Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Mar. 18, 2016

Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bull 3X ETF)
NUGT latest price $265.2800 (2.57%) ($256.0000 - $278.3200) on Fri. Mar. 18, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   9.9% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $265.2800(2.57%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NUGT advances 1.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NUGT advances 4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NUGT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GDX(96%)    SIL(89%)    GLD(73%)    SLV(61%)    BWX(44%)
Factors Impacting NUGT price   NUGT will decline at least -4.95% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-19%)    TBT(-18%)    IPO(-4%)    UNG(1%)    IYT(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.95% (StdDev 9.9%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $249.09(6.5%)
10 Day Moving Average   $248.83(6.61%)
20 Day Moving Average   $237.15(11.86%)
To recent high   -3.9%
To recent low   270.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.1%

$. NUGT is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.1% a day on average for holding it.$. NUGT price fluctuates within 9.17% (three month std-dev: 9.9%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160418

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_18_2016	140.43	237.15	248.83	249.09			265.28(2.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	9	-10000	3	26	2.17	62%	0.91	57.8	9.9%	0	1.3	58	0
2	Mar_17_2016	139.16	233.96	246.45	245.43			258.64(-6.28%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.6	6	-10000	-1	27	3.2	59%	0.69	53.4	9.91%	0	1.2	61	0
3	Mar_16_2016	138.2	231.9	245.08	246.42			275.96(20.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	14	-10000	7	35	3.54	60%	0.79	62.1	10.17%	0	2	58	0
4	Mar_15_2016	137.11	227.35	239.32	237.62			229.44(6.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.4	5	-10000	-0	19	1.91	58%	0.44	53.5	9.97%	0	0.1	54	0
5	Mar_14_2016	136.51	224.62	237.31	237.71			216.12(-12.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-3	-10000	-8	14	2.17	55%	0.21	50	9.96%	0	-0.4	53	0

6	Mar_11_2016	136.22	225.21	239.21	247.98			247(-6.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	11	-10000	1	40	1.59	57%	0.55	76.5	10.06%	0	0.9	61	0
7	Mar_10_2016	135.47	223.33	235.72	247.17			263.56(13.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	13	-10000	3	43	2.76	57%	0.74	92.2	10.01%	0	1.7	65	0
8	Mar_9_2016	134.47	218.85	232.54	243.75			232(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.5	12	-10000	2	43	2.46	56%	0.39	98.2	9.9%	0	0.6	55	0
9	Mar_8_2016	133.95	215.63	231.89	241.26			229.88(-14.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	16	-10000	4	52	2.73	56%	0.51	99.1	9.9%	0	0.5	63	0
10	Mar_7_2016	133.27	213.39	230.85	236.22			267.48(10.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	20	-10000	6	60	2.33	56%	0.63	107	9.7%	0	2	73	0

11	Mar_4_2016	132.43	208.51	224.49	229.16			242.92(-1.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	16	-10000	6	44	3.68	57%	0.3	123	9.81%	0	1.4	55	0
12	Mar_3_2016	132.03	203.85	220.33	222.64			246.48(12.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	9	-10000	2	30	2.66	57%	0.33	118.8	9.96%	0	1.6	58	0
13	Mar_2_2016	131.6	198.02	217.26	220.4			219.52(7.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	9	-10000	-1	39	1.82	55%	0.37	111.7	9.88%	0	0.7	62	0
14	Mar_1_2016	131.11	192.63	214.12	221.45			204.72(-11.82%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	11	-10000	-2	48	2.39	56%	0.28	97.6	9.93%	0	0.3	63	0
15	Feb_29_2016	130.74	188.33	211.12	224.1			232.16(10.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	17	-10000	5	54	1.82	58%	0.38	96.4	9.75%	0	1.1	61	0

16	Feb_26_2016	130.25	182.02	210.21	218.86			210.32(-10.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	17	-10000	2	62	2.45	57%	0.41	90.8	9.74%	0	0.7	61	0
17	Feb_25_2016	129.72	176.59	210.22	217.07			235.28(4.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	23	-10000	3	81	2.08	59%	0.56	87.2	9.69%	0	1.3	70	0
18	Feb_24_2016	129	170.01	204.1	213.79			224.76(3.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	30	-10000	8	97	2.98	60%	0.47	89.5	9.69%	0	1.2	72	0
19	Feb_23_2016	128.4	163.71	198.11	205.89			217.96(5.81%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	34	-10000	10	107	2.16	60%	0.54	87.2	9.76%	0	1.2	76	0
20	Feb_22_2016	127.71	157.19	194.58	196.14			206(2.3%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	25	-10000	-4	111	2.04	60%	0.6	79.1	9.76%	0	1.1	72	0

21	Feb_19_2016	126.95	151	191.27	200.44			201.36(-8%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	38	-10000	-2	157	2.29	60%	0.77	82.5	9.9%	0	1.1	73	0
22	Feb_18_2016	125.98	144.91	186.17	202.3			218.88(18.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	57	-10000	9	202	3.15	60%	0.86	82.8	9.89%	0	1.6	77	0
23	Feb_17_2016	124.9	137.74	177.17	193.24			185.24(9.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	56	-10000	5	207	2.36	55%	0.64	76.4	9.7%	0	1	72	0
24	Feb_16_2016	124.1	132.1	169.7	188.88			169.24(-25.6%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	50	-10000	-3	207	2.98	55%	0.52	69	9.83%	0	0.8	71	0
25	Feb_12_2016	123.46	127.79	164.52	191.8			227.48(7.99%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	79	-10000	13	277	2.9	60%		68.4	9.13%	0	2.1	84	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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