Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ NUGT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Dec. 7, 2016

Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bull 3X ETF)
NUGT latest price $172.6000 (3.6%) ($168.6000 - $179.0000) on Wed. Dec. 7, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   8.56% (three month average)
RSI   45
Latest Price   $172.6000(3.6%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NUGT advances 1.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NUGT declines -2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NUGT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GDX(96%)    SIL(89%)    GLD(72%)    SLV(60%)    BWX(42%)
Factors Impacting NUGT price   NUGT will decline at least -4.28% in a week (0% probabilities).
TBT(-16%)    UUP(-15%)    IPO(-5%)    UNG(1%)    VIXM(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.28% (StdDev 8.56%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.6%

Resistance Level   $176.46
5 Day Moving Average   $166.76(3.5%)
10 Day Moving Average   $164.28(5.06%)
20 Day Moving Average   $176.46(-2.19%)
To recent high   -65%
To recent low   13.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.07%

$. NUGT is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.07% a day on average for holding it.$. NUGT price fluctuates within 15.75% (three month std-dev: 8.56%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170107

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_7_2016	375.45	176.46	164.28	166.76			172.6(3.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-1	-10000	4	-16	2.46	35%	-1.16	-85.4	8.56%	0	-0.1	45	0
2	Dec_6_2016	379.85	180.47	164.67	163.96			166.6(-1.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-7	-10000	-0	-28	1.78	39%	-1.21	-78.4	8.54%	0	-0.4	41	0
3	Dec_5_2016	384.51	185.03	165.54	164.24			169.6(-0.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-7	-10000	-1	-26	2.87	39%	-1.17	-71.6	8.77%	0	-0.4	52	0
4	Dec_2_2016	389.05	190.95	165.24	164.8			170.4(10.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-3	-10000	4	-22	2.83	42%	-1.2	-58.3	8.84%	0	-0.5	54	0
5	Dec_1_2016	393.79	197.35	165.36	161.68			154.6(-2.52%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-11	-10000	1	-46	3.17	42%	-1.25	-49.7	8.84%	0	-0.8	35	0

6	Nov_30_2016	398.79	203.89	168.46	161.24			158.6(-5.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-24	-10000	-6	-77	2.58	40%	-1.09	-47	8.92%	0	-0.9	28	0
7	Nov_29_2016	403.2	210.86	171.6	165.32			168(-2.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-23	-10000	-2	-87	2.2	40%	-1.24	-42.8	9.05%	0	-0.8	35	0
8	Nov_28_2016	408.28	216.43	171.89	167.08			172.4(11.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-27	-10000	1	-109	2.3	40%	-1.21	-41.3	9.05%	0	-0.8	35	0
9	Nov_25_2016	413.28	220.82	171.27	166.04			154.8(1.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-41	-10000	-5	-147	1.11	37%	-1.69	-44.4	8.92%	0	-1.2	26	0
10	Nov_23_2016	420.4	226.11	177.46	169.68			152.4(-14.86%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-45	-10000	-8	-155	3.17	34%	-1.09	-48.1	9.21%	0	-1.4	24	0

11	Nov_22_2016	425.03	232.19	189.62	176.44			179(1.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-38	-10000	-3	-144	2.08	36%	-0.58	-49.2	9.06%	0	-1	32	0
12	Nov_21_2016	427.52	237.66	197.27	178.84			176.8(5.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-35	-10000	2	-145	1.92	36%	-0.94	-49.1	9.07%	0	-1.2	30	0
13	Nov_18_2016	431.57	242.49	205.67	177.52			167.2(-3.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-37	-10000	0	-148	1.86	36%	-0.78	-49.9	9.06%	0	-1.5	32	0
14	Nov_17_2016	434.97	248.78	218.32	177.2			173(-7.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-44	-10000	-11	-142	2.83	36%	-0.7	-49.2	9.08%	0	-1.6	39	0
15	Nov_16_2016	438.05	255.04	231.52	186.48			186.2(-2.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-46	-10000	-20	-123	2.01	36%	-0.61	-44.3	9.06%	0	-1.6	41	0

16	Nov_15_2016	440.72	260.72	241.89	205.44			191(12.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-34	-10000	-14	-94	2.26	36%	-0.64	-31.2	9.06%	0	-1.7	40	0
17	Nov_14_2016	443.57	265.2	253.11	219.44			170.2(2.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-33	-10000	-18	-76	3.94	33%	-0.65	-19.1	8.89%	0	-2.5	32	0
18	Nov_11_2016	446.46	269.68	265	238.32			165.6(-24.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-29	-10000	-22	-51	4.19	33%	-0.5	-6.2	8.88%	0	-3.3	35	0
19	Nov_10_2016	448.7	274.02	275.63	264.72			219.4(-21.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-17	-10000	-15	-21	3.17	36%	-0.4	24.2	8.41%	0	-2.4	40	0
20	Nov_9_2016	450.52	276.05	280.16	282.4			281(7.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-1	-10000	-2	1	2.4	41%	-0.21	56.5	8.04%	0	0.2	48	0

21	Nov_8_2016	451.47	274.1	279.09	284.12			261(-1.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-7	-10000	-7	-5	1.45	41%	-0.33	49.5	7.98%	0	-0.6	43	0
22	Nov_7_2016	452.97	272.58	281.86	292.4			264.6(-11.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	1	-10000	-3	12	1.57	41%	-0.34	53.3	7.99%	0	-0.3	51	0
23	Nov_4_2016	454.5	271.65	282.65	295.72			297.6(-3.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	12	-10000	7	28	1.38	41%	-0.23	33.4	7.96%	0	1	65	0
24	Nov_3_2016	455.57	268.69	281.47	287.96			307.8(6.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	14	-10000	9	30	1.27	41%	-0.3	-1.4	7.97%	0	1.6	69	0
25	Nov_2_2016	456.95	264.94	279.62	277.56			289.6(-4.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	9	-10000	4	23	2.31	41%		-42.4	7.93%	0	1.1	61	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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