Trading Signals: NVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Apr. 7, 2005

Trading Signals: NVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Novavax, Inc.)
NVAX latest price $29.2000 (-3.95%) ($28.4000 - $31.2000) on Thu. Apr. 7, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.8% (three month average)
RSI   41
Latest Price   $29.2000(-3.95%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NVAX advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NVAX declines -10.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NVAX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(23%)    EEM(20%)    QQQ(20%)    SPY(20%)    EWI(19%)
Factors Impacting NVAX price   NVAX will decline at least -2.4% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-9%)    TIP(-4%)    SHY(-4%)    REMX(-4%)    LQD(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.4% (StdDev 4.8%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -6.4%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $0.33(-98.87%)
Resistance Level   $33.23
5 Day Moving Average   $28.08(3.99%)
10 Day Moving Average   $29.53(-1.12%)
20 Day Moving Average   $33.23(-12.13%)
To recent high   -52.1%
To recent low   12.3%
Market Cap   $1.787b

Novavax, Inc. is operates as a clinical-stage biotechnology company, which focuses on the discovery, development and commercialization of vaccines to prevent infectious diseases. It produces vaccine candidates to respond to both known and emerging disease threats by using the proprietary recombinant nanoparticle vaccine technology. The firm's vaccine candidates include ResVax and NanoFlu. It also develops immune stimulating saponin-based adjuvants through its wholly owned Swedish subsidiary, Novavax AB. The company was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in Gaithersburg, MD.

JUL 7, 2020 Shares of NVAX surged more than 40% on the news ts has received $1.6 to develop and to deliver up to 100 million doses of the company’s late-stage Covid-19 vaccine candidate as part of the U.S. government’s Operation Warp Speed program.
The vaccine, which focuses on boosting the body’s immune system to effectively combat a Covid-19 infection, is currently in phase 1 and phase 2 clinical trials in Australia, with preliminary results expected at the end of this month.

$. NVAX price fluctuates within 16.43% (three month std-dev: 4.8%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20050507

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_7_2005	52.15	33.23	29.53	28.08			29.2(-3.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-30	-10000	3	-130	0	30%	-0.63	-72	4.8%	0	-0.7	41	0
2	Apr_6_2005	52.48	34.07	30.17	27.88			30.4(8.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-32	-10000	-1	-125	0.01	30%	-0.61	-65.2	4.78%	0	-0.6	46	0
3	Apr_5_2005	52.8	34.83	30.58	27.96			28(4.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-36	-10000	-7	-124	0	24%	-0.7	-60.5	4.62%	0	-1	39	0
4	Apr_4_2005	53.17	35.71	31.27	28.4			26.8(3.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-48	-10000	-17	-142	0.01	24%	-0.64	-57.5	4.58%	0	-1.3	23	0
5	Apr_1_2005	53.51	36.67	32.17	29.52			26(-7.8%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-56	-10000	-23	-154	0.01	24%	-0.65	-54.2	4.51%	0	-1.6	18	0

6	Mar_31_2005	53.86	37.69	32.99	31.16			28.2(-8.44%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-57	-10000	-22	-161	0.01	26%	-0.63	-49.9	4.47%	0	-1.5	19	0
7	Mar_30_2005	54.2	38.58	33.5	32.76			30.8(1.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-52	-10000	-11	-174	0.01	27%	-0.59	-45.6	4.37%	0	-1.2	21	0
8	Mar_29_2005	54.52	39.29	33.74	33.6			30.2(-6.79%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-60	-10000	-13	-199	0.02	27%	-0.69	-44.7	4.37%	0	-1.5	21	0
9	Mar_28_2005	54.9	40.04	34.86	34.56			32.4(-5.26%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-54	-10000	-8	-193	0.01	29%	-1.13	-45.3	4.32%	0	-1.3	24	0
10	Mar_24_2005	55.53	40.69	36.11	35.2			34.2(-5.52%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-44	-10000	2	-181	0.01	31%	-0.79	-46.4	4.25%	0	-1.2	26	0

11	Mar_23_2005	55.97	41.22	37.21	35.08			36.2(3.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-37	-10000	10	-179	0.01	32%	-0.74	-51.3	4.24%	0	-1	28	0
12	Mar_22_2005	56.39	41.65	38.21	34.36			35(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-42	-10000	6	-187	0.01	32%	-0.76	-58.2	4.25%	0	-1.3	25	0
13	Mar_21_2005	56.82	42.21	39.3	33.92			35(-1.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-63	-10000	-18	-199	0.01	32%	-0.79	-63.3	4.24%	0	-1.4	28	0
14	Mar_18_2005	57.27	42.83	40.39	35.28			35.6(5.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-63	-10000	-25	-178	0.01	32%	-0.78	-57.2	4.22%	0	-1.5	30	0
15	Mar_17_2005	57.72	43.39	41.44	37.28			33.6(3.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-60	-10000	-30	-148	0.02	28%	-0.81	-49.9	4.16%	0	-2.1	21	0

16	Mar_16_2005	58.19	44.1	42.74	39.76			32.6(-0.61%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.8	-51	-10000	-33	-104	0.02	28%	-0.68	-40.6	4.13%	0	-2.9	20	0
17	Mar_15_2005	58.59	44.9	44.14	42.64			32.8(-21.53%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-3.2	-34	-10000	-29	-50	0.07	32%	-0.69	-29.8	4.14%	0	-3.9	20	0
18	Mar_14_2005	59	45.68	45.47	45.32			41.8(-8.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.8	-8	-10000	-11	3	0.02	40%	-0.52	-20.7	3.28%	0	-3	33	0
19	Mar_11_2005	59.31	45.68	45.81	46.16			45.6(-0.87%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	4	-10000	-1	18	0.01	45%	-0.45	-29.7	3.16%	0	-0.2	40	0
20	Mar_10_2005	59.58	45.68	45.76	46.16			46(-2.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	4	-10000	0	16	0.01	45%	-0.5	-38	3.18%	0	0.2	48	0

21	Mar_9_2005	59.88	45.8	45.59	46.24			47(1.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	5	-10000	4	7	0.01	45%	-0.55	-54.6	3.22%	0	1.1	46	0
22	Mar_8_2005	60.21	45.84	45.34	45.96			46.2(0.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	1	-10000	4	-10	0.01	45%	-0.55	-63.7	3.23%	0	0.3	40	0
23	Mar_7_2005	60.54	45.94	45.28	45.68			46(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-2	-10000	4	-21	0.01	45%	-0.53	-61.2	3.23%	0	0	43	0
24	Mar_4_2005	60.86	46.11	45.28	45.4			46(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-2	-10000	3	-16	0.01	45%	-0.47	-56.9	3.23%	0	-0.1	62	0
25	Mar_3_2005	61.15	46.2	45.36	45.2			46(0.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-1	-10000	5	-18	0.02	45%		-64	3.26%	0	-0.1	52	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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