Trading Signals: NVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Sep. 19, 2005

Trading Signals: NVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Novavax, Inc.)
NVAX latest price $33.2000 (14.48%) ($29.0000 - $33.4000) on Mon. Sep. 19, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   11.83% (three month average)
RSI   36
Latest Price   $33.2000(14.48%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NVAX advances 1.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NVAX declines -2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NVAX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(23%)    EEM(21%)    QQQ(20%)    SPY(20%)    VWO(20%)
Factors Impacting NVAX price   NVAX will decline at least -5.915% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-10%)    TIP(-4%)    SHY(-4%)    REMX(-3%)    LQD(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -5.915% (StdDev 11.83%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 13.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $32.08(3.49%)
10 Day Moving Average   $30.43(9.1%)
20 Day Moving Average   $29.37(13.04%)
To recent high   -27.2%
To recent low   124.3%
Market Cap   $2.032b

Novavax, Inc. is operates as a clinical-stage biotechnology company, which focuses on the discovery, development and commercialization of vaccines to prevent infectious diseases. It produces vaccine candidates to respond to both known and emerging disease threats by using the proprietary recombinant nanoparticle vaccine technology. The firm's vaccine candidates include ResVax and NanoFlu. It also develops immune stimulating saponin-based adjuvants through its wholly owned Swedish subsidiary, Novavax AB. The company was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in Gaithersburg, MD.

JUL 7, 2020 Shares of NVAX surged more than 40% on the news ts has received $1.6 to develop and to deliver up to 100 million doses of the company’s late-stage Covid-19 vaccine candidate as part of the U.S. government’s Operation Warp Speed program.
The vaccine, which focuses on boosting the body’s immune system to effectively combat a Covid-19 infection, is currently in phase 1 and phase 2 clinical trials in Australia, with preliminary results expected at the end of this month.

$. NVAX price fluctuates within 21.18% (three month std-dev: 11.83%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_19_2005	24.98	29.37	30.43	32.08			33.2(14.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-1	-10000	3	-11	0.08	65%	0.04	62.4	11.83%	0	0.6	36	0
2	Sep_16_2005	24.97	28.64	29.82	31.48			29(-7.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-6	-10000	-1	-19	0.06	61%	-0.04	55.9	11.75%	0	0.1	60	0
3	Sep_15_2005	24.98	28.14	29.84	31.76			31.2(-4.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	1	-10000	4	-8	0.06	61%	0.04	55.6	11.71%	0	0.4	65	0
4	Sep_14_2005	24.97	27.52	29.72	31.12			32.6(-5.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	5	-10000	5	3	0.08	61%	0.12	54	11.7%	0	0.7	71	0
5	Sep_13_2005	24.94	26.79	30.28	30.24			34.4(13.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	15	-10000	10	29	0.28	61%	0.2	49.4	11.68%	0	1	72	0

6	Sep_12_2005	24.89	25.94	31.2	28.56			30.2(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	16	-10000	4	53	0.1	59%	0.08	41.5	11.57%	0	0.6	70	0
7	Sep_9_2005	24.87	25.36	30.92	27.96			30.4(8.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	18	-10000	2	64	0.39	59%	0.04	38.1	11.57%	0	0.7	72	0
8	Sep_8_2005	24.86	24.72	30.4	27.68			28(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	17	-10000	-3	75	0.06	59%	0.04	35.9	11.53%	0	0.4	71	0
9	Sep_7_2005	24.85	24.09	29.64	28.12			28.2(8.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	11	-10000	-13	83	0.22	59%	0	34.5	11.52%	0	0.5	70	0
10	Sep_6_2005	24.85	23.56	28.9	30.4			26(-4.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	16	-10000	-20	125	0.1	61%	-0.12	43.7	11.5%	0	0.3	70	0

11	Sep_2_2005	24.88	23.18	28.38	34.32			27.2(-6.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.9	55	-10000	0	218	0.14	61%	0	63.4	11.54%	0	0.5	72	0
12	Sep_1_2005	24.88	22.78	27.55	34.24			29(-3.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	62	-10000	5	233	0.25	61%	-0.04	63.7	11.52%	0	0.8	71	0
13	Aug_31_2005	24.89	22.26	26.52	33.32			30.2(-23.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	69	-10000	13	237	0.34	61%	-0.04	61	11.53%	0	1	74	0
14	Aug_30_2005	24.9	21.66	25.35	31.08			39.6(-13.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.2	79	-10000	27	233	0.72	67%	0.48	51.6	11.12%	0	2.4	86	0
15	Aug_29_2005	24.78	20.55	23.04	27.08			45.6(70.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	3	78	-10000	43	181	0.77	71%	0.73	39	11.06%	0	4.1	83	0

16	Aug_26_2005	24.6	19.12	20	21.88			26.8(9.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	53	-10000	26	133	0.11	59%	-0.08	28.7	6.86%	0	3.2	69	0
17	Aug_25_2005	24.62	18.73	19.09	20.08			24.4(28.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.5	35	-10000	20	79	0.52	57%	-0.24	9.3	6.75%	0	3.3	62	0
18	Aug_24_2005	24.68	18.41	18.34	18.8			19(-3.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	11	-10000	3	35	0.02	47%	-0.4	-25.1	5.73%	0	0.5	51	0
19	Aug_23_2005	24.78	18.42	17.94	18.64			19.6(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.8	9	-10000	8	11	0.01	52%	-0.28	-33.7	5.74%	0	1	54	0
20	Aug_22_2005	24.85	18.4	17.71	18.24			19.6(10.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	3	-10000	8	-11	0.01	52%	-0.24	-41.8	6%	0	1	51	0

21	Aug_19_2005	24.91	18.44	17.54	17.8			17.8(-1.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-11	-10000	-2	-37	0	46%	-0.44	-44.7	5.97%	0	-0.5	44	0
22	Aug_18_2005	25.02	18.57	17.68	17.92			18(-1.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-8	-10000	2	-36	0.01	44%	-0.52	-37.1	5.97%	0	-0.4	44	0
23	Aug_17_2005	25.15	18.71	17.76	17.8			18.2(3.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	1	-10000	13	-34	0.02	44%	-0.47	-32.6	6.01%	0	-0.4	50	0
24	Aug_16_2005	25.27	18.82	17.8	17.12			17.6(1.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-15	-10000	1	-61	0.01	44%	-0.59	-37.5	6%	0	-0.8	46	0
25	Aug_15_2005	25.42	18.95	17.97	17.08			17.4(-5.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-19	-10000	-3	-65	0.01	44%		-36.4	5.99%	0	-1.1	44	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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