Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ NUGT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Apr. 7, 2017

Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bull 3X ETF)
NUGT latest price $196.8000 (0.31%) ($189.8000 - $209.6000) on Fri. Apr. 7, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.77% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $196.8000(0.31%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NUGT advances 1.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NUGT advances 2.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NUGT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GDX(96%)    SIL(88%)    GLD(72%)    SLV(60%)    BWX(41%)
Factors Impacting NUGT price   NUGT will decline at least -2.885% in a week (0% probabilities).
TBT(-14%)    UUP(-13%)    IPO(-6%)    UNG(1%)    VIXM(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.885% (StdDev 5.77%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -5%

5 Day Moving Average   $194.72(1.07%)
10 Day Moving Average   $189.14(4.05%)
20 Day Moving Average   $185.05(6.35%)
To recent high   -27%
To recent low   32.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.03%

$. NUGT is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.03% a day on average for holding it.$. NUGT price fluctuates within 6.4% (three month std-dev: 5.77%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170507

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_7_2017	186.62	185.05	189.14	194.72			196.8(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	11	-10000	6	24	2.48	49%	0.13	85.6	5.77%	0	1	59	0
2	Apr_6_2017	186.37	183.27	187.83	191.32			196.2(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	10	-10000	8	17	1.35	44%	0.05	63.7	5.81%	0	1	62	0
3	Apr_5_2017	186.27	180.99	186.77	187.04			196.2(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	5	-10000	5	6	2.38	52%	0.03	46	5.96%	0	1.1	60	0
4	Apr_4_2017	186.21	178.88	186.24	184.52			195.8(3.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	4	-10000	5	2	1.56	52%	0.14	27.6	6.37%	0	1.2	56	0
5	Apr_3_2017	185.95	176.9	185.7	181.6			188.6(4.89%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	1	-10000	-2	9	1.52	56%	0.13	11.8	6.36%	0	0.8	70	0

6	Mar_31_2017	185.71	175.43	185.7	183			179.8(2.86%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	5	-10000	-1	22	1.78	56%	-0.22	5.3	6.52%	0	0.3	59	0
7	Mar_30_2017	186.12	175	185.27	183.88			174.8(-4.79%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	5	-10000	-4	32	1.61	51%	-0.59	-9.8	6.56%	0	-0	60	0
8	Mar_29_2017	187.23	174.59	186.04	186.24			183.6(1.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	12	-10000	-3	55	0.98	58%	-0.43	-24.5	6.74%	0	0.6	68	0
9	Mar_28_2017	188.03	174.91	186.29	188.04			181.2(-7.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	16	-10000	-3	72	2.41	58%	-0.46	-31.9	7.34%	0	0.4	65	0
10	Mar_27_2017	188.9	175.21	183.77	190.24			195.6(6.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	23	-10000	3	82	1.92	60%	-0.56	-41.6	7.3%	0	1.3	68	0

11	Mar_24_2017	189.96	174.68	180.88	188			184.2(-1.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	22	-10000	2	82	1.55	60%	-0.67	-51.1	7.32%	0	0.5	64	0
12	Mar_23_2017	191.25	176.41	178.63	186.84			186.6(-3.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	20	-10000	2	75	2.46	60%	-0.56	-50.7	7.37%	0	0.5	57	0
13	Mar_22_2017	192.33	178.33	175	185.68			192.6(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	18	-10000	2	67	2.3	60%	-0.59	-49.7	7.37%	0	0.6	61	0
14	Mar_21_2017	193.47	179.87	171.03	184.32			192.2(4.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	22	-10000	12	50	2.45	60%	-0.48	-48.8	7.37%	0	0.5	50	0
15	Mar_20_2017	194.4	181.85	167.28	176.28			184.4(3.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	7	-10000	6	10	1.66	60%	-0.39	-56.6	7.36%	0	0.1	49	0

16	Mar_17_2017	195.17	184.53	164.58	172.72			178.4(-1.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	1	-10000	6	-13	1.63	60%	-0.41	-56	7.29%	0	-0.2	47	0
17	Mar_16_2017	195.98	188.12	163.64	169.08			180.8(-2.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-3	-10000	11	-43	2.19	60%	-0.47	-52.4	7.35%	0	-0.2	38	0
18	Mar_15_2017	196.9	191.26	161.9	162.6			185.8(22.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-13	-10000	11	-85	2.95	56%	-0.54	-55.9	7.33%	0	-0.1	38	0
19	Mar_14_2017	197.96	194.18	162.02	156.04			152(-8.76%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-32	-10000	-1	-124	2.21	46%	-0.61	-58.6	7.05%	0	-1.1	23	0
20	Mar_13_2017	199.18	199.05	165.64	156.84			166.6(4%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-31	-10000	3	-134	2.06	48%	-0.63	-59.9	7.21%	0	-0.8	24	0

21	Mar_10_2017	200.45	203.58	167.65	155.28			160.2(7.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-43	-10000	-4	-159	2.33	48%	-0.69	-57.9	7.15%	0	-1.1	19	0
22	Mar_9_2017	201.84	208.06	173.69	157.52			148.4(-3.01%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-45	-10000	-6	-163	1.54	43%	-0.75	-56.6	7.15%	0	-1.5	9	0
23	Mar_8_2017	203.37	214.17	181.81	161			153(-1.92%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-50	-10000	-13	-159	1.77	43%	-0.62	-51.6	7.27%	0	-1.6	15	0
24	Mar_7_2017	204.63	219.71	189.45	169			156(-1.76%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-45	-10000	-11	-148	1.62	43%	-0.46	-45.7	7.27%	0	-1.7	16	0
25	Mar_6_2017	205.57	225.31	197.74	175.72			158.8(-7.35%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-41	-10000	-9	-136	2.21	43%		-37.4	7.28%	0	-1.9	16	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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