Trading Signals: NVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Apr. 6, 2004

Trading Signals: NVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Novavax, Inc.)
NVAX latest price $123.6000 (-0.96%) ($120.0000 - $125.4000) on Tue. Apr. 6, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.56% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $123.6000(-0.96%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NVAX advances 1.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NVAX advances 4.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NVAX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(23%)    EEM(20%)    QQQ(20%)    SPY(20%)    EWI(18%)
Factors Impacting NVAX price   NVAX will decline at least -1.78% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-9%)    TIP(-4%)    SHY(-4%)    REMX(-4%)    LQD(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.78% (StdDev 3.56%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $122.32(1.05%)
10 Day Moving Average   $117.07(5.58%)
20 Day Moving Average   $114.86(7.61%)
To recent high   -10.7%
To recent low   17.3%
Market Cap   $7.566b

Novavax, Inc. is operates as a clinical-stage biotechnology company, which focuses on the discovery, development and commercialization of vaccines to prevent infectious diseases. It produces vaccine candidates to respond to both known and emerging disease threats by using the proprietary recombinant nanoparticle vaccine technology. The firm's vaccine candidates include ResVax and NanoFlu. It also develops immune stimulating saponin-based adjuvants through its wholly owned Swedish subsidiary, Novavax AB. The company was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in Gaithersburg, MD.

JUL 7, 2020 Shares of NVAX surged more than 40% on the news ts has received $1.6 to develop and to deliver up to 100 million doses of the company’s late-stage Covid-19 vaccine candidate as part of the U.S. government’s Operation Warp Speed program.
The vaccine, which focuses on boosting the body’s immune system to effectively combat a Covid-19 infection, is currently in phase 1 and phase 2 clinical trials in Australia, with preliminary results expected at the end of this month.

$. NVAX price fluctuates within 4.88% (three month std-dev: 3.56%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_6_2004	118.55	114.86	117.07	122.32			123.6(-0.96%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	28	-10000	9	85	0	56%	0.07	-3.7	3.56%	0	1.6	64	0
2	Apr_5_2004	118.47	114.56	115.87	120.44			124.8(-1.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	29	-10000	11	81	0.01	56%	0.02	-17.3	3.56%	0	1.8	70	0
3	Apr_2_2004	118.45	114.45	114.52	118.12			127(6.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	33	-10000	21	67	0.01	56%	-0.01	-29.1	3.56%	0	2.1	63	0
4	Apr_1_2004	118.46	114.32	113.25	113.88			119(1.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	11	-10000	7	24	0.01	53%	-0.04	-46.8	3.46%	0	0.8	50	0
5	Mar_31_2004	118.51	114.63	112.41	112.6			117.2(2.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	7	-10000	8	5	0	53%	-0.08	-48.6	3.48%	0	0.4	49	0

6	Mar_30_2004	118.6	115.07	111.7	111.08			114.2(0.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-2	-10000	2	-13	0	55%	-0.1	-54.3	3.47%	0	-0.1	53	0
7	Mar_29_2004	118.72	115.55	110.85	110.64			113.2(6.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-8	-10000	1	-36	0.01	55%	-0.12	-54.8	3.5%	0	-0.3	46	0
8	Mar_26_2004	118.86	116.2	110.65	110.4			105.8(-6.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-24	-10000	-11	-63	0.01	51%	-0.2	-53.9	3.39%	0	-1.4	35	0
9	Mar_25_2004	119.1	117.17	111.86	112.44			112.6(2.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-12	-10000	2	-55	0	55%	-0.15	-50.7	3.3%	0	-0.6	37	0
10	Mar_24_2004	119.28	117.86	112.31	112.16			109.6(-2.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-19	-10000	-1	-72	0	55%	-0.1	-49.7	3.31%	0	-1.1	33	0

11	Mar_23_2004	119.4	118.85	112.59	112.32			112(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-17	-10000	7	-89	0	58%	-0.15	-49.3	3.32%	0	-0.9	35	0
12	Mar_22_2004	119.58	119.59	113.23	111			112(-3.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-27	-10000	0	-109	0.01	58%	-0.21	-52.1	3.39%	0	-1	39	0
13	Mar_19_2004	119.83	120.28	114.44	110.92			116(4.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-30	-10000	-2	-115	0.01	60%	-0.25	-52.9	3.37%	0	-0.6	39	0
14	Mar_18_2004	120.13	120.9	115.4	111.32			111.2(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-34	-10000	-7	-114	0.01	61%	-0.24	-48	3.32%	0	-1.4	37	0
15	Mar_17_2004	120.42	121.68	116.94	112.64			110.4(4.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-26	-10000	-2	-99	0.01	61%	-0.23	-43.4	3.42%	0	-1.6	34	0

16	Mar_16_2004	120.7	122.58	118.64	112.96			105.4(-5.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-37	-10000	-14	-106	0.03	56%	-0.24	-45.2	3.39%	0	-2.7	25	0
17	Mar_15_2004	120.99	123.48	120.67	115.68			111.6(-5.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-33	-10000	-14	-89	0.01	59%	-0.12	-44.2	3.36%	0	-2.3	34	0
18	Mar_12_2004	121.14	124.22	122.27	118.37			118(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-24	-10000	-9	-67	0.01	64%	-0.17	-29.3	3.29%	0	-1.4	42	0
19	Mar_11_2004	121.35	124.45	122.98	120.17			117.8(5.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-22	-10000	-9	-59	0.02	64%	-0.2	-17.6	3.29%	0	-1.6	38	0
20	Mar_10_2004	121.59	124.75	123.91	122.05			112(-5.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.6	-23	-10000	-15	-47	0.02	58%	-0.25	-4.5	3.23%	0	-3.3	34	0

21	Mar_9_2004	121.89	125.52	125.76	125.17			119(-4.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.4	-9	-10000	-6	-16	0.02	63%	-0.22	29.9	3.17%	0	-2.5	39	0
22	Mar_8_2004	122.16	125.81	126.62	126.29			125.04(-1.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-1	-10000	-2	2	0.01	68%	-0.18	46.2	3.12%	0	-0.4	58	0
23	Mar_5_2004	122.38	125.51	126.68	126.68			127(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	3	-10000	2	7	0.01	68%	-0.13	33.2	3.14%	0	0.6	54	0
24	Mar_4_2004	122.54	125.18	126.84	126.24			127.2(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	3	-10000	0	13	0.01	68%	-0.16	26.3	3.14%	0	0.7	59	0
25	Mar_3_2004	122.74	124.92	126.72	126.16			127.6(2.41%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	3	-10000	-2	16	0.01	68%		25	3.14%	0	0.9	57	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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