Trading Signals: NVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Aug. 1, 2003

Trading Signals: NVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Novavax, Inc.)
NVAX latest price $121.4000 (-5.75%) ($117.2000 - $127.2000) on Fri. Aug. 1, 2003.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.63% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $121.4000(-5.75%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NVAX advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NVAX advances 9.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NVAX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(23%)    EEM(20%)    QQQ(20%)    SPY(20%)    EWG(18%)
Factors Impacting NVAX price   NVAX will decline at least -2.315% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-9%)    SHY(-4%)    REMX(-4%)    LQD(-1%)    XLU(9%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.315% (StdDev 4.63%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -4.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $124.12(-2.19%)
10 Day Moving Average   $117.31(3.49%)
20 Day Moving Average   $111.89(8.5%)
To recent high   -6.2%
To recent low   67.7%
Market Cap   $7.431b

Novavax, Inc. is operates as a clinical-stage biotechnology company, which focuses on the discovery, development and commercialization of vaccines to prevent infectious diseases. It produces vaccine candidates to respond to both known and emerging disease threats by using the proprietary recombinant nanoparticle vaccine technology. The firm's vaccine candidates include ResVax and NanoFlu. It also develops immune stimulating saponin-based adjuvants through its wholly owned Swedish subsidiary, Novavax AB. The company was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in Gaithersburg, MD.

JUL 7, 2020 Shares of NVAX surged more than 40% on the news ts has received $1.6 to develop and to deliver up to 100 million doses of the company’s late-stage Covid-19 vaccine candidate as part of the U.S. government’s Operation Warp Speed program.
The vaccine, which focuses on boosting the body’s immune system to effectively combat a Covid-19 infection, is currently in phase 1 and phase 2 clinical trials in Australia, with preliminary results expected at the end of this month.

$. NVAX price fluctuates within 7.78% (three month std-dev: 4.63%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_1_2003	93.19	111.89	117.31	124.12			121.4(-5.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	34	-10000	4	123	0.01	61%	0.36	57.3	4.63%	0	1.1	61	0
2	Jul_31_2003	92.86	110.91	115.44	122.96			128.8(3.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	36	-10000	11	110	0.01	64%	0.47	45	4.59%	0	2.1	64	0
3	Jul_30_2003	92.43	109.64	112.45	119.96			124(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	26	-10000	10	75	0.01	64%	0.41	27.4	4.58%	0	1.9	59	0
4	Jul_29_2003	92.05	108.64	110.2	117.4			124.6(2.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	26	-10000	15	58	0.01	62%	0.44	10	4.58%	0	2.3	68	0
5	Jul_28_2003	91.65	107.8	108.61	113.6			121.8(5.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	23	-10000	16	43	0.02	62%	0.41	-21.1	4.62%	0	2.4	69	0

6	Jul_25_2003	91.28	107.12	107.27	109.52			115.6(1.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	13	-10000	11	19	0.01	60%	0.33	-61.5	4.59%	0	1.7	61	0
7	Jul_24_2003	90.98	107.14	106.83	106.76			113.8(2.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	12	-10000	12	13	0.01	58%	0.32	-69.9	4.6%	0	1.3	63	0
8	Jul_23_2003	90.69	107.59	106.66	103.8			111.2(5.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	6	-10000	8	0	0	58%	0.3	-59.2	4.63%	0	0.6	56	0
9	Jul_22_2003	90.42	107.95	106	101.96			105.6(4.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-7	-10000	-4	-17	0	57%	0.21	-51.7	4.6%	0	-0.3	52	0
10	Jul_21_2003	90.23	109.05	105.67	102.95			101.4(-0.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-11	-10000	-7	-21	0.01	57%	0.17	-28.3	4.59%	0	-0.9	42	0

11	Jul_18_2003	90.08	110.21	106.09	104.71			101.8(2.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-11	-10000	-9	-15	0.01	57%	0.18	-10	4.6%	0	-1	42	0
12	Jul_17_2003	89.92	110.85	106.19	106.91			98.98(-2.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-14	-10000	-12	-20	0.01	57%	0.13	8	4.62%	0	-1.4	32	0
13	Jul_16_2003	89.8	111.48	106.89	109.84			102(-7.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-6	-10000	-2	-18	0.01	57%	0.19	34.1	4.61%	0	-1.2	29	0
14	Jul_15_2003	89.63	111.62	107.28	110.44			110.58(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-2	-10000	7	-28	0	62%	0.32	55.2	4.5%	0	-0.1	41	0
15	Jul_14_2003	89.34	111.43	107.15	108.68			110.2(-2.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-12	-10000	4	-61	0.01	59%	0.33	68.5	4.55%	0	-0.2	34	0

16	Jul_11_2003	89.05	111.08	107.07	107.64			112.8(-0.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-14	-10000	9	-81	0.01	59%	0.38	79	4.6%	0	0.2	40	0
17	Jul_10_2003	88.71	110.18	107.43	105.44			113.6(8.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-18	-10000	7	-92	0.01	59%	0.41	72.6	4.61%	0	0.4	51	0
18	Jul_9_2003	88.35	108.81	108.36	103.72			105(3.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-24	-10000	-0	-94	0.01	58%	0.27	62.1	4.51%	0	-0.4	49	0
19	Jul_8_2003	88.11	107.39	109.81	103.76			101.8(-3.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-25	-10000	-7	-80	0	58%	0.24	50.4	4.52%	0	-0.4	53	0
20	Jul_7_2003	87.9	106.16	112.48	105.4			105(3.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-15	-10000	-4	-47	0.01	56%	0.3	48	4.5%	0	-0.1	53	0

21	Jul_3_2003	87.64	104.86	114.49	106.4			101.8(-3.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-15	-10000	-13	-20	0	57%	0.25	45.4	4.5%	0	-0.2	54	0
22	Jul_2_2003	87.42	103.86	115.88	109.68			105(-0.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-7	-10000	-16	22	0	57%	0.31	50.3	4.48%	0	0.1	63	0
23	Jul_1_2003	87.15	102.48	116.58	113.76			105.2(-4.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	12	-10000	-11	82	0.01	57%	0.33	53.7	4.5%	0	0.1	69	0
24	Jun_30_2003	86.86	101.03	116.62	116.75			110(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	26	-10000	-14	144	0.01	57%	0.43	55.2	4.49%	0	0.5	78	0
25	Jun_27_2003	86.49	99.28	116.4	120.63			110(-6.94%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	48	-10000	-11	225	0.01	57%		59.5	4.52%	0	0.5	77	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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