Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Dec. 22, 2016

Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bull 3X ETF)
NUGT latest price $119.6000 (-0.5%) ($118.0000 - $125.8000) on Thu. Dec. 22, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   8.15% (three month average)
RSI   20
Latest Price   $119.6000(-0.5%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NUGT advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NUGT declines -16.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NUGT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GDX(96%)    SIL(89%)    GLD(72%)    SLV(60%)    BWX(42%)
Factors Impacting NUGT price   NUGT will decline at least -4.075% in a week (0% probabilities).
TBT(-16%)    UUP(-15%)    IPO(-5%)    VIXM(1%)    UNG(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.075% (StdDev 8.15%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

Resistance Level   $148.18
5 Day Moving Average   $119.56(0.03%)
10 Day Moving Average   $131.62(-9.13%)
20 Day Moving Average   $148.18(-19.29%)
To recent high   -72.7%
To recent low   1.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.07%

$. NUGT is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.07% a day on average for holding it.$. NUGT price fluctuates within 14.29% (three month std-dev: 8.15%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_22_2016	325.36	148.18	131.62	119.56			119.6(-0.5%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	0	-30	-10000	0	-119	1.74	26%	-1.67	-56.9	8.15%	0	-1.3	20	0
2	Dec_21_2016	330.88	149.97	136.68	119.36			120.2(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-34	-10000	-7	-115	1.6	33%	-1.71	-67.2	8.15%	0	-1.5	35	0
3	Dec_20_2016	336.63	152.94	141.79	122.96			120.2(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-36	-10000	-15	-99	2.26	33%	-1.61	-67.5	8.61%	0	-1.7	33	0
4	Dec_19_2016	342.14	155.85	146.48	131.24			119.8(1.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-29	-10000	-12	-80	2.05	33%	-1.52	-60	8.6%	0	-1.9	30	0
5	Dec_16_2016	347.42	158.38	151.58	138.32			118(-0.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-25	-10000	-11	-65	3.24	33%	-1.36	-57	8.6%	0	-2.4	28	0

6	Dec_15_2016	352.22	161.29	157.06	145.48			118.6(-14.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-23	-10000	-16	-45	5.37	33%	-1.35	-69.1	8.61%	0	-3	40	0
7	Dec_14_2016	357.04	164.79	161.17	156.28			138.2(-14.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-12	-10000	-10	-17	4.68	35%	-1.08	-98.5	8.46%	0	-2.4	48	0
8	Dec_13_2016	360.93	167.45	163.52	163.16			161.6(4.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-2	-10000	-1	-5	2	36%	-0.9	-113.9	8.29%	0	-0.6	44	0
9	Dec_12_2016	364.22	167.91	164.14	164.16			155.2(0.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-5	-10000	-4	-8	1.7	36%	-1.07	-147.8	8.36%	0	-1.2	43	0
10	Dec_9_2016	368.15	168.52	165.89	167.04			153.8(-10.89%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-4	-10000	-5	1	2.7	33%	-1.07	-196.2	8.42%	0	-1.5	48	0

11	Dec_8_2016	372.14	171.62	166.24	170.36			172.6(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	5	-10000	5	6	1.55	35%	-0.88	-155.1	8.54%	0	0.1	51	0
12	Dec_7_2016	375.45	176.46	164.28	166.76			172.6(3.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-1	-10000	4	-16	2.46	35%	-1.16	-85.4	8.56%	0	-0.1	45	0
13	Dec_6_2016	379.85	180.47	164.67	163.96			166.6(-1.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-7	-10000	-0	-28	1.78	39%	-1.21	-78.4	8.54%	0	-0.4	41	0
14	Dec_5_2016	384.51	185.03	165.54	164.24			169.6(-0.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-7	-10000	-1	-26	2.87	39%	-1.17	-71.6	8.77%	0	-0.4	52	0
15	Dec_2_2016	389.05	190.95	165.24	164.8			170.4(10.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-3	-10000	4	-22	2.83	42%	-1.2	-58.3	8.84%	0	-0.5	54	0

16	Dec_1_2016	393.79	197.35	165.36	161.68			154.6(-2.52%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-11	-10000	1	-46	3.17	42%	-1.25	-49.7	8.84%	0	-0.8	35	0
17	Nov_30_2016	398.79	203.89	168.46	161.24			158.6(-5.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-24	-10000	-6	-77	2.58	40%	-1.09	-47	8.92%	0	-0.9	28	0
18	Nov_29_2016	403.2	210.86	171.6	165.32			168(-2.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-23	-10000	-2	-87	2.2	40%	-1.24	-42.8	9.05%	0	-0.8	35	0
19	Nov_28_2016	408.28	216.43	171.89	167.08			172.4(11.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-27	-10000	1	-109	2.3	40%	-1.21	-41.3	9.05%	0	-0.8	35	0
20	Nov_25_2016	413.28	220.82	171.27	166.04			154.8(1.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-41	-10000	-5	-147	1.11	37%	-1.69	-44.4	8.92%	0	-1.2	26	0

21	Nov_23_2016	420.4	226.11	177.46	169.68			152.4(-14.86%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-45	-10000	-8	-155	3.17	34%	-1.09	-48.1	9.21%	0	-1.4	24	0
22	Nov_22_2016	425.03	232.19	189.62	176.44			179(1.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-38	-10000	-3	-144	2.08	36%	-0.58	-49.2	9.06%	0	-1	32	0
23	Nov_21_2016	427.52	237.66	197.27	178.84			176.8(5.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-35	-10000	2	-145	1.92	36%	-0.94	-49.1	9.07%	0	-1.2	30	0
24	Nov_18_2016	431.57	242.49	205.67	177.52			167.2(-3.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-37	-10000	0	-148	1.86	36%	-0.78	-49.9	9.06%	0	-1.5	32	0
25	Nov_17_2016	434.97	248.78	218.32	177.2			173(-7.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-44	-10000	-11	-142	2.83	36%		-49.2	9.08%	0	-1.6	39	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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