Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jul. 14, 2016

Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bull 3X ETF)
NUGT latest price $640.3600 (-1.43%) ($584.8800 - $642.2000) on Thu. Jul. 14, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   9.61% (three month average)
RSI   77
Latest Price   $640.3600(-1.43%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NUGT advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NUGT advances 17.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NUGT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GDX(96%)    SIL(90%)    GLD(72%)    SLV(61%)    BWX(43%)
Factors Impacting NUGT price   NUGT will decline at least -4.805% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-17%)    TBT(-17%)    IBUY(-5%)    IPO(-4%)    VIXM(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.805% (StdDev 9.61%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 7.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $644.58(-0.65%)
10 Day Moving Average   $621.94(2.96%)
20 Day Moving Average   $528.73(21.11%)
To recent high   -4.7%
To recent low   125.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.09%

$. NUGT is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.09% a day on average for holding it.$. NUGT price fluctuates within 20.16% (three month std-dev: 9.61%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160814

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_14_2016	358.96	528.73	621.94	644.58			640.36(-1.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	30	-10000	2	113	1.42	63%	1.2	59.1	9.61%	0	1	77	0
2	Jul_13_2016	354.72	518.65	606.86	638.46			649.68(9.29%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	30	-10000	-1	122	1.19	63%	1.26	60.1	9.69%	0	1.3	75	0
3	Jul_12_2016	350.32	505.88	587.92	642.7			594.48(-11.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	35	-10000	-1	144	1.35	63%	1.15	64.2	9.72%	0	0.9	75	0
4	Jul_11_2016	346.35	497.28	576.71	646.82			671.68(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	47	-10000	6	171	1.15	69%	1.41	68.5	9.58%	0	1.7	75	0
5	Jul_8_2016	341.55	484.36	555.08	628.06			666.72(9.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	51	-10000	11	170	1.35	69%	1.36	70	9.8%	0	2	74	0

6	Jul_7_2016	336.98	472.45	527.4	595.61			609.76(-9.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	44	-10000	9	149	1.39	69%	1.3	76.2	9.79%	0	1.7	73	0
7	Jul_6_2016	332.65	462.73	506.55	569.24			670.84(9.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	45	-10000	17	130	1.73	69%	1.56	81.1	9.74%	0	2.7	70	0
8	Jul_5_2016	327.53	447.83	476.16	525.19			615.12(6.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	32	-10000	12	93	1.45	69%	1.22	87.7	9.7%	0	2.8	72	0
9	Jul_1_2016	323.58	436.52	454.44	496.7			577.84(14.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	26	-10000	11	69	1.39	69%	1.17	109.9	9.73%	0	3.1	65	0
10	Jun_30_2016	319.83	426.96	437.11	472.34			504.48(5.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	21	-10000	11	50	1.16	67%	1.07	113.4	9.55%	0	1.8	60	0

11	Jun_29_2016	316.45	416.93	426.44	449.03			477.92(6.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	12	-10000	8	23	1.43	69%	1.02	88.2	9.56%	0	1.3	54	0
12	Jun_28_2016	313.24	408.17	422.25	433.4			450.6(-4.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	8	-10000	7	11	1.26	69%	0.88	72.8	9.73%	0	0.9	54	0
13	Jun_27_2016	310.52	400.6	416.87	418.26			472.68(3.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	5	-10000	6	-0	1.64	69%	1	58.3	9.7%	0	1.5	62	0
14	Jun_24_2016	307.46	391.32	411.39	405.54			456.04(17.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	1	-10000	4	-9	2.08	69%	1.04	40.7	9.77%	0	1.2	58	0
15	Jun_23_2016	304.31	383.97	407.84	397.62			387.92(-2.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-5	-10000	-2	-15	0.98	61%	0.88	31.8	9.58%	0	0.1	51	0

16	Jun_22_2016	301.65	380.43	413.61	400.62			399.76(6.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-1	-10000	-4	7	1.41	61%	1.01	30	10.02%	0	0.4	70	0
17	Jun_21_2016	298.63	375.28	416.43	409.56			374.92(-8.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	7	-10000	-2	33	1.41	61%	0.91	20.6	10%	0	-0	68	0
18	Jun_20_2016	295.95	373.94	418.72	414.18			409.08(-1.76%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	12	-10000	-2	53	1.32	61%	1.07	16.5	9.93%	0	0.6	74	0
19	Jun_17_2016	292.82	371.24	418.51	417.48			416.4(3.34%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	19	-10000	-1	78	1.7	61%	1.13	14.8	9.92%	0	0.8	76	0
20	Jun_16_2016	289.56	367.98	417.04	419.7			402.96(-9.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	21	-10000	-4	97	2.5	64%	1.07	13.4	9.96%	0	0.6	68	0

21	Jun_15_2016	286.5	364.69	408.04	428.49			444.44(11.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	29	-10000	2	110	1.96	64%	1.25	11.6	10.16%	0	1.4	74	0
22	Jun_14_2016	282.97	363.76	393.97	425.09			398(-6.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	30	-10000	1	116	1.52	59%	1.14	14.7	10.09%	0	0.6	73	0
23	Jun_13_2016	279.79	364.61	384.31	423.49			425.6(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	29	-10000	2	109	1.46	59%	1.27	20.1	10.19%	0	1.1	63	0
24	Jun_10_2016	276.27	362.94	370.52	419.24			427.51(-4.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	27	-10000	3	97	1.98	61%	1.31	16.1	10.24%	0	1.2	61	0
25	Jun_9_2016	272.7	360.6	358.46	413.66			446.88(4.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	34	-10000	15	91	1.18	61%		14.2	10.32%	0	1.6	63	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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