Trading Signals: NVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Sep. 14, 2004

Trading Signals: NVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Novavax, Inc.)
NVAX latest price $77.0000 (11.92%) ($67.6000 - $77.2000) on Tue. Sep. 14, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.04% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $77.0000(11.92%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NVAX advances 4.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NVAX declines -1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NVAX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(22%)    EEM(20%)    QQQ(20%)    SPY(20%)    EWG(18%)
Factors Impacting NVAX price   NVAX will decline at least -2.02% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-9%)    TIP(-4%)    SHY(-4%)    REMX(-4%)    LQD(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.02% (StdDev 4.04%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 6.4%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $56.55(-26.56%)
5 Day Moving Average   $66.88(15.13%)
10 Day Moving Average   $66.89(15.11%)
20 Day Moving Average   $67.68(13.77%)
To recent high   -34.9%
To recent low   25%
Market Cap   $4.713b

Novavax, Inc. is operates as a clinical-stage biotechnology company, which focuses on the discovery, development and commercialization of vaccines to prevent infectious diseases. It produces vaccine candidates to respond to both known and emerging disease threats by using the proprietary recombinant nanoparticle vaccine technology. The firm's vaccine candidates include ResVax and NanoFlu. It also develops immune stimulating saponin-based adjuvants through its wholly owned Swedish subsidiary, Novavax AB. The company was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in Gaithersburg, MD.

JUL 7, 2020 Shares of NVAX surged more than 40% on the news ts has received $1.6 to develop and to deliver up to 100 million doses of the company’s late-stage Covid-19 vaccine candidate as part of the U.S. government’s Operation Warp Speed program.
The vaccine, which focuses on boosting the body’s immune system to effectively combat a Covid-19 infection, is currently in phase 1 and phase 2 clinical trials in Australia, with preliminary results expected at the end of this month.

$. NVAX price fluctuates within 5.25% (three month std-dev: 4.04%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20041014

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_14_2004	89.42	67.68	66.89	66.88			77(11.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.9	13	-10000	22	-14	0.01	44%	-0.38	-39	4.04%	0	2.6	59	0
2	Sep_13_2004	89.76	67.11	65.85	64.04			68.8(6.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.7	-15	-10000	2	-65	0.01	39%	-0.48	-87.2	3.77%	0	0.6	47	0
3	Sep_10_2004	90.19	67.28	65.88	63.76			64.6(3.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-25	-10000	-7	-80	0	36%	-0.55	-88.7	3.7%	0	-0.9	32	0
4	Sep_9_2004	90.69	67.66	66.25	64.64			62.4(1.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-23	-10000	-9	-66	0.01	38%	-0.56	-96.6	3.67%	0	-1.6	47	0
5	Sep_8_2004	91.2	68.39	67.04	65.68			61.6(-1.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-19	-10000	-9	-47	0.01	38%	-0.58	-90.7	3.72%	0	-1.9	42	0

6	Sep_7_2004	91.73	69.09	67.94	66.76			62.8(-6.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-11	-10000	-8	-19	0.01	38%	-0.84	-99.8	3.72%	0	-1.8	53	0
7	Sep_3_2004	92.51	69.68	68.7	67.8			67.4(-2.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-2	-10000	-4	3	0	40%	-0.47	-110.2	3.62%	0	-0.6	53	0
8	Sep_2_2004	92.95	70.15	69.17	68.28			69(2.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	3	-10000	1	10	0.01	40%	-0.47	-95.5	3.62%	0	-0.2	44	0
9	Sep_1_2004	93.39	70.9	68.88	68.16			67.6(0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-5	-10000	-4	-8	0	40%	-0.47	-86.5	3.62%	0	-0.6	44	0
10	Aug_31_2004	93.83	71.81	68.89	68.68			67(-1.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-10	-10000	-5	-23	0	40%	-0.52	-78.9	3.61%	0	-0.7	37	0

11	Aug_30_2004	94.32	72.82	68.63	69.32			68(-2.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-12	-10000	-3	-39	0	40%	-0.29	-72.1	3.64%	0	-0.6	41	0
12	Aug_27_2004	94.59	73.98	68.52	69.72			69.8(2.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-16	-10000	-4	-52	0	42%	-0.53	-64.6	3.63%	0	-0.5	44	0
13	Aug_26_2004	95.09	75.13	68.77	70.2			68.4(-2.56%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-10	-10000	4	-51	0	42%	-0.53	-57.4	3.65%	0	-0.7	39	0
14	Aug_25_2004	95.6	76.41	69.14	69.68			70.2(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-18	-10000	4	-85	0	42%	-0.57	-51.8	3.65%	0	-0.6	33	0
15	Aug_24_2004	96.15	77.6	69.77	69.12			70.2(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-19	-10000	11	-107	0.01	42%	-0.58	-46.5	3.66%	0	-0.7	32	0

16	Aug_23_2004	96.71	78.96	70.25	67.8			70(-3.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-33	-10000	6	-148	0.01	42%	-0.61	-46.5	3.67%	0	-0.8	31	0
17	Aug_20_2004	97.3	80.15	70.65	67.12			72.2(9.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-48	-10000	-1	-187	0.01	43%	-0.49	-47.9	3.73%	0	-0.7	29	0
18	Aug_19_2004	97.78	81.12	71.07	67.28			65.8(-2.37%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-66	-10000	-11	-231	0.01	39%	-0.54	-50.3	3.53%	0	-1.4	18	0
19	Aug_18_2004	98.31	82.12	72.98	68.6			67.4(5.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-71	-10000	-16	-235	0.01	39%	-0.49	-56.4	3.53%	0	-1.4	18	0
20	Aug_17_2004	98.79	83.08	74.87	70.6			63.6(-4.5%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-73	-10000	-19	-234	0.02	35%	-0.51	-60.4	3.45%	0	-1.9	11	0

21	Aug_16_2004	99.3	84.56	77.37	73			66.6(-8.77%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-65	-10000	-12	-223	0.01	37%	-0.41	-64.6	3.42%	0	-2	10	0
22	Aug_13_2004	99.71	85.93	79.95	74.56			73(0.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-59	-10000	-7	-214	0.01	38%	-0.41	-69.7	3.31%	0	-1.6	23	0
23	Aug_12_2004	100.12	87.1	82.03	75.4			72.4(-6.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-67	-10000	-20	-206	0.01	42%	-0.38	-70.7	3.31%	0	-1.8	27	0
24	Aug_11_2004	100.5	88.5	84.32	78.04			77.4(2.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-50	-10000	-14	-156	0.01	45%	-0.36	-67.1	3.37%	0	-1.4	46	0
25	Aug_10_2004	100.86	89.64	86.07	79.96			75.6(1.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-45	-10000	-19	-124	0.02	41%		-65.4	3.35%	0	-1.8	42	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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