Trading Signals: NVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Sep. 22, 2003

Trading Signals: NVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Novavax, Inc.)
NVAX latest price $148.8000 (0.81%) ($141.2000 - $149.2000) on Mon. Sep. 22, 2003.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.51% (three month average)
RSI   75
Latest Price   $148.8000(0.81%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NVAX advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NVAX advances 4.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NVAX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(23%)    EEM(20%)    QQQ(20%)    SPY(20%)    EWI(18%)
Factors Impacting NVAX price   NVAX will decline at least -1.755% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-9%)    SHY(-4%)    REMX(-4%)    LQD(-1%)    XLU(9%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.755% (StdDev 3.51%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $143.92(3.39%)
10 Day Moving Average   $144(3.33%)
20 Day Moving Average   $134.62(10.53%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   50.3%
Market Cap   $9.108b

Novavax, Inc. is operates as a clinical-stage biotechnology company, which focuses on the discovery, development and commercialization of vaccines to prevent infectious diseases. It produces vaccine candidates to respond to both known and emerging disease threats by using the proprietary recombinant nanoparticle vaccine technology. The firm's vaccine candidates include ResVax and NanoFlu. It also develops immune stimulating saponin-based adjuvants through its wholly owned Swedish subsidiary, Novavax AB. The company was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in Gaithersburg, MD.

JUL 7, 2020 Shares of NVAX surged more than 40% on the news ts has received $1.6 to develop and to deliver up to 100 million doses of the company’s late-stage Covid-19 vaccine candidate as part of the U.S. government’s Operation Warp Speed program.
The vaccine, which focuses on boosting the body’s immune system to effectively combat a Covid-19 infection, is currently in phase 1 and phase 2 clinical trials in Australia, with preliminary results expected at the end of this month.

$. NVAX price fluctuates within 8.98% (three month std-dev: 3.51%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20031022

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_22_2003	107.07	134.62	144	143.92			148.8(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	23	-10000	3	82	0.01	55%	0.63	74.4	3.51%	0	1.2	75	0
2	Sep_19_2003	106.4	132.76	143.31	143.2			147.6(4.53%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	27	-10000	3	97	0.01	60%	0.66	70	3.71%	0	1.2	76	0
3	Sep_18_2003	105.7	130.92	142.08	142.48			141.2(1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	24	-10000	-4	106	0.01	61%	0.6	67.1	3.69%	0	0.8	71	0
4	Sep_17_2003	105.07	129.31	140.71	143.44			139.8(-1.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	31	-10000	0	122	0.01	61%	0.58	66	3.78%	0	0.8	73	0
5	Sep_16_2003	104.46	127.73	139.21	143.4			142.2(-2.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	33	-10000	-2	137	0.01	61%	0.58	63.2	3.8%	0	1	80	0

6	Sep_15_2003	103.86	126.19	137.5	143.96			145.2(0.83%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	43	-10000	2	167	0.01	61%	0.63	65.2	3.8%	0	1.4	85	0
7	Sep_12_2003	103.21	124.52	135.28	143.4			144(-1.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	49	-10000	6	178	0.01	68%	0.62	67.2	3.97%	0	1.5	81	0
8	Sep_11_2003	102.57	122.82	133.28	141.6			146(4.58%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	57	-10000	14	184	0.02	72%	0.6	66.2	4.15%	0	1.8	83	0
9	Sep_10_2003	101.96	120.99	130.64	137.56			139.6(-3.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	49	-10000	11	161	0.01	70%	0.56	60.2	4.52%	0	1.6	83	0
10	Sep_9_2003	101.39	119.48	128.06	134.24			145(1.83%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	49	-10000	14	153	0.01	69%	0.65	50.8	4.49%	0	2.3	90	0

11	Sep_8_2003	100.74	117.74	124.43	130.04			142.4(5.48%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	42	-10000	14	127	0.03	69%	0.43	43.3	4.53%	0	2.6	79	0
12	Sep_5_2003	100.31	116.15	121.19	126.08			135(7.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	31	-10000	8	100	0.03	67%	0.54	34.3	4.54%	0	2.6	74	0
13	Sep_4_2003	99.77	114.91	118.64	123.88			125.8(2.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	25	-10000	4	87	0.01	65%	0.46	19.3	4.51%	0	1.8	70	0
14	Sep_3_2003	99.31	114.31	116.88	122.72			123(-0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	25	-10000	7	80	0.01	65%	0.42	7.7	4.51%	0	1.6	68	0
15	Sep_2_2003	98.89	114.13	115.31	120.76			124(1.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	25	-10000	11	66	0.02	63%	0.64	-5.7	4.5%	0	1.9	70	0

16	Aug_29_2003	98.26	113.84	113.99	117.76			122.6(-1.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	18	-10000	9	45	0.01	60%	0.4	-24.1	4.5%	0	1.8	64	0
17	Aug_28_2003	97.87	113.69	112.91	115.44			124(3.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	16	-10000	11	30	0.01	60%	0.43	-28.5	4.61%	0	1.8	64	0
18	Aug_27_2003	97.45	113.79	111.49	112.68			120(6.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	9	-10000	9	10	0.01	60%	0.42	-30.5	4.6%	0	1.1	62	0
19	Aug_26_2003	97.04	113.9	110.49	110.28			113.2(3.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	1	-10000	5	-11	0	58%	0.35	-30.9	4.55%	0	-0.1	44	0
20	Aug_25_2003	96.7	114.42	110.2	109.08			109(-1.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-10	-10000	-2	-33	0	58%	0.26	-22.1	4.57%	0	-0.9	27	0

21	Aug_22_2003	96.45	115.06	110.55	109.6			111(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-10	-10000	-1	-38	0.01	60%	0.28	-5.4	4.56%	0	-0.7	31	0
22	Aug_21_2003	96.18	115.31	110.74	109.96			110.2(2.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-12	-10000	-1	-44	0.01	60%	0.28	6.9	4.61%	0	-0.9	28	0
23	Aug_20_2003	95.91	115.53	110.92	110.12			108(0.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-17	-10000	-2	-61	0.02	60%	0.28	19.2	4.61%	0	-1.3	16	0
24	Aug_19_2003	95.64	115.76	111.63	110.72			107.2(-3.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-19	-10000	-3	-67	0.01	58%	0.13	28.9	4.61%	0	-1.4	27	0
25	Aug_18_2003	95.52	115.79	112.97	111.4			111.6(-1.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-17	-10000	-1	-66	0.01	58%		26.6	4.64%	0	-0.6	30	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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