Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ NUGT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Oct. 25, 2021

Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bull 3X ETF)
NUGT latest price $54.8800 (3.22%) ($54.0500 - $55.5000) on Mon. Oct. 25, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.3% (three month average)
RSI   85
Latest Price   $54.8800(3.22%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NUGT advances 1.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NUGT advances 7.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NUGT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GDXJ(97%)    SIL(95%)    GLD(79%)    SLV(79%)    BWX(48%)
Factors Impacting NUGT price   NUGT will decline at least -1.65% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-32%)    VIXM(-21%)    TBT(-13%)    VXX(-9%)    IGOV(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.65% (StdDev 3.3%)
Hourly BBV 0.9 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $53(3.55%)
10 Day Moving Average   $51.96(5.62%)
20 Day Moving Average   $48.08(14.14%)
To recent high   -10.8%
To recent low   33.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. NUGT is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. NUGT price fluctuates within 9.21% (three month std-dev: 3.3%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 2.8%(48%) Average negative next day return: -2.74%(52%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 6.79%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -4.4%(50%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 8.56%(58%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.1%(42%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20211125

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_25_2021	54.63	48.08	51.96	53	53.5	54.43	54.88(3.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	66	150	35	158	1.64	59%	-0.38	51.7	3.3%	0.9	1.5	85	1.4
2	Oct_22_2021	54.84	47.48	51.08	52.18	52.83	53.17	53.17(1.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	53	80	20	150	3.02	59%	-0.38	46	3.28%	0.3	1.4	84	1.5
3	Oct_21_2021	55.05	46.98	50.39	51.9	52.07	52.57	52.48(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	42	80	3	157	1.4	59%	-0.51	41.5	3.28%	-0.1	1.4	85	1.8
4	Oct_20_2021	55.33	46.61	49.71	51.98	51.77	52.48	52.85(2.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	61	80	20	182	1.95	59%	-0.47	37.8	3.29%	0.9	1.6	84	1.7
5	Oct_19_2021	55.59	46.22	48.94	51.55	51.63	51.57	51.61(1.63%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	67	-0	23	197	1.48	57%	-0.09	30.2	3.27%	-0.1	1.5	85	1.9

6	Oct_18_2021	55.64	45.9	48.15	50.74	51	51.05	50.78(-1.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	55	20	12	183	1.42	57%	-0.5	18.3	3.31%	-1.3	1.5	75	2.1
7	Oct_15_2021	55.92	45.63	47.4	49.75	49.97	51.68	51.79(-2.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	69	250	35	171	2.09	54%	-0.48	6.2	3.37%	-0.5	2	74	2
8	Oct_14_2021	56.19	45.35	46.44	48.61	48.77	50.96	52.86(4.26%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.5	93	320	71	159	1.94	54%	-0.48	-9.9	3.37%	1.2	2.7	77	1.9
9	Oct_13_2021	56.46	45.2	45.38	47.12	47.41	48.25	50.7(6.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	65	140	50	109	2.96	52%	-0.53	-26	3.34%	1.4	2.1	61	1.5
10	Oct_12_2021	56.76	45.17	44.38	46	46.26	46.58	47.55(3.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	27	70	18	55	2.75	49%	-0.58	-37.2	3.24%	1.4	0.9	54	1.4

11	Oct_11_2021	57.09	45.3	43.85	45.2	45.53	46.57	45.84(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	26	180	25	27	1.52	47%	-0.57	-47.8	3.22%	-0.4	0.2	49	1.3
12	Oct_8_2021	57.42	45.44	43.57	44.67	44.7	45.95	46.09(1.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	35	200	43	11	2.96	46%	-0.59	-55.6	3.26%	0.8	0.2	48	1.9
13	Oct_7_2021	57.76	45.63	43.26	43.9	43.66	44.49	45.4(0.64%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.5	15	120	29	-26	1.94	46%	-0.57	-61.2	3.31%	1	-0.1	40	1.4
14	Oct_6_2021	58.09	45.89	43.24	43.35	43.05	43.45	45.11(3.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	3	40	24	-62	2.87	46%	-0.62	-63.5	3.3%	2.4	-0.2	28	0.7
15	Oct_5_2021	58.45	46.2	43.27	42.53	42.71	42.83	43.54(0.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-20	30	9	-107	2.24	44%	-0.65	-65.8	3.27%	1.5	-0.7	21	0.5

16	Oct_4_2021	58.83	46.73	43.45	42.3	42.39	42.65	43.19(2.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-32	50	2	-133	2.49	44%	-0.52	-65.3	3.29%	0.7	-1	23	-0.2
17	Oct_1_2021	59.14	47.18	43.71	42.31	42.23	42.59	42.25(-0.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-36	50	1	-145	2.82	44%	-0.47	-57.1	3.3%	0.2	-1.2	29	-0
18	Sep_30_2021	59.42	47.67	44.19	42.53	42.52	42.12	42.66(4.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-44	-70	-7	-156	4.25	44%	-0.45	-54.4	3.29%	1.2	-1.3	27	-0.8
19	Sep_29_2021	59.69	48.17	45.01	43.15	42.72	41.87	40.99(-3.39%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-70	-170	-40	-158	3.96	42%	-0.55	-50.6	3.26%	-1.2	-1.8	17	-1.1
20	Sep_28_2021	60.02	48.71	46.05	44.11	43.91	42.91	42.43(-1.87%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-56	-170	-29	-137	4.72	44%	-0.48	-48.2	3.24%	-0.9	-1.7	19	-1.1

21	Sep_27_2021	60.31	49.25	46.89	44.75	44.96	43.58	43.24(-0.18%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-59	-200	-32	-138	2.64	44%	-0.49	-40.9	3.25%	-1.5	-1.8	16	1.3
22	Sep_24_2021	60.61	49.58	47.5	45.31	45.37	44.91	43.32(-5.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-64	-70	-38	-141	2.05	44%	-0.49	-37.7	3.25%	0	-2	28	1.8
23	Sep_22_2021	60.91	49.94	48.24	46.07	46.04	46.33	45.75(-0.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-39	40	-11	-124	3.74	46%	-0.29	-36	3.17%	-0.4	-1.6	33	-0.6
24	Sep_21_2021	61.09	50.23	48.79	47.21	46.39	45.83	45.8(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-47	-140	-25	-112	2.61	49%	-0.33	-27.4	3.17%	0.2	-1.8	32	-2.3
25	Sep_20_2021	61.29	50.52	49.39	48.33	47.6	45.74	45.66(-0.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-59	-320	-46	-97	2.67	49%		-20.4	3.21%	-0.9	-2.2	37	-1.6
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.