Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ NUGT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Apr. 15, 2016

Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bull 3X ETF)
NUGT latest price $312.4800 (8.21%) ($282.0400 - $316.6800) on Fri. Apr. 15, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   10.38% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $312.4800(8.21%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NUGT advances 1.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NUGT advances 17.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NUGT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GDX(96%)    SIL(90%)    GLD(73%)    SLV(61%)    BWX(44%)
Factors Impacting NUGT price   NUGT will decline at least -5.19% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-18%)    TBT(-18%)    IPO(-4%)    UNG(1%)    IYT(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -5.19% (StdDev 10.38%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 6.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $319.64(-2.24%)
10 Day Moving Average   $286.1(9.22%)
20 Day Moving Average   $264(18.36%)
To recent high   -9.3%
To recent low   336.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.11%

$. NUGT is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.11% a day on average for holding it.$. NUGT price fluctuates within 14.87% (three month std-dev: 10.38%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160515

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_15_2016	170.81	264	286.1	319.64			312.48(8.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	28	-10000	3	102	1.71	65%	0.88	55.3	10.38%	0	1.2	70	0
2	Apr_14_2016	169.32	261.03	278.86	314.15			288.76(-8.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	28	-10000	3	104	2.02	63%	1.18	53.1	10.37%	0	0.7	67	0
3	Apr_13_2016	167.35	260.14	273.67	308.62			316.2(-8.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	35	-10000	10	110	1.65	63%	1.35	55.6	10.39%	0	1.5	75	0
4	Apr_12_2016	165.12	255.62	266.09	293.24			344.6(2.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	33	-10000	15	87	1.98	63%	1.62	45.3	10.31%	0	2.5	62	0
5	Apr_11_2016	162.48	248.88	256.18	271.9			336.16(17.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	28	-10000	18	57	2.17	61%	1.58	24.1	10.37%	0	3	61	0

6	Apr_8_2016	159.96	243.92	243.75	248.42			285.04(9.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	8	-10000	7	11	2.21	59%	1.18	2.9	10.34%	0	1.9	55	0
7	Apr_7_2016	158.09	242.5	236.82	239.22			261.12(9.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	0	-10000	4	-11	2	61%	1.1	-5.8	10.37%	0	0.9	52	0
8	Apr_6_2016	156.37	241	231.26	233.82			239.28(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-10	-10000	-1	-35	1.48	61%	1.01	-10.8	10.43%	0	-0.1	44	0
9	Apr_5_2016	154.81	240.6	233.41	234.57			237.88(8.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-9	-10000	-3	-28	1.99	61%	0.92	-4.1	10.43%	0	-0.1	56	0
10	Apr_4_2016	153.4	241.96	235.73	237.86			218.8(-8.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-3	-10000	0	-13	1.43	62%	0.81	8.2	10.4%	0	-1.1	56	0

11	Apr_1_2016	152.17	243.3	240.3	237.7			239(2.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	0	-10000	3	-9	2.26	62%	0.98	15.9	10.35%	0	-0.2	52	0
12	Mar_31_2016	150.69	243.68	242.11	233.59			234.16(-3.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	0	-10000	5	-14	1.22	62%	0.92	12.8	10.44%	0	-0.5	48	0
13	Mar_30_2016	149.31	243.13	246.06	227.83			243(-4.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-7	-10000	-4	-16	1.79	62%	1.02	3.4	10.41%	0	-0	56	0
14	Mar_29_2016	147.8	241.42	244.93	232.28			254.32(16.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1	-4	-10000	-2	-10	3.22	62%	1.06	6.2	10.43%	0	0.6	58	0
15	Mar_28_2016	146.25	240.29	241.29	234.36			218.04(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-11	-10000	-8	-21	1.64	58%	1.07	14.4	10.26%	0	-1	45	0

16	Mar_24_2016	144.7	240.19	244.42	243.81			218.44(6.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-6	-10000	-6	-7	1.9	58%	0.65	29.2	10.35%	0	-1	50	0
17	Mar_23_2016	143.76	241.18	249.06	251.85			205.36(-22.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.1	-6	-10000	-10	5	3.61	58%	0.5	44.5	10.35%	0	-1.7	47	0
18	Mar_22_2016	143.05	242.43	252.43	265.97			265.24(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	14	-10000	6	36	1.85	62%	0.92	77.2	9.88%	0	1.1	62	0
19	Mar_21_2016	141.75	240.06	248.94	258.81			264.72(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	14	-10000	8	33	1.66	62%	0.94	77.4	9.89%	0	1.2	65	0
20	Mar_18_2016	140.43	237.15	248.83	249.09			265.28(2.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	9	-10000	3	26	2.17	62%	0.91	57.8	9.9%	0	1.3	58	0

21	Mar_17_2016	139.16	233.96	246.45	245.43			258.64(-6.28%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.6	6	-10000	-1	27	3.2	59%	0.69	53.4	9.91%	0	1.2	61	0
22	Mar_16_2016	138.2	231.9	245.08	246.42			275.96(20.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	14	-10000	7	35	3.54	60%	0.79	62.1	10.17%	0	2	58	0
23	Mar_15_2016	137.11	227.35	239.32	237.62			229.44(6.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.4	5	-10000	-0	19	1.91	58%	0.44	53.5	9.97%	0	0.1	54	0
24	Mar_14_2016	136.51	224.62	237.31	237.71			216.12(-12.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-3	-10000	-8	14	2.17	55%	0.21	50	9.96%	0	-0.4	53	0
25	Mar_11_2016	136.22	225.21	239.21	247.98			247(-6.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	11	-10000	1	40	1.59	57%		76.5	10.06%	0	0.9	61	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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