Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jun. 28, 2016

Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bull 3X ETF)
NUGT latest price $450.6000 (-4.67%) ($443.4000 - $470.4000) on Tue. Jun. 28, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   9.73% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $450.6000(-4.67%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NUGT advances 3.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NUGT advances 1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NUGT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GDX(96%)    SIL(89%)    GLD(72%)    SLV(61%)    BWX(43%)
Factors Impacting NUGT price   NUGT will decline at least -4.865% in a week (0% probabilities).
TBT(-18%)    UUP(-16%)    IBUY(-5%)    IPO(-4%)    VIXM(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.865% (StdDev 9.73%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $433.4(3.97%)
10 Day Moving Average   $422.25(6.71%)
20 Day Moving Average   $408.17(10.4%)
To recent high   -5.4%
To recent low   106.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.09%

$. NUGT is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.09% a day on average for holding it.$. NUGT price fluctuates within 12.04% (three month std-dev: 9.73%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160728

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_28_2016	313.24	408.17	422.25	433.4			450.6(-4.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	8	-10000	7	11	1.26	69%	0.88	72.8	9.73%	0	0.9	54	0
2	Jun_27_2016	310.52	400.6	416.87	418.26			472.68(3.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	5	-10000	6	-0	1.64	69%	1	58.3	9.7%	0	1.5	62	0
3	Jun_24_2016	307.46	391.32	411.39	405.54			456.04(17.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	1	-10000	4	-9	2.08	69%	1.04	40.7	9.77%	0	1.2	58	0
4	Jun_23_2016	304.31	383.97	407.84	397.62			387.92(-2.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-5	-10000	-2	-15	0.98	61%	0.88	31.8	9.58%	0	0.1	51	0
5	Jun_22_2016	301.65	380.43	413.61	400.62			399.76(6.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-1	-10000	-4	7	1.41	61%	1.01	30	10.02%	0	0.4	70	0

6	Jun_21_2016	298.63	375.28	416.43	409.56			374.92(-8.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	7	-10000	-2	33	1.41	61%	0.91	20.6	10%	0	-0	68	0
7	Jun_20_2016	295.95	373.94	418.72	414.18			409.08(-1.76%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	12	-10000	-2	53	1.32	61%	1.07	16.5	9.93%	0	0.6	74	0
8	Jun_17_2016	292.82	371.24	418.51	417.48			416.4(3.34%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	19	-10000	-1	78	1.7	61%	1.13	14.8	9.92%	0	0.8	76	0
9	Jun_16_2016	289.56	367.98	417.04	419.7			402.96(-9.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	21	-10000	-4	97	2.5	64%	1.07	13.4	9.96%	0	0.6	68	0
10	Jun_15_2016	286.5	364.69	408.04	428.49			444.44(11.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	29	-10000	2	110	1.96	64%	1.25	11.6	10.16%	0	1.4	74	0

11	Jun_14_2016	282.97	363.76	393.97	425.09			398(-6.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	30	-10000	1	116	1.52	59%	1.14	14.7	10.09%	0	0.6	73	0
12	Jun_13_2016	279.79	364.61	384.31	423.49			425.6(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	29	-10000	2	109	1.46	59%	1.27	20.1	10.19%	0	1.1	63	0
13	Jun_10_2016	276.27	362.94	370.52	419.24			427.51(-4.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	27	-10000	3	97	1.98	61%	1.31	16.1	10.24%	0	1.2	61	0
14	Jun_9_2016	272.7	360.6	358.46	413.66			446.88(4.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	34	-10000	15	91	1.18	61%	1.4	14.2	10.32%	0	1.6	63	0
15	Jun_8_2016	268.94	358.33	344.13	384.23			427.48(9.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	25	-10000	14	56	1.59	58%	1.37	4.6	10.32%	0	1.3	64	0

16	Jun_7_2016	265.3	355.73	329.85	358.26			390(-3.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	9	-10000	11	4	1.12	60%	0.48	-11.8	10.44%	0	0.7	45	0
17	Jun_6_2016	264.02	353.51	324.49	338.71			404.32(1.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	5	-10000	15	-25	1.75	60%	1.27	-31	10.48%	0	1	49	0
18	Jun_3_2016	260.7	354.16	318.53	314.54			399.6(33.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.6	-5	-10000	12	-54	3.46	61%	1.26	-45.5	10.49%	0	0.9	51	0
19	Jun_2_2016	257.45	353.03	312.78	296.32			299.76(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-23	-10000	-1	-87	1.18	57%	0.83	-56	9.79%	0	-1	38	0
20	Jun_1_2016	255.32	355.92	316.6	298.41			297.6(1.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-23	-10000	1	-94	1.78	54%	0.83	-57.6	9.82%	0	-1.2	34	0

21	May_31_2016	253.22	361.81	330.23	296.89			292.28(3.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-28	-10000	-7	-89	1.72	57%	1.35	-54.1	9.94%	0	-1.4	40	0
22	May_27_2016	249.84	369.73	343.16	307.59			283.48(-8.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-25	-10000	-9	-71	2.12	56%	0.66	-35.6	10.01%	0	-1.6	46	0
23	May_26_2016	248.2	379.34	355.35	322.5			308.48(-0.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-20	-10000	-6	-61	1.79	54%	0.82	-18.5	10.03%	0	-1.4	40	0
24	May_25_2016	246.17	384.22	363.9	331.9			310.2(6.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-15	-10000	-3	-51	2.68	54%	0.86	-10	10.13%	0	-1.6	46	0
25	May_24_2016	244.06	386.97	374.8	337.6			290(-16.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-24	-10000	-17	-44	2.43	54%		-5.4	10.11%	0	-2.2	49	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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