48	78%	1.04	76.7	12.06%	0	2.8	74	0
25	Oct_7_2005	25.93	34.07	36.1	39.6			42.2(-3.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	20	-10000	6	63	0.16	77%		79.9	11.89%	0	2	66	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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