Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jul. 29, 2016

Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bull 3X ETF)
NUGT latest price $642.0400 (8.15%) ($608.9200 - $653.6000) on Fri. Jul. 29, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   9.58% (three month average)
RSI   48
Latest Price   $642.0400(8.15%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NUGT advances 3.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NUGT declines -5.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NUGT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GDX(96%)    SIL(89%)    GLD(72%)    SLV(61%)    BWX(43%)
Factors Impacting NUGT price   NUGT will decline at least -4.79% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-17%)    TBT(-17%)    IPO(-4%)    VIXM(1%)    UNG(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.79% (StdDev 9.58%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $568.42(12.95%)
10 Day Moving Average   $567.52(13.13%)
20 Day Moving Average   $597.77(7.41%)
To recent high   -4.4%
To recent low   126.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.09%

$. NUGT is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.09% a day on average for holding it.$. NUGT price fluctuates within 8.9% (three month std-dev: 9.58%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160829

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_29_2016	396.78	597.77	567.52	568.42			642.04(8.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.4	-2	-10000	7	-29	1.49	54%	0.98	39.9	9.58%	0	0.8	48	0
2	Jul_28_2016	392.91	591.14	563.81	548.91			593.64(-0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-9	-10000	3	-45	1.2	56%	0.95	37.8	9.81%	0	0	45	0
3	Jul_27_2016	389.22	585.95	567.38	539.82			595.36(13.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-6	-10000	7	-46	1.81	56%	0.97	36.9	9.92%	0	0.2	51	0
4	Jul_26_2016	385.49	579.37	571.71	520.96			524.08(7.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-20	-10000	-6	-63	0.92	54%	0.68	30.7	9.8%	0	-0.8	40	0
5	Jul_25_2016	382.88	577.69	579.17	537.62			486.96(-10.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-22	-10000	-10	-59	1.32	54%	0.65	41.3	9.8%	0	-1.3	42	0

6	Jul_22_2016	380.39	577.29	597.9	565.8			544.52(-0.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-13	-10000	-5	-35	0.74	56%	0.81	55.5	9.69%	0	-0.4	51	0
7	Jul_21_2016	377.34	570.63	610.14	580.72			548.2(9.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-8	-10000	-6	-14	1.13	56%	0.9	54	9.76%	0	-0.3	59	0
8	Jul_20_2016	373.99	564.2	617.11	599.15			501.04(-17.51%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.1	-6	-10000	-10	6	1.56	56%	0.81	54.2	9.72%	0	-0.7	58	0
9	Jul_19_2016	370.97	559.21	635	628.88			607.4(-3.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	14	-10000	1	51	0.78	63%	1.04	59.4	9.47%	0	0.5	71	0
10	Jul_18_2016	367.14	549.74	636.32	626.3			627.84(1.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	14	-10000	-3	63	0.95	63%	1.17	56.2	9.59%	0	0.8	69	0

11	Jul_15_2016	362.88	539.35	632	635.06			619.12(-3.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	19	-10000	-3	85	0.91	63%	1.09	58.4	9.6%	0	0.8	70	0
12	Jul_14_2016	358.96	528.73	621.94	644.58			640.36(-1.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	30	-10000	2	113	1.42	63%	1.2	59.1	9.61%	0	1	77	0
13	Jul_13_2016	354.72	518.65	606.86	638.46			649.68(9.29%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	30	-10000	-1	122	1.19	63%	1.26	60.1	9.69%	0	1.3	75	0
14	Jul_12_2016	350.32	505.88	587.92	642.7			594.48(-11.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	35	-10000	-1	144	1.35	63%	1.15	64.2	9.72%	0	0.9	75	0
15	Jul_11_2016	346.35	497.28	576.71	646.82			671.68(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	47	-10000	6	171	1.15	69%	1.41	68.5	9.58%	0	1.7	75	0

16	Jul_8_2016	341.55	484.36	555.08	628.06			666.72(9.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	51	-10000	11	170	1.35	69%	1.36	70	9.8%	0	2	74	0
17	Jul_7_2016	336.98	472.45	527.4	595.61			609.76(-9.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	44	-10000	9	149	1.39	69%	1.3	76.2	9.79%	0	1.7	73	0
18	Jul_6_2016	332.65	462.73	506.55	569.24			670.84(9.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	45	-10000	17	130	1.73	69%	1.56	81.1	9.74%	0	2.7	70	0
19	Jul_5_2016	327.53	447.83	476.16	525.19			615.12(6.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	32	-10000	12	93	1.45	69%	1.22	87.7	9.7%	0	2.8	72	0
20	Jul_1_2016	323.58	436.52	454.44	496.7			577.84(14.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	26	-10000	11	69	1.39	69%	1.17	109.9	9.73%	0	3.1	65	0

21	Jun_30_2016	319.83	426.96	437.11	472.34			504.48(5.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	21	-10000	11	50	1.16	67%	1.07	113.4	9.55%	0	1.8	60	0
22	Jun_29_2016	316.45	416.93	426.44	449.03			477.92(6.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	12	-10000	8	23	1.43	69%	1.02	88.2	9.56%	0	1.3	54	0
23	Jun_28_2016	313.24	408.17	422.25	433.4			450.6(-4.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	8	-10000	7	11	1.26	69%	0.88	72.8	9.73%	0	0.9	54	0
24	Jun_27_2016	310.52	400.6	416.87	418.26			472.68(3.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	5	-10000	6	-0	1.64	69%	1	58.3	9.7%	0	1.5	62	0
25	Jun_24_2016	307.46	391.32	411.39	405.54			456.04(17.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	1	-10000	4	-9	2.08	69%		40.7	9.77%	0	1.2	58	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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