Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Aug. 10, 2017

Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bull 3X ETF)
NUGT latest price $164.3000 (6.48%) ($160.5500 - $164.5000) on Thu. Aug. 10, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.44% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $164.3000(6.48%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NUGT advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NUGT declines -1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NUGT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GDX(96%)    SIL(88%)    GLD(71%)    SLV(60%)    BWX(41%)
Factors Impacting NUGT price   NUGT will decline at least -2.22% in a week (0% probabilities).
TBT(-14%)    UUP(-12%)    VIXM(1%)    UNG(1%)    IYT(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.22% (StdDev 4.44%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $152.87(7.48%)
10 Day Moving Average   $157.54(4.29%)
20 Day Moving Average   $155.79(5.46%)
To recent high   -15.2%
To recent low   24.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. NUGT is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. NUGT price fluctuates within 4.67% (three month std-dev: 4.44%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170910

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_10_2017	167.72	155.79	157.54	152.87			164.3(6.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.6	-2	-10000	3	-17	1.62	51%	-0.17	41.1	4.44%	0	1.2	55	0
2	Aug_9_2017	168.01	154.54	156.79	151.94			154.3(4.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-9	-10000	-4	-23	1.96	48%	-0.23	37.3	4.42%	0	-0	51	0
3	Aug_8_2017	168.39	154.06	157.86	153.14			147.85(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-9	-10000	-9	-9	1.59	48%	-0.22	39.7	4.39%	0	-0.8	49	0
4	Aug_7_2017	168.76	153.89	158.47	156.36			147.5(-1.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-5	-10000	-9	7	1.04	48%	-0.19	50.9	4.39%	0	-0.8	50	0
5	Aug_4_2017	169.08	153.63	158.84	159.66			150.4(-5.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-0	-10000	-8	23	1.87	48%	-0.18	50.5	4.46%	0	-0.4	54	0

6	Aug_3_2017	169.39	152.85	159.65	162.66			159.65(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	14	-10000	1	51	1.12	51%	-0.16	49.6	4.48%	0	0.7	65	0
7	Aug_2_2017	169.66	151.85	159.24	162.25			160.3(-2.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	13	-10000	-3	62	0.99	51%	0.05	39	4.49%	0	0.9	70	0
8	Aug_1_2017	169.57	151.05	158.52	163.28			163.95(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	26	-10000	7	81	1.17	48%	-0.02	36.2	4.48%	0	1.4	67	0
9	Jul_31_2017	169.6	149.85	157.31	160.91			164(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	26	-10000	8	79	1.04	48%	0.02	18.6	4.52%	0	1.5	67	0
10	Jul_28_2017	169.56	149.12	155.83	157.89			165.4(4.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	21	-10000	4	70	1.36	48%	0.1	1.6	4.61%	0	1.9	70	0

11	Jul_27_2017	169.39	149.12	153.82	156.29			157.6(-4.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	19	-10000	1	74	2.02	45%	0.03	-9.5	4.62%	0	1.2	72	0
12	Jul_26_2017	169.34	148.22	152.01	155.8			165.45(8.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	24	-10000	7	76	2.9	47%	0.06	-7.3	4.64%	0	2.2	69	0
13	Jul_25_2017	169.24	147.67	149.73	153.23			152.1(2.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	16	-10000	0	63	1.46	38%	-0.04	-11.3	4.51%	0	0.6	56	0
14	Jul_24_2017	169.31	148.14	148.81	153.19			148.9(-5.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	16	-10000	-0	63	1.88	38%	-0.14	-2.6	4.77%	0	0.1	58	0
15	Jul_21_2017	169.54	148.98	148.01	153.25			157.4(1.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	20	-10000	7	58	1.5	40%	-0.05	6.3	4.77%	0	0.9	53	0

16	Jul_20_2017	169.63	148.96	145.54	150.87			155.15(1.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	16	-10000	9	35	1.22	40%	-0.22	2	4.76%	0	0.7	53	0
17	Jul_19_2017	170.01	148.8	143.87	147.55			152.6(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	4	-10000	5	1	1.19	36%	-0.22	-9.8	4.76%	0	0.4	44	0
18	Jul_18_2017	170.39	148.49	142.97	145.74			151.9(1.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-1	-10000	5	-18	1.28	36%	-0.22	-28.4	4.94%	0	0.4	45	0
19	Jul_17_2017	170.77	148.35	141.72	143.85			149.2(2.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-7	-10000	5	-44	1.38	36%	-0.45	-43.5	4.94%	0	0.1	40	0
20	Jul_14_2017	171.55	148.43	141.75	142.04			145.5(5.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-10	-10000	8	-64	1.84	36%	-0.51	-58.4	4.92%	0	-0.3	35	0

21	Jul_13_2017	172.43	148.77	142.03	139.42			138.55(-3.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-22	-10000	-0	-86	1.87	34%	-0.54	-78.8	4.91%	0	-1.1	38	0
22	Jul_12_2017	173.37	149.7	144.03	139.52			143.55(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-21	-10000	-1	-82	2.12	34%	-0.56	-95.9	4.9%	0	-0.7	45	0
23	Jul_11_2017	174.34	151.11	145.31	139.76			142.45(1.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-18	-10000	1	-74	2.15	38%	-0.19	-92.6	4.91%	0	-0.9	50	0
24	Jul_10_2017	174.67	152.38	147.29	139.34			140.15(5.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-22	-10000	-6	-68	2.57	38%	-0.61	-91	5.05%	0	-1.2	47	0
25	Jul_7_2017	175.75	153.9	149.97	141.57			132.4(-4.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-19	-10000	-9	-50	3.04	35%		-83.9	4.99%	0	-2	41	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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