Trading Signals: NVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jun. 23, 2003

Trading Signals: NVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Novavax, Inc.)
NVAX latest price $129.4000 (3.19%) ($124.0000 - $134.0000) on Mon. Jun. 23, 2003.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.34% (three month average)
RSI   85
Latest Price   $129.4000(3.19%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NVAX advances 4.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NVAX advances 25% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NVAX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(22%)    EEM(20%)    QQQ(20%)    SPY(20%)    EWI(18%)
Factors Impacting NVAX price   NVAX will decline at least -2.17% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-9%)    SHY(-4%)    REMX(-4%)    LQD(-1%)    XLU(9%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.17% (StdDev 4.34%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $116.32(11.24%)
10 Day Moving Average   $104.9(23.36%)
20 Day Moving Average   $91.13(41.99%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   78.8%
Market Cap   $7.921b

Novavax, Inc. is operates as a clinical-stage biotechnology company, which focuses on the discovery, development and commercialization of vaccines to prevent infectious diseases. It produces vaccine candidates to respond to both known and emerging disease threats by using the proprietary recombinant nanoparticle vaccine technology. The firm's vaccine candidates include ResVax and NanoFlu. It also develops immune stimulating saponin-based adjuvants through its wholly owned Swedish subsidiary, Novavax AB. The company was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in Gaithersburg, MD.

JUL 7, 2020 Shares of NVAX surged more than 40% on the news ts has received $1.6 to develop and to deliver up to 100 million doses of the company’s late-stage Covid-19 vaccine candidate as part of the U.S. government’s Operation Warp Speed program.
The vaccine, which focuses on boosting the body’s immune system to effectively combat a Covid-19 infection, is currently in phase 1 and phase 2 clinical trials in Australia, with preliminary results expected at the end of this month.

$. NVAX price fluctuates within 19.99% (three month std-dev: 4.34%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_23_2003	84.29	91.13	104.9	116.32			129.4(3.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	103	-10000	19	353	0.02	66%	0.96	64.5	4.34%	0	2.1	85	0
2	Jun_20_2003	83.49	88.53	99.26	111.64			125.4(10%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	97	-10000	20	328	0.03	66%	0.89	64.9	4.36%	0	2.3	85	0
3	Jun_19_2003	82.75	86.1	94.19	106.96			114(3.64%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	91	-10000	19	308	0.02	63%	0.69	65.9	4.23%	0	2.1	78	0
4	Jun_18_2003	82.18	84.06	90.58	102.76			110(7%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	90	-10000	25	286	0.01	63%	0.64	61.5	4.25%	0	2.2	78	0
5	Jun_17_2003	81.66	82.18	86.95	97.52			102.8(-3.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	82	-10000	32	232	0.01	61%	0.49	51.4	4.19%	0	2	66	0

6	Jun_16_2003	81.26	80.73	83.95	91.44			106(3.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	67	-10000	37	158	0.02	61%	0.58	35.5	4.2%	0	2.7	68	0
7	Jun_13_2003	80.79	79.28	80.53	84.84			102(9.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.4	42	-10000	31	76	0.04	61%	0.52	18.6	4.22%	0	3.2	67	0
8	Jun_12_2003	80.37	78.08	77.71	79.6			93(10.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.8	16	-10000	18	11	0.02	58%	0.31	-2.8	4.06%	0	3.1	63	0
9	Jun_11_2003	80.12	77.36	75.78	76.8			83.8(15.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.1	4	-10000	13	-24	0.02	52%	0.1	-27	3.8%	0	1.9	61	0
10	Jun_10_2003	80.04	77.2	75.4	74.96			72.38(-0.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-13	-10000	-2	-47	0	42%	-0.2	-45.4	3.09%	0	-1.5	50	0

11	Jun_9_2003	80.2	77.59	76.3	75.2			73(-3.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-8	-10000	-1	-30	0	42%	-0.2	-50.8	3.12%	0	-1.5	48	0
12	Jun_6_2003	80.36	77.99	77.1	75.32			75.8(-4.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-7	-10000	-0	-26	0	45%	-0.12	-56.9	3.11%	0	-0.7	44	0
13	Jun_5_2003	80.46	78.21	77.53	75.36			79(5.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-2	-10000	6	-25	0	47%	-0.04	-55.3	3.09%	0	0.3	47	0
14	Jun_4_2003	80.49	78.29	77.19	74.64			74.6(1.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-23	-10000	-12	-55	0.01	42%	-0.16	-60.2	2.99%	0	-1.2	39	0
15	Jun_3_2003	80.62	78.7	77.23	76.04			73.6(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.8	-24	-10000	-14	-54	0	42%	-0.21	-43.7	3.01%	0	-1.7	34	0

16	Jun_2_2003	80.79	79.2	77.49	77.63			73.6(-3.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-19	-10000	-12	-41	0.01	42%	-0.21	-30.8	3.05%	0	-1.9	40	0
17	May_30_2003	80.96	79.7	78.16	79.11			76(0.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-11	-10000	-7	-21	0.01	44%	-0.15	-14.3	3.05%	0	-1.4	42	0
18	May_29_2003	81.08	79.87	78.63	79.95			75.4(-7.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-1	-10000	-0	-5	0	44%	-0.17	-11.3	3.08%	0	-1.7	42	0
19	May_28_2003	81.22	80.13	79.17	80			81.58(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	10	-10000	13	-1	0	51%	0.01	-22.9	2.88%	0	0.6	51	0
20	May_27_2003	81.21	80.03	79.14	78.56			81.58(0.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	2	-10000	11	-24	0	51%	0.01	-46.8	2.92%	0	0.7	46	0

21	May_23_2003	81.2	80.1	78.94	77.36			81(1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.5	-12	-10000	2	-53	0	51%	-0.01	-56.4	2.96%	0	0.4	43	0
22	May_22_2003	81.21	80.09	78.86	77.16			80.2(6.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.3	-17	-10000	-1	-63	0	51%	-0.02	-61.6	2.99%	0	0	41	0
23	May_21_2003	81.23	80.17	78.84	77.28			75.62(1.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-23	-10000	-9	-66	0	44%	-0.2	-53.3	2.85%	0	-1.7	44	0
24	May_20_2003	81.39	80.68	79.4	78.28			74.38(-1.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-23	-10000	-13	-52	0	44%	-0.26	-41.7	2.88%	0	-2.5	39	0
25	May_19_2003	81.6	81.15	80.27	79.76			75.6(-5.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-11	-10000	-7	-22	0.01	44%		-20.2	2.91%	0	-2.7	42	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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