Trading Signals: NVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Sat. Feb. 14, 2004

Trading Signals: NVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Novavax, Inc.)
NVAX latest price $125.0000 (2.8%) ($121.8200 - $127.0000) on Sat. Feb. 14, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.21% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $125.0000(2.8%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NVAX advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NVAX declines -0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NVAX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Factors Impacting NVAX price   NVAX will decline at least -1.605% in a week (0% probabilities).
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Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.605% (StdDev 3.21%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $123.88(0.9%)
10 Day Moving Average   $123.04(1.59%)
20 Day Moving Average   $123.85(0.93%)
To recent high   -9.7%
To recent low   23.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

Novavax, Inc. is operates as a clinical-stage biotechnology company, which focuses on the discovery, development and commercialization of vaccines to prevent infectious diseases. It produces vaccine candidates to respond to both known and emerging disease threats by using the proprietary recombinant nanoparticle vaccine technology. The firm's vaccine candidates include ResVax and NanoFlu. It also develops immune stimulating saponin-based adjuvants through its wholly owned Swedish subsidiary, Novavax AB. The company was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in Gaithersburg, MD.

JUL 7, 2020 Shares of NVAX surged more than 40% on the news ts has received $1.6 to develop and to deliver up to 100 million doses of the company’s late-stage Covid-19 vaccine candidate as part of the U.S. government’s Operation Warp Speed program.
The vaccine, which focuses on boosting the body’s immune system to effectively combat a Covid-19 infection, is currently in phase 1 and phase 2 clinical trials in Australia, with preliminary results expected at the end of this month.

$. NVAX price fluctuates within 3.19% (three month std-dev: 3.21%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_13_2004	126.4	123.85	123.04	123.88			125(2.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	3	-10000	7	-10	0	60%	-0.19	2.8	3.21%	0	0.3	50	0
2	Feb_12_2004	126.64	123.73	122.81	122.52			121.6(-0.98%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-4	-10000	2	-22	0	60%	-0.22	-8.2	3.22%	0	-0.5	52	0
3	Feb_11_2004	126.92	123.7	122.73	122.2			122.8(-2.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-7	-10000	1	-29	0.01	60%	-0.25	-9.3	3.23%	0	-0.2	52	0
4	Feb_10_2004	127.24	123.66	122.66	122			126.2(1.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-8	-10000	1	-34	0.01	60%	-0.19	-11.1	3.21%	0	0.6	54	0
5	Feb_9_2004	127.48	123.58	123.68	121.76			123.8(4.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-6	-10000	-2	-17	0	60%	-0.19	-7.5	3.21%	0	0.1	52	0

6	Feb_6_2004	127.72	123.73	123.88	122.2			118.2(-1.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-8	-10000	-5	-15	0	57%	-0.19	3.6	3.16%	0	-1.4	45	0
7	Feb_5_2004	127.96	124.06	124.37	123.16			120(-1.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-2	-10000	-0	-6	0.01	61%	-0.16	15.4	3.15%	0	-1.1	50	0
8	Feb_4_2004	128.16	124.07	124.7	123.24			121.8(-2.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-1	-10000	-0	-2	0.01	57%	-0.16	13.7	3.27%	0	-0.6	54	0
9	Feb_3_2004	128.37	124.11	124.93	123.28			125(-0.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-11	-10000	-13	-4	0	53%	-0.16	19.8	3.35%	0	0.2	56	0
10	Feb_2_2004	128.58	123.87	124.78	123.28			126(2.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	5	-10000	0	20	0.01	53%	-0.15	44.2	3.41%	0	0.5	52	0

11	Jan_30_2004	128.77	123.59	124.75	125.96			123(2.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.7	6	-10000	1	19	0.01	52%	-0.18	50.5	3.47%	0	-0.1	47	0
12	Jan_29_2004	129	123.46	124.76	125.8			120.4(-1.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.3	2	-10000	-2	15	0.02	52%	-0.15	58.1	3.5%	0	-0.7	49	0
13	Jan_28_2004	129.2	123.55	124.85	126.24			122(-11.85%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	4	-10000	-1	20	0.03	54%	-0.19	79.4	3.5%	0	-0.4	55	0
14	Jan_27_2004	129.44	123.34	124.88	126.56			138.4(9.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.9	19	-10000	15	31	0.03	63%	-0.03	93.8	3.19%	0	3.6	67	0
15	Jan_26_2004	129.48	122.14	123.37	126.56			126(3.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	2	-10000	0	8	0.01	59%	-0.07	134.1	3.01%	0	1.5	60	0

16	Jan_23_2004	129.57	121.6	123.43	123.56			122.2(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	4	-10000	-0	17	0.01	52%	-0.03	144.2	3.17%	0	0.2	55	0
17	Jan_22_2004	129.61	121.11	123.63	123.64			122.6(-0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	8	-10000	2	25	0	52%	0	154.6	3.18%	0	0.5	56	0
18	Jan_21_2004	129.61	120.34	123.36	123.2			123.6(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	6	-10000	2	19	0.01	52%	-0.01	128	3.18%	0	1	54	0
19	Jan_20_2004	129.62	119.57	123.21	122.8			123.4(-2.06%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	4	-10000	-2	21	0	52%	0.01	102.4	3.2%	0	1	61	0
20	Jan_16_2004	129.61	118.83	122.9	123.12			126(2.77%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	7	-10000	-1	31	0.01	52%	0.02	71	3.2%	0	1.3	67	0

21	Jan_15_2004	129.59	117.64	122.31	123.4			122.6(1.83%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	10	-10000	-1	42	0.02	52%	0.02	63.8	3.2%	0	0.8	65	0
22	Jan_14_2004	129.56	116.78	122.07	123.68			120.4(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	16	-10000	1	59	0	53%	0.05	51.2	3.21%	0	0.5	68	0
23	Jan_13_2004	129.49	116.25	122.21	123.48			121.6(-2.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	20	-10000	-0	81	0.01	51%	0.1	46.9	3.24%	0	0.7	76	0
24	Jan_12_2004	129.36	115.66	121.81	123.56			125(-1.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	29	-10000	5	100	0.01	51%	0.12	44.9	3.26%	0	1.3	78	0
25	Jan_9_2004	129.21	114.9	120.87	122.56			127.4(2.74%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	31	-10000	7	104	0.02	49%		40.7	3.3%	0	1.7	80	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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