Trading Signals: NVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jan. 21, 2004

Trading Signals: NVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Novavax, Inc.)
NVAX latest price $123.6000 (0.16%) ($121.2000 - $125.0000) on Wed. Jan. 21, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.18% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $123.6000(0.16%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NVAX advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NVAX advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NVAX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(23%)    EEM(20%)    QQQ(20%)    SPY(20%)    EWI(18%)
Factors Impacting NVAX price   NVAX will decline at least -1.59% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-9%)    TIP(-4%)    SHY(-4%)    REMX(-4%)    LQD(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.59% (StdDev 3.18%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $123.2(0.32%)
10 Day Moving Average   $123.36(0.19%)
20 Day Moving Average   $120.34(2.71%)
To recent high   -14.5%
To recent low   21.9%
Market Cap   $7.566b

Novavax, Inc. is operates as a clinical-stage biotechnology company, which focuses on the discovery, development and commercialization of vaccines to prevent infectious diseases. It produces vaccine candidates to respond to both known and emerging disease threats by using the proprietary recombinant nanoparticle vaccine technology. The firm's vaccine candidates include ResVax and NanoFlu. It also develops immune stimulating saponin-based adjuvants through its wholly owned Swedish subsidiary, Novavax AB. The company was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in Gaithersburg, MD.

JUL 7, 2020 Shares of NVAX surged more than 40% on the news ts has received $1.6 to develop and to deliver up to 100 million doses of the company’s late-stage Covid-19 vaccine candidate as part of the U.S. government’s Operation Warp Speed program.
The vaccine, which focuses on boosting the body’s immune system to effectively combat a Covid-19 infection, is currently in phase 1 and phase 2 clinical trials in Australia, with preliminary results expected at the end of this month.

$. NVAX price fluctuates within 2.75% (three month std-dev: 3.18%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_21_2004	129.61	120.34	123.36	123.2			123.6(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	6	-10000	2	19	0.01	52%	-0.01	128	3.18%	0	1	54	0
2	Jan_20_2004	129.62	119.57	123.21	122.8			123.4(-2.06%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	4	-10000	-2	21	0	52%	0.01	102.4	3.2%	0	1	61	0
3	Jan_16_2004	129.61	118.83	122.9	123.12			126(2.77%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	7	-10000	-1	31	0.01	52%	0.02	71	3.2%	0	1.3	67	0
4	Jan_15_2004	129.59	117.64	122.31	123.4			122.6(1.83%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	10	-10000	-1	42	0.02	52%	0.02	63.8	3.2%	0	0.8	65	0
5	Jan_14_2004	129.56	116.78	122.07	123.68			120.4(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	16	-10000	1	59	0	53%	0.05	51.2	3.21%	0	0.5	68	0

6	Jan_13_2004	129.49	116.25	122.21	123.48			121.6(-2.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	20	-10000	-0	81	0.01	51%	0.1	46.9	3.24%	0	0.7	76	0
7	Jan_12_2004	129.36	115.66	121.81	123.56			125(-1.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	29	-10000	5	100	0.01	51%	0.12	44.9	3.26%	0	1.3	78	0
8	Jan_9_2004	129.21	114.9	120.87	122.56			127.4(2.74%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	31	-10000	7	104	0.02	49%	0.13	40.7	3.3%	0	1.7	80	0
9	Jan_8_2004	129.04	113.93	119.58	121.12			124(3.85%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	32	-10000	4	114	0.01	49%	0.13	34.9	3.28%	0	1.5	83	0
10	Jan_7_2004	128.87	113.32	118.37	120.32			119.4(-2.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	29	-10000	-2	121	0.01	50%	0.09	29.9	3.24%	0	1	73	0

11	Jan_6_2004	128.75	112.86	117.11	120.76			122(1.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	34	-10000	5	122	0.01	50%	0.09	26.5	3.35%	0	1.5	65	0
12	Jan_5_2004	128.64	112.41	115.67	119.76			120(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	32	-10000	5	113	0.01	50%	0.05	23	3.34%	0	1.3	63	0
13	Jan_2_2004	128.57	112.04	114.47	118.84			120.2(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	31	-10000	6	104	0.01	50%	0.22	20.9	3.34%	0	1.5	62	0
14	Dec_31_2003	128.29	111.67	112.64	117.76			120(-1.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	28	-10000	9	86	0.01	52%	0.07	18.7	3.34%	0	1.7	64	0
15	Dec_30_2003	128.2	111.49	111.08	116.08			121.6(3.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	27	-10000	16	61	0.02	52%	0.08	13.1	3.42%	0	2.1	58	0

16	Dec_29_2003	128.1	111.28	109.76	112.92			117(1.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	15	-10000	10	30	0.01	51%	0.02	0.5	3.38%	0	1.3	57	0
17	Dec_26_2003	128.07	111.13	108.95	110.96			115.4(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	7	-10000	8	5	0	51%	0.13	-7	3.37%	0	1	50	0
18	Dec_24_2003	127.9	110.93	108.35	109.44			114.8(2.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	8	-10000	15	-12	0.01	51%	-0.05	-18.2	3.35%	0	0.9	50	0
19	Dec_23_2003	127.96	110.77	107.69	106.76			111.6(5.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-6	-10000	8	-46	0.01	51%	-0.07	-37.2	3.34%	0	0.2	46	0
20	Dec_22_2003	128.05	110.87	107.73	105.36			105.8(-1.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-21	-10000	-4	-72	0	48%	-0.12	-47.6	3.3%	0	-1.2	32	0

21	Dec_19_2003	128.21	111.26	108.21	106.12			107.2(-0.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-22	-10000	-3	-79	0.01	50%	-0.16	-55.8	3.3%	0	-1	31	0
22	Dec_18_2003	128.42	111.44	108.86	106.64			107.8(6.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-21	-10000	-3	-75	0.01	50%	-0.13	-73	3.36%	0	-0.9	41	0
23	Dec_17_2003	128.59	111.73	109.43	107.16			101.4(-3.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-25	-10000	-9	-74	0.01	47%	-0.18	-82.8	3.25%	0	-2.6	37	0
24	Dec_16_2003	128.82	112.37	110.75	108.68			104.6(-4.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-22	-10000	-9	-59	0.01	47%	-0.14	-109.3	3.24%	0	-2.5	41	0
25	Dec_15_2003	129	112.96	112.09	110.36			109.6(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-10	-10000	-1	-37	0.01	49%		-129.7	3.21%	0	-1.3	43	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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