Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jul. 20, 2017

Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bull 3X ETF)
NUGT latest price $155.1500 (1.67%) ($150.7500 - $157.4000) on Thu. Jul. 20, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.76% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $155.1500(1.67%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NUGT advances 2.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NUGT advances 2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NUGT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GDX(96%)    SIL(88%)    GLD(71%)    SLV(60%)    BWX(41%)
Factors Impacting NUGT price   NUGT will decline at least -2.38% in a week (0% probabilities).
TBT(-14%)    UUP(-12%)    VIXM(1%)    UNG(1%)    SHY(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.38% (StdDev 4.76%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $150.87(2.84%)
10 Day Moving Average   $145.54(6.6%)
20 Day Moving Average   $148.96(4.16%)
To recent high   -21.4%
To recent low   17.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. NUGT is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. NUGT price fluctuates within 6.14% (three month std-dev: 4.76%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170820

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_20_2017	169.63	148.96	145.54	150.87			155.15(1.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	16	-10000	9	35	1.22	40%	-0.22	2	4.76%	0	0.7	53	0
2	Jul_19_2017	170.01	148.8	143.87	147.55			152.6(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	4	-10000	5	1	1.19	36%	-0.22	-9.8	4.76%	0	0.4	44	0
3	Jul_18_2017	170.39	148.49	142.97	145.74			151.9(1.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-1	-10000	5	-18	1.28	36%	-0.22	-28.4	4.94%	0	0.4	45	0
4	Jul_17_2017	170.77	148.35	141.72	143.85			149.2(2.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-7	-10000	5	-44	1.38	36%	-0.45	-43.5	4.94%	0	0.1	40	0
5	Jul_14_2017	171.55	148.43	141.75	142.04			145.5(5.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-10	-10000	8	-64	1.84	36%	-0.51	-58.4	4.92%	0	-0.3	35	0

6	Jul_13_2017	172.43	148.77	142.03	139.42			138.55(-3.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-22	-10000	-0	-86	1.87	34%	-0.54	-78.8	4.91%	0	-1.1	38	0
7	Jul_12_2017	173.37	149.7	144.03	139.52			143.55(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-21	-10000	-1	-82	2.12	34%	-0.56	-95.9	4.9%	0	-0.7	45	0
8	Jul_11_2017	174.34	151.11	145.31	139.76			142.45(1.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-18	-10000	1	-74	2.15	38%	-0.19	-92.6	4.91%	0	-0.9	50	0
9	Jul_10_2017	174.67	152.38	147.29	139.34			140.15(5.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-22	-10000	-6	-68	2.57	38%	-0.61	-91	5.05%	0	-1.2	47	0
10	Jul_7_2017	175.75	153.9	149.97	141.57			132.4(-4.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-19	-10000	-9	-50	3.04	35%	-0.72	-83.9	4.99%	0	-2	41	0

11	Jul_6_2017	177.03	156.25	152.76	144.99			139.05(-3.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-16	-10000	-11	-32	2.19	35%	-0.63	-71.3	4.96%	0	-1.6	43	0
12	Jul_5_2017	178.16	158.7	154.34	149.17			144.75(3.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-9	-10000	-7	-15	2.2	35%	-1	-48.8	4.94%	0	-1.1	43	0
13	Jul_3_2017	179.96	161.05	154.72	151.72			140.35(-7.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-15	-10000	-12	-25	1.99	35%	-0.67	-31.2	4.91%	0	-1.5	31	0
14	Jun_30_2017	181.17	162.58	155.86	156.38			151.3(1.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-11	-10000	-9	-18	1.35	38%	-0.55	-25.6	4.85%	0	-0.9	40	0
15	Jun_29_2017	182.17	163.5	155.94	159.72			149.5(-6.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-8	-10000	-5	-16	2.61	38%	-0.67	-19.6	4.88%	0	-1.1	37	0

16	Jun_28_2017	183.39	164.41	156.34	161.6			159.95(1.56%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-3	-10000	4	-23	1.46	37%	-0.56	-19.7	4.82%	0	-0.4	37	0
17	Jun_27_2017	184.43	164.88	155.95	160.23			157.5(-3.76%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-8	-10000	6	-50	1.86	37%	-0.59	-22.8	4.9%	0	-0.6	31	0
18	Jun_26_2017	185.52	165.41	157.35	158.04			163.65(-2.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-13	-10000	7	-71	1.45	37%	-0.41	-32.5	4.94%	0	-0.1	31	0
19	Jun_23_2017	186.28	165.9	157.67	155.21			168(5.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-14	-10000	9	-83	1.76	37%	-0.36	-39	4.93%	0	0.2	51	0
20	Jun_22_2017	186.95	165.99	157.7	151.81			158.9(3.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-22	-10000	4	-99	2.17	34%	-0.33	-46.6	4.89%	0	-0.6	47	0

21	Jun_21_2017	187.57	166.82	159.55	150.52			153.1(4.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-27	-10000	-2	-100	1.55	34%	-0.37	-53.6	4.87%	0	-1.1	45	0
22	Jun_20_2017	188.27	167.67	162.96	151.21			146.55(-1.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-33	-10000	-14	-91	1.71	34%	-0.31	-58.1	4.86%	0	-1.8	40	0
23	Jun_19_2017	188.85	169.48	167.59	156.6			149.5(-0.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-21	-10000	-10	-53	1.92	34%	-0.29	-47.7	4.88%	0	-1.8	43	0
24	Jun_16_2017	189.4	170.86	169.79	160.44			151(-0.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-18	-10000	-10	-42	2.4	34%	-0.24	-42	4.88%	0	-1.9	40	0
25	Jun_15_2017	189.86	171.97	171.84	164.42			152.45(-2.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-17	-10000	-13	-29	2.72	45%		-33.4	4.89%	0	-2.1	43	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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